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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 15:30 Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
#11 · 41 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Holstein Kiel
#12 · 41 pts
V. Vermeij (ast. A. Rossipal) 14'
V. Vermeij (ast. K. Amoako) 36'
81' (ast. L. Parduzi) P. Harres
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Holstein Kiel 24%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
0.84
Actual xG
0.99
2
Saves
0
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
9
31
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Rossipal
1'
⚽V. Vermeij · ast. A. Rossipal
14'
⚽V. Vermeij · ast. K. Amoako
36'
41'
L. Rosenboom
R. Wagner
45'+3
45'+4
(missed pen.) A. Bernhardsson⚽
45'+5
M. Ivezic
46'
S. Schwab / A. Kapralik ↕
↕ A. Rossipal / K. Faber
68'
↕ J. Ceka / J. Lemmer
69'
74'
L. Parduzi / M. Ivezic ↕
74'
I. Ugoh / A. Bernhardsson ↕
↕ V. Vermeij / T. Menzel
74'
↕ N. Hauptmann / S. Kutschke
75'
81'
ast. L. Parduzi · P. Harres⚽
82'
F. Roslyng / D. Zec ↕
↕ K. Amoako / C. Daferner
89'
90'+1
P. Harres
Pre-match prediction
53.8%
Dynamo ←
22.15%
X
24.05%
Holstein
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo Dresden) 53.8% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dynamo
1.81
0.84
-0.97
Holstein
1.14
0.99
-0.15
xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 0.99). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 34 70
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 34 62
3 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 34 62
4 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 34 60
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52
7 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 34 51
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 34 46
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 34 44
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 34 44
11 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 34 41
12 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 34 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 34 39
14 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 34 37
17 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 34 37
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 34 30
Lineups
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1
1 Tim Schreiber Tim Schreiber G 7.90
19 A. Rossipal A. Rossipal 1 👟 69' D 7.90
42 Friedrich Muller Friedrich Muller D 7.30
39 Thomas Keller Thomas Keller D 7.20
32 Jonas Sterner Jonas Sterner D 7.30
6 Kofi Jeremy Amoako Kofi Jeremy Amoako 1 👟 89' M 7.30
18 Robert Wagner Robert Wagner M 5.60
20 Ben Bobzien Ben Bobzien M 6.00
27 Niklas Hauptmann Niklas Hauptmann 74' M 6.90
7 Jason Ceka Jason Ceka 69' M 6.60
9 V. Vermeij V. Vermeij 2 ⚽ 74' F 8.90
Bench
33 Christoph Daferner Christoph Daferner 1' F
37 Daniel Mesenhöler Daniel Mesenhöler G
10 Jakob Lemmer Jakob Lemmer 21' M 6.30
2 Konrad Faber Konrad Faber 21' D 6.50
8 Luca Herrmann Luca Herrmann M
29 Lukas Boeder Lukas Boeder D
16 Nils Fröling Nils Fröling F
30 S. Kutschke S. Kutschke 19' F 6.90
24 Tony Menzel Tony Menzel 16' M 6.30
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-1-4-1
1 Timon Weiner Timon Weiner G 6.30
6 Marko Ivezić Marko Ivezić 74' D 5.70
26 D. Zec D. Zec 82' D 6.90
13 Ivan Nekić Ivan Nekić D 7.30
23 Lasse Rosenboom Lasse Rosenboom D 6.30
28 Jonas Meffert Jonas Meffert M 6.30
11 A. Bernhardsson A. Bernhardsson 74' M 6.00
10 Jonas Therkelsen Jonas Therkelsen M 6.20
8 Umut Tohumcu Umut Tohumcu M 6.30
20
Adrián Kaprálik 45' M 6.20
19 P. Harres P. Harres 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
2 Frederik Roslyng Frederik Roslyng 8' D 7.00
49 Ikem Ugoh Ikem Ugoh 16' M 6.70
21 Jonas Krumrey Jonas Krumrey G
43 Lenny Borges Lenny Borges D
40
L. Parduzi 1 👟 16' D 6.90
3 Marco Komenda Marco Komenda D
25 Marcus Müller Marcus Müller F
29 Niklas Niehoff Niklas Niehoff M
22 Stefan Schwab Stefan Schwab 45' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
V. Vermeij
V. Vermeij
F · Dynamo
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
Tim Schreiber
Tim Schreiber
G · Dynamo
7.90
· 37 pass
A. Rossipal
A. Rossipal
D · Dynamo
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
Friedrich Muller
Friedrich Muller
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 42 pass
Jonas Sterner
Jonas Sterner
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 43 pass
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
M · Dynamo
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Tim Schreiber G 90 7.90 — — — 37 26% — — —
A. Rossipal D 69 7.90 — 1 1 26 19% 1 1 —
Friedrich Muller D 90 7.30 — — — 42 36% 4 — —
Thomas Keller D 90 7.20 — — 1 41 33% 4 — —
Jonas Sterner D 90 7.30 — — — 43 36% 3 — —
Kofi Jeremy Amoako M 89 7.30 — 1 1 41 35% 5 — —
Robert Wagner M 90 5.60 — — — 31 25% 4 1 —
Ben Bobzien M 90 6.00 — — 1 25 20% 3 — —
Niklas Hauptmann M 74 6.90 — — — 13 9% 4 — —
Jason Ceka M 69 6.60 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
V. Vermeij F 74 8.90 2 — 2 14 8% 2 — —
Christoph Daferner F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Jakob Lemmer M 21 6.30 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Konrad Faber D 21 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
S. Kutschke F 19 6.90 — — — 5 3% — — —
Tony Menzel M 16 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Timon Weiner G 90 6.30 — — — 56 47% — — —
Marko Ivezić D 74 5.70 — — — 53 50% — 1 —
D. Zec D 82 6.90 — — 1 72 66% 1 — —
Ivan Nekić D 90 7.30 — — — 60 48% 3 — —
Lasse Rosenboom D 90 6.30 — — — 54 43% 6 1 —
Jonas Meffert M 90 6.30 — — — 52 48% 4 — —
A. Bernhardsson M 74 6.00 — — 1 24 20% 3 — —
Jonas Therkelsen M 90 6.20 — — 1 32 28% 1 — —
Umut Tohumcu M 90 6.30 — — 2 40 35% 1 — —
Adrián Kaprálik M 45 6.20 — — — 9 7% — — —
P. Harres F 90 7.00 1 — 1 10 9% — 1 —
Frederik Roslyng D 8 7.00 — — — 11 10% — — —
Ikem Ugoh M 16 6.70 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
L. Parduzi D 16 6.90 — 1 — 12 12% — — —
Stefan Schwab M 45 6.60 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Dynamo Dresden win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Holstein Kiel win.