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Dynamo Dresden - FC Schalke 04

DFB Pokal October 28, 2026 18:00 Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
vs
FC Schalke 04
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 11.8°C 💨 8 km/h · Dresden
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.0%
Win
Dynamo Dresden
24.71%
Draw
40.28%
Win
FC Schalke 04
1.61
Expected xG
1.73

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.55%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 25%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 65%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
✓ 97.5% hit rate (40 picks)
Over 2.5 74%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Schalke 04 a 40% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Dynamo Dresden. Expected goals are 1.6 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.7 for FC Schalke 04 (total 3.3), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.55% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Schalke 04.

Season Stats

Dynamo Dresden
1W 0D 1L
FC Schalke 04
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
7.5
Shots OT
7.7
7.0
Corners
7.0
63%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Dynamo Dresden
0W 0D 1L · at home
FC Schalke 04
2W 0D 1L · away
0.0
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
0%
Win %
67%
0%
Win or Draw
67%
0%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
67%
0%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
100%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dynamo Dresden FC Schalke 04 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.7% 9.9% 8.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.5% 4.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
W Westfalia Rhynern 0–6
L FSV Mainz 05 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04
W Hallescher FC 2–5
L SV Darmstadt 98 4–0
W Lokomotive Leipzig 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
Attack
37
Defence
47
Form
44
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04
Attack
32
Defence
68
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Dynamo Dresden
1
Draw
1
FC Schalke 04
7 Feb 2026 2. Bundesliga 2–2
31 Aug 2025 2. Bundesliga 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04?
The model gives Dynamo Dresden a 35% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 40% for an FC Schalke 04 win.
How many goals are expected in Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04?
Expected goals: Dynamo Dresden 1.6, FC Schalke 04 1.7 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.55%.