2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 32
May 02, 2026 13:00
✓Model correct — prediction Dynamo Dresden
V. Vermeij
(ast. A. Rossipal)
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 57% win probability (draw 19%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 22%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
0
1.62
Actual xG
0.20
0
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
58'
F. Kunze
J. Ceka
/ J. Lemmer
65'
65'
D. Schramm
/
L. Robinson
66'
N. Bassette
/
M. Ritter
⚽V. Vermeij
· ast. A. Rossipal
69'
73'
P. Joly
N. Hauptmann
/ L. Herrmann
79'
V. Vermeij
/ C. Daferner
80'
83'
A. Chernev
/
M. Gyamfi
83'
B. Jungfleisch
/
F. Kunze
83'
E. Wekesser
/
S. Asta
K. Amoako
85'
85'
S. Sahin
T. Schreiber
85'
K. Amoako
/ L. Boeder
87'
B. Bobzien
/ N. Froling
87'
R. Wagner
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
57.43%
Dynamo ←
19.83%
X
22.74%
1.
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo Dresden)
57.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
1.62
-0.65
1.31
0.20
-1.11
Dynamo Dresden dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Schreiber
G
19
Alexander Rossipal
1 👟
D
42
D
39
T. Keller
D
32
Jonas Sterner
D
6
K. Amoako
87'
M
18
Robert Wagner
M
20
B. Bobzien
87'
M
27
N. Hauptmann
79'
M
7
J. Ceka
65'
M
9
V. Vermeij
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
10
J. Lemmer
29'
M
8
L. Herrmann
15'
M
30
S. Kutschke
F
1
G
14
J. Rasmussen
D
4
M. Gyamfi
83'
D
M. Gyamfi
83'
D
31
L. Sirch
D
6
Fabian Kunze
83'
M
2
S. Asta
83'
M
8
S. Sahin
M
37
Leon Robinson
65'
M
26
P. Joly
M
7
Marlon Ritter
66'
F
20
M. Berisha
F
Bench
16
A. Chernev
11'
D
13
E. Wekesser
11'
D
3
F. Kleinhansl
D
5
Kim Ji-Soo
D
17
N. Bassette
28'
F
Best on the pitch
Alexander Rossipal
D · Dynamo
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 57 pass
Fabian Kunze
M · 1.
7.50
· 38 pass
V. Vermeij
F · Dynamo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
T. Keller
D · Dynamo
7.20
1 shots
· 76 pass
B. Bobzien
M · Dynamo
7.20
3 shots
· 32 pass
T. Schreiber
G · Dynamo
7.00
· 49 pass
Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Schreiber | G | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexander Rossipal | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | — | — | — | |
| T. Keller | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonas Sterner | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Amoako | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Robert Wagner | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bobzien | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Hauptmann | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Ceka | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Vermeij | F | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lemmer | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Herrmann | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| J. Rasmussen | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gyamfi | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sirch | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabian Kunze | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 5 | 1 | — |
| S. Asta | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Sahin | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Leon Robinson | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Joly | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marlon Ritter | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Berisha | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Chernev | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Wekesser | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Bassette | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Dynamo Dresden win, 19% to a draw, and 22% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.