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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 15:30 Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
#17 · 4 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Holstein Kiel
#16 · 4 pts
V. Vermeij (ast. A. Rossipal) 14'
V. Vermeij (ast. K. Amoako) 36'
81' (ast. L. Parduzi) P. Harres
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Holstein Kiel 24%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
0.84
Actual xG
0.99
2
Saves
0
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
9
31
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Rossipal
1'
⚽V. Vermeij · ast. A. Rossipal
14'
⚽V. Vermeij · ast. K. Amoako
36'
41'
L. Rosenboom
R. Wagner
45'+3
45'+4
(missed pen.) A. Bernhardsson⚽
45'+5
M. Ivezic
46'
S. Schwab / A. Kapralik ↕
↕ A. Rossipal / K. Faber
68'
↕ J. Ceka / J. Lemmer
69'
74'
L. Parduzi / M. Ivezic ↕
74'
I. Ugoh / A. Bernhardsson ↕
↕ V. Vermeij / T. Menzel
74'
↕ N. Hauptmann / S. Kutschke
75'
81'
ast. L. Parduzi · P. Harres⚽
82'
F. Roslyng / D. Zec ↕
↕ K. Amoako / C. Daferner
89'
90'+1
P. Harres
Pre-match prediction
53.8%
Dynamo ←
22.15%
X
24.05%
Holstein
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo Dresden) 53.8% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dynamo
1.81
0.84
-0.97
Holstein
1.14
0.99
-0.15
xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 0.99). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 6 7
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 6 7
10 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4
Lineups
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1
1 T. Schreiber T. Schreiber G 7.90
19 A. Rossipal A. Rossipal 1 👟 69' D 7.90
42 F. Muller F. Muller D 7.30
39 T. Keller T. Keller D 7.20
32 J. Sterner J. Sterner D 7.30
6 Kofi Jeremy Amoako Kofi Jeremy Amoako 1 👟 89' M 7.30
18 R. Wagner R. Wagner M 5.60
20 B. Bobzien B. Bobzien M 6.00
27 N. Hauptmann N. Hauptmann 74' M 6.90
7 J. Çeka J. Çeka 69' M 6.60
9 V. Vermeij V. Vermeij 2 ⚽ 74' F 8.90
Bench
33 C. Daferner C. Daferner 1' F
37 Daniel Mesenhöler Daniel Mesenhöler G
10 J. Lemmer J. Lemmer 21' M 6.30
2 K. Faber K. Faber 21' D 6.50
29 L. Boeder L. Boeder D
8 L. Herrmann L. Herrmann M
16 N. Fröling N. Fröling F
30 S. Kutschke S. Kutschke 19' F 6.90
24 Tony Menzel Tony Menzel 16' M 6.30
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-1-4-1
1 T. Weiner T. Weiner G 6.30
6 Marko Ivezić Marko Ivezić 74' D 5.70
26 D. Zec D. Zec 82' D 6.90
13 I. Nekić I. Nekić D 7.30
23 Lasse Rosenboom Lasse Rosenboom D 6.30
28 J. Meffert J. Meffert M 6.30
11 A. Bernhardsson A. Bernhardsson 74' M 6.00
10 J. Therkelsen J. Therkelsen M 6.20
8 U. Tohumcu U. Tohumcu M 6.30
20 A. Kaprálik A. Kaprálik 45' M 6.20
19 P. Harres P. Harres 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
2 Frederik Roslyng Frederik Roslyng 8' D 7.00
49 I. Ugoh I. Ugoh 16' M 6.70
21 J. Krumrey J. Krumrey G
43 Lenny Borges Lenny Borges D
40 Leon Parduzi Leon Parduzi 1 👟 16' D 6.90
3 Marco Komenda Marco Komenda D
25 Marcus Müller Marcus Müller F
29 N. Niehoff N. Niehoff M
22 S. Schwab S. Schwab 45' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
V. Vermeij
V. Vermeij
F · Dynamo
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
T. Schreiber
T. Schreiber
G · Dynamo
7.90
· 37 pass
A. Rossipal
A. Rossipal
D · Dynamo
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
F. Muller
F. Muller
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 42 pass
J. Sterner
J. Sterner
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 43 pass
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
M · Dynamo
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Schreiber G 90 7.90 — — — 37 26% — — —
A. Rossipal D 69 7.90 — 1 1 26 19% 1 1 —
F. Muller D 90 7.30 — — — 42 36% 4 — —
T. Keller D 90 7.20 — — 1 41 33% 4 — —
J. Sterner D 90 7.30 — — — 43 36% 3 — —
Kofi Jeremy Amoako M 89 7.30 — 1 1 41 35% 5 — —
R. Wagner M 90 5.60 — — — 31 25% 4 1 —
B. Bobzien M 90 6.00 — — 1 25 20% 3 — —
N. Hauptmann M 74 6.90 — — — 13 9% 4 — —
J. Çeka M 69 6.60 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
V. Vermeij F 74 8.90 2 — 2 14 8% 2 — —
C. Daferner F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Lemmer M 21 6.30 — — 1 7 5% — — —
K. Faber D 21 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
S. Kutschke F 19 6.90 — — — 5 3% — — —
Tony Menzel M 16 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Weiner G 90 6.30 — — — 56 47% — — —
Marko Ivezić D 74 5.70 — — — 53 50% — 1 —
D. Zec D 82 6.90 — — 1 72 66% 1 — —
I. Nekić D 90 7.30 — — — 60 48% 3 — —
Lasse Rosenboom D 90 6.30 — — — 54 43% 6 1 —
J. Meffert M 90 6.30 — — — 52 48% 4 — —
A. Bernhardsson M 74 6.00 — — 1 24 20% 3 — —
J. Therkelsen M 90 6.20 — — 1 32 28% 1 — —
U. Tohumcu M 90 6.30 — — 2 40 35% 1 — —
A. Kaprálik M 45 6.20 — — — 9 7% — — —
P. Harres F 90 7.00 1 — 1 10 9% — 1 —
Frederik Roslyng D 8 7.00 — — — 11 10% — — —
I. Ugoh M 16 6.70 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Leon Parduzi D 16 6.90 — 1 — 12 12% — — —
S. Schwab M 45 6.60 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Dynamo Dresden win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Holstein Kiel win.