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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10 October 23, 2026 20:00 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Dunkerque
#10 · 12 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Metz
#8 · 14 pts
Opa Sangante 65'
9' Pape Moussa Fall
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Metz a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Dunkerque 33%). The final result was Dunkerque 1–1 Metz.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
17
5
Shots on target
9
1.60
Actual xG
1.32
8
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
4
8
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
9'
Pape Moussa Fall⚽
15'
Abdourahmane Mbodj
Jordan Morel
49'
60'
Nathan Mbala / Abdourahmane Mbodj ↕
Jordan Morel
61'
⚽Opa Sangante (missed pen.)
65'
⚽Opa Sangante
65'
↕ Théna Massock / Steven​ N'Zonzi
66'
↕ Souleymane Keita / Khalil Ayari
66'
↕ Abner / Victor Mayela
73'
↕ Gaëtan Robail / Arthylio Nade
73'
81'
Bryan Song / Bouna Sarr ↕
81'
Abdoulaye Agne Ba / Giorgi Abuashvili ↕
↕ Adrian Lebeau / Franck Leroy Atoen
90'+1
Arthylio Nade
90'+2
90'
Cristian Castro
Pre-match prediction
33.94%
Dunkerque
27.69%
X ←
38.37%
Metz
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dunkerque
1.25
1.60
+0.35
Metz
1.50
1.32
-0.18
xG dominance was balanced (1.60 – 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 10 25
2 Montpellier Montpellier 10 21
3 Nancy Nancy 10 19
4 Reims Reims 10 18
5 PAU PAU 10 17
6 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 10 17
7 Annecy Annecy 10 16
8 Metz Metz 10 14
9 Dijon Dijon 10 12
10 Dunkerque Dunkerque 10 12
11 Guingamp Guingamp 10 11
12 Sochaux Sochaux 10 11
13 Boulogne Boulogne 10 10
14 Rodez Rodez 10 10
15 Nantes Nantes 10 8
16 Grenoble Grenoble 10 8
17 Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 10 7
18 Laval Laval 10 6
Lineups
Dunkerque Dunkerque 4-2-3-1
73 Moha Airam Moha Airam G 8.29
30 Abner Abner 73' D 6.64
2 O. Touré O. Touré D 6.65
26 Opa Sanganté Opa Sanganté 1 ⚽ D 7.85
27 A. Linguet A. Linguet D 6.47
18 Théna Massock Théna Massock 66' M 6.59
6 J. Morel J. Morel 61' M 6.11
11 E. Prutsev E. Prutsev M 6.03
10 A. Lebeau A. Lebeau 89' M 6.82
19 S. Keita S. Keita 66' M 6.48
9 G. Robail G. Robail 73' F 6.18
Bench
23 A. Nade A. Nade 17' F 6.26
94 E. Mayilla E. Mayilla F 0.00
25 Franck Atoen Franck Atoen 1' M 0.00
7 K. Ayari K. Ayari 24' F 7.20
21 L. Loussilaho L. Loussilaho D 0.00
42 M. Makhloufi M. Makhloufi D 0.00
16 M. Prévot M. Prévot G 0.00
15 S. Nzonzi S. Nzonzi 24' M 6.30
22 V. Mayela V. Mayela 17' D 6.40
Metz Metz 4-1-4-1
1 J. Fischer J. Fischer G 7.21
3 F. Miguel F. Miguel D 6.26
4 U. Mboula U. Mboula D 6.91
42 C. Devenish C. Devenish D 6.84
70 B. Sarr B. Sarr 81' D 5.97
98 I. Mohamed I. Mohamed M 6.33
9 G. Abuashvili G. Abuashvili 81' M 6.46
10 T. Savanier T. Savanier M 7.20
8 J. Deminguet J. Deminguet M 6.70
33
60' M 6.10
11 P. Fall P. Fall 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
88 A. Agne Ba A. Agne Ba 9' F 6.96
12 A. Touré A. Touré M 0.00
18 B. Munongo B. Munongo M 0.00
39 B. Song B. Song 9' D 6.46
7 Ibou Sané Ibou Sané F 0.00
2 M. Colin M. Colin D 0.00
22 N. Mbala N. Mbala 30' F 6.75
61 P. Sy P. Sy G 0.00
30 Tahirys Dos Santos Tahirys Dos Santos D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Moha Airam
Moha Airam
G · Dunkerque
8.29
· 34 pass
P. Fall
P. Fall
F · Metz
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Opa Sanganté
Opa Sanganté
D · Dunkerque
7.85
1 ⚽
3 shots · 91 pass
J. Fischer
J. Fischer
G · Metz
7.21
· 31 pass
K. Ayari
K. Ayari
F · Dunkerque
7.20
2 shots · 2 pass
T. Savanier
T. Savanier
M · Metz
7.20
2 shots · 67 pass
Dunkerque Dunkerque — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Moha Airam G 90 8.29 — — 0 34 24% 0 — —
Abner D 73 6.64 — — 0 37 32% 0 — —
O. Touré D 90 6.65 — — 0 82 78% 0 — —
Opa Sanganté D 90 7.85 1 — 3 91 84% 2 — —
A. Linguet D 90 6.47 — — 0 74 57% 1 — —
Théna Massock M 66 6.59 — — 2 22 20% 0 — —
J. Morel M 61 6.11 — — 0 38 33% 0 — 1
E. Prutsev M 90 6.03 — — 3 17 13% 2 — —
A. Lebeau M 89 6.82 — — 1 42 35% 1 — —
S. Keita M 66 6.48 — — 2 20 12% 1 — —
G. Robail F 73 6.18 — — 2 14 10% 0 — —
A. Nade F 17 6.26 — — 0 2 1% 0 1 —
Franck Atoen M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
K. Ayari F 24 7.20 — — 2 2 2% 1 — —
S. Nzonzi M 24 6.30 — — 0 17 16% 0 — —
V. Mayela D 17 6.40 — — 0 12 12% 0 — —
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Fischer G 90 7.21 — — 0 31 22% 0 — —
F. Miguel D 90 6.26 — — 1 27 18% 1 — —
U. Mboula D 90 6.91 — — 1 42 39% 0 — —
C. Devenish D 90 6.84 — — 0 50 46% 1 1 —
B. Sarr D 81 5.97 — — 0 23 17% 0 — —
I. Mohamed M 90 6.33 — — 0 39 33% 3 — —
G. Abuashvili M 81 6.46 — — 4 18 15% 0 — —
T. Savanier M 90 7.20 — — 2 67 54% 2 — —
J. Deminguet M 90 6.70 — — 1 37 32% 3 — —
M 60 6.10 — — 0 15 12% 0 1 —
P. Fall F 90 8.20 1 — 3 27 20% 0 — —
A. Agne Ba F 9 6.96 — — 2 3 2% 0 — —
B. Song D 9 6.46 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
N. Mbala F 30 6.75 — — 3 5 4% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Metz?
The final score was Dunkerque 1–1 Metz.
What did the model predict before Dunkerque vs Metz?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Dunkerque win, 27% to a draw, and 38% to an Metz win.