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Liga de Expansión MX · Quarter-finals November 06, 2026 04:05 Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango
Durango
#7 · 24 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Leones Negros UDG
#2 · 30 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Durango
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Durango a 68% win probability (draw 14%, Leones Negros UDG 17%). The final result was Durango 1–0 Leones Negros UDG. In 1 previous meetings, Durango have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leones Negros UDG.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
68.29%
Durango ←
14.09%
X
17.63%
Leones
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Durango) 68.29% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Durango
3.38
—
—
Leones
1.71
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Durango vs Leones Negros UDG?
The final score was Durango 1–0 Leones Negros UDG.
What did the model predict before Durango vs Leones Negros UDG?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Durango win, 14% to a draw, and 17% to an Leones Negros UDG win.