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Dynamo Kyiv - Qarabag

Conference League August 06, 2026 19:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.27%
Win
Dynamo Kyiv
24.71%
Draw
42.03%
Win
Qarabag
1.41
Expected xG
1.86

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.24%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 33%
X 25%
2 42%
Double Chance
1X 58%
X2 67%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Qarabag a 42% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dynamo Kyiv. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dynamo Kyiv and 1.9 for Qarabag (total 3.3), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.24% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Dynamo Kyiv Qarabag →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 7.1% 6.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.4% 10.0% 9.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.8% 3.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W FC Noah 2–0
L Fiorentina 2–1
L Omonia Nicosia 2–0
W Zrinjski 6–0
L Samsunspor 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
Attack
47
Defence
59
Form
52
Qarabag Qarabag
Attack
51
Defence
75
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?
The model gives Dynamo Kyiv a 33% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 42% for an Qarabag win.
How many goals are expected in Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?
Expected goals: Dynamo Kyiv 1.4, Qarabag 1.9 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.24%.