V. Vermeij
(ast. A. Rossipal)
14'
V. Vermeij
(ast. K. Amoako)
36'
81'
(ast. L. Parduzi)
P. Harres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Holstein Kiel 24%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Holstein Kiel.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
0.84
Actual xG
0.99
2
Saves
0
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
9
31
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Rossipal
1'
⚽V. Vermeij
· ast. A. Rossipal
14'
⚽V. Vermeij
· ast. K. Amoako
36'
41'
L. Rosenboom
R. Wagner
45'+3
45'+4
(missed pen.)
A. Bernhardsson⚽
45'+5
M. Ivezic
46'
S. Schwab
/
A. Kapralik
A. Rossipal
/ K. Faber
68'
J. Ceka
/ J. Lemmer
69'
74'
L. Parduzi
/
M. Ivezic
74'
I. Ugoh
/
A. Bernhardsson
V. Vermeij
/ T. Menzel
74'
N. Hauptmann
/ S. Kutschke
75'
81'
ast. L. Parduzi ·
P. Harres⚽
82'
F. Roslyng
/
D. Zec
K. Amoako
/ C. Daferner
89'
90'+1
P. Harres
Pre-match prediction
53.8%
Dynamo ←
22.15%
X
24.05%
Holstein
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo Dresden)
53.8%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
0.84
-0.97
1.14
0.99
-0.15
xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 0.99).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Tim Schreiber
G
Tim Schreiber
G
19
Alexander Rossipal
1 👟
69'
D
Alexander Rossipal
1 👟
69'
D
42
Friedrich Müller
D
Friedrich Müller
D
39
Thomas Keller
D
Thomas Keller
D
32
Jonas Sterner
D
Jonas Sterner
D
6
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
1 👟
89'
M
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
1 👟
89'
M
18
Robert Wagner
M
Robert Wagner
M
20
Ben Bobzien
M
Ben Bobzien
M
27
Niklas Hauptmann
74'
M
Niklas Hauptmann
74'
M
7
Jason Ceka
69'
M
Jason Ceka
69'
M
9
Vincent Vermeij
2 ⚽
74'
F
Vincent Vermeij
2 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
33
Christoph Daferner
1'
F
Christoph Daferner
1'
F
37
Daniel Mesenhöler
G
Daniel Mesenhöler
G
10
Jakob Lemmer
21'
M
Jakob Lemmer
21'
M
2
K. Faber
21'
D
K. Faber
21'
D
8
Luca Herrmann
M
Luca Herrmann
M
29
Lukas Boeder
D
Lukas Boeder
D
16
Nils Fröling
F
Nils Fröling
F
30
S. Kutschke
19'
F
S. Kutschke
19'
F
24
Tony Menzel
16'
M
Tony Menzel
16'
M
1
Timon Weiner
G
Timon Weiner
G
6
Marko Ivezić
74'
D
Marko Ivezić
74'
D
26
David Zec
82'
D
David Zec
82'
D
13
I. Nekić
D
I. Nekić
D
23
Lasse Rosenboom
D
Lasse Rosenboom
D
28
Jonas Meffert
M
Jonas Meffert
M
11
Alexander Bernhardsson
74'
M
Alexander Bernhardsson
74'
M
10
Jonas Therkelsen
M
Jonas Therkelsen
M
8
Umut Tohumcu
M
Umut Tohumcu
M
20
A. Kaprálik
45'
M
A. Kaprálik
45'
M
19
P. Harres
1 ⚽
F
P. Harres
1 ⚽
F
Bench
2
Frederik Roslyng
8'
D
Frederik Roslyng
8'
D
49
Ikem Ugoh
16'
M
Ikem Ugoh
16'
M
21
Jonas Krumrey
G
Jonas Krumrey
G
43
Lenny Borges
D
Lenny Borges
D
40
Leon Parduzi
1 👟
16'
D
Leon Parduzi
1 👟
16'
D
3
Marco Komenda
D
Marco Komenda
D
25
Marcus Müller
F
Marcus Müller
F
29
N. Niehoff
M
N. Niehoff
M
22
S. Schwab
45'
M
S. Schwab
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Vincent Vermeij
F · Dynamo
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Tim Schreiber
G · Dynamo
7.90
· 37 pass
Alexander Rossipal
D · Dynamo
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 26 pass
Friedrich Müller
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 42 pass
Jonas Sterner
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 43 pass
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
M · Dynamo
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Schreiber | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Rossipal | D | 69 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Friedrich Müller | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Thomas Keller | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Jonas Sterner | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Kofi Jeremy Amoako | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| Robert Wagner | M | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Ben Bobzien | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Niklas Hauptmann | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Jason Ceka | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Vincent Vermeij | F | 74 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Christoph Daferner | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jakob Lemmer | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| K. Faber | D | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Kutschke | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tony Menzel | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timon Weiner | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Marko Ivezić | D | 74 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| David Zec | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Nekić | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Lasse Rosenboom | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Jonas Meffert | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | M | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Jonas Therkelsen | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Umut Tohumcu | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kaprálik | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| P. Harres | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Frederik Roslyng | D | 8 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ikem Ugoh | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Leon Parduzi | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Schwab | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Dynamo Dresden win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Holstein Kiel win.