2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 15:00
J. Ceka
(ast. B. Bobzien)
5'
V. Vermeij
(ast. B. Bobzien)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 51% win probability (draw 24%, VfL Bochum 24%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfL Bochum.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
1.44
Actual xG
0.65
5
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
5
23
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Ceka
· ast. B. Bobzien
5'
34'
E. Masovic
54'
L. Morgalla
⚽V. Vermeij
· ast. B. Bobzien
58'
64'
K. Watjen
/
C. Marshall
64'
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
/
G. Holtmann
J. Ceka
/ J. Lemmer
69'
K. Amoako
/ L. Boeder
74'
N. Hauptmann
/ T. Menzel
74'
76'
K. Koscierski
/
K. Miyoshi
76'
K. Vogt
/
E. Masovic
82'
M. Kwarteng
/
L. Morgalla
V. Vermeij
/ C. Daferner
85'
R. Wagner
/ L. Herrmann
85'
Pre-match prediction
51.32%
Dynamo ←
24.06%
X
24.63%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo Dresden)
51.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.44
-0.33
1.10
0.65
-0.45
Dynamo Dresden dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
37
G
19
Alexander Rossipal
D
42
D
13
D
32
Jonas Sterner
D
6
K. Amoako
75'
M
18
Robert Wagner
85'
M
20
B. Bobzien
2 👟
M
27
N. Hauptmann
75'
M
7
J. Ceka
1 ⚽
69'
M
9
V. Vermeij
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
10
J. Lemmer
21'
M
8
L. Herrmann
9'
M
30
S. Kutschke
F
24
T. Menzel
15'
M
1
G
39
L. Morgalla
82'
D
3
Philipp Strompf
D
4
E. Masovic
76'
D
13
Oliver Olsen
D
24
Mats Pannewig
M
19
Matúš Bero
M
17
G. Holtmann
64'
M
21
F. Onyeka
M
23
K. Miyoshi
76'
M
16
Callum Marshall
64'
F
Bench
34
Cajetan Lenz
M
29
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
26'
F
7
Kevin Vogt
14'
D
8
K. Watjen
26'
M
32
Maximilian Wittek
D
11
M. Kwarteng
8'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Bobzien
M · Dynamo
8.60
2 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
J. Ceka
M · Dynamo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
V. Vermeij
F · Dynamo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
G · Dynamo
7.50
· 68 pass
K. Amoako
M · Dynamo
7.50
1 shots
· 21 pass
G · VfL
7.50
· 24 pass
Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| Alexander Rossipal | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 106 | 98% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 85 | 77% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jonas Sterner | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Amoako | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 5 | — | — |
| Robert Wagner | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| B. Bobzien | M | 90 | 8.60 | — | 2 | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Hauptmann | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Ceka | M | 69 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Vermeij | F | 85 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Lemmer | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Herrmann | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Menzel | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
VfL Bochum — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| L. Morgalla | D | 82 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Philipp Strompf | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 92 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Masovic | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Oliver Olsen | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Mats Pannewig | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Matúš Bero | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Holtmann | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| F. Onyeka | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Miyoshi | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Callum Marshall | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Alfa-Ruprecht | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Vogt | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Watjen | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Kwarteng | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Dynamo Dresden win, 24% to a draw, and 24% to an VfL Bochum win.