✓Model correct — prediction Dynamo Dresden
V. Vermeij
(ast. A. Rossipal)
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 57% win probability (draw 19%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 22%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
0
1.62
Actual xG
0.20
0
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
58'
F. Kunze
J. Ceka
/ J. Lemmer
65'
65'
D. Schramm
/
L. Robinson
66'
N. Bassette
/
M. Ritter
⚽V. Vermeij
· ast. A. Rossipal
69'
73'
P. Joly
N. Hauptmann
/ L. Herrmann
79'
V. Vermeij
/ C. Daferner
80'
83'
A. Chernev
/
M. Gyamfi
83'
B. Jungfleisch
/
F. Kunze
83'
E. Wekesser
/
S. Asta
K. Amoako
85'
85'
S. Sahin
T. Schreiber
85'
K. Amoako
/ L. Boeder
87'
B. Bobzien
/ N. Froling
87'
R. Wagner
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
57.43%
Dynamo ←
19.83%
X
22.74%
1.
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo Dresden)
57.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
1.62
-0.65
1.31
0.20
-1.11
Dynamo Dresden dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Tim Schreiber
G
Tim Schreiber
G
19
A. Rossipal
1 👟
D
A. Rossipal
1 👟
D
42
D
39
Thomas Keller
D
Thomas Keller
D
32
Jonas Sterner
D
Jonas Sterner
D
6
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
87'
M
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
87'
M
18
Robert Wagner
M
Robert Wagner
M
20
Ben Bobzien
87'
M
Ben Bobzien
87'
M
27
Niklas Hauptmann
79'
M
Niklas Hauptmann
79'
M
7
Jason Ceka
65'
M
Jason Ceka
65'
M
9
V. Vermeij
1 ⚽
80'
F
V. Vermeij
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
10
Jakob Lemmer
29'
M
Jakob Lemmer
29'
M
8
Luca Herrmann
15'
M
Luca Herrmann
15'
M
30
S. Kutschke
F
S. Kutschke
F
1
G
14
Jacob Rasmussen
D
Jacob Rasmussen
D
4
M. Gyamfi
83'
D
M. Gyamfi
83'
D
31
L. Sirch
D
6
F. Kunze
83'
M
F. Kunze
83'
M
2
Simon Asta
83'
M
Simon Asta
83'
M
8
S. Sahin
M
37
Leon Robinson
65'
M
Leon Robinson
65'
M
26
P. Joly
M
P. Joly
M
7
M. Ritter
66'
F
M. Ritter
66'
F
20
Mergim Berisha
F
Mergim Berisha
F
Bench
16
Atanas Chernev
11'
D
Atanas Chernev
11'
D
13
Erik Wekesser
11'
D
Erik Wekesser
11'
D
3
Florian Kleinhansl
D
Florian Kleinhansl
D
5
Kim Ji-Soo
D
Kim Ji-Soo
D
17
N. Bassette
28'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Rossipal
D · Dynamo
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 57 pass
F. Kunze
M · 1.
7.50
· 38 pass
V. Vermeij
F · Dynamo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Thomas Keller
D · Dynamo
7.20
1 shots
· 76 pass
Ben Bobzien
M · Dynamo
7.20
3 shots
· 32 pass
Tim Schreiber
G · Dynamo
7.00
· 49 pass
Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Schreiber | G | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Rossipal | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | — | — | — | |
| Thomas Keller | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonas Sterner | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Kofi Jeremy Amoako | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Robert Wagner | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Bobzien | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Niklas Hauptmann | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jason Ceka | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Vermeij | F | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Jakob Lemmer | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luca Herrmann | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Jacob Rasmussen | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gyamfi | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sirch | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Kunze | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Simon Asta | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Sahin | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Leon Robinson | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Joly | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Ritter | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mergim Berisha | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Atanas Chernev | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Wekesser | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Bassette | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Dynamo Dresden win, 19% to a draw, and 22% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.