Conference League
· 3rd Qualifying Round
August 06, 2026 19:00
M. Ponomarenko
10'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Qarabag a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Dynamo Kyiv 34%). The final result was Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 Qarabag. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Kyiv have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Qarabag.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
2
39%
Possession
61%
3
Corners
11
Match Events
⚽M. Ponomarenko
10'
V. Dubinchak
14'
62'
M. Qurbanly
/
R. Cephas
62'
Kady Borges
/
O. Kashchuk
J. Lonwijk
/ M. Shaparenko
69'
V. Dubinchak
/ O. Tymchyk
69'
E. Guerrero
/ N. Voloshyn
69'
75'
S. Lobato
/
Pedro Bicalho
75'
B. Langa
/
E. Cafarquliyev
79'
J. Montiel
/
M. Jankovic
B. Redushko
/ V. Kabaev
80'
T. Kedziora
81'
V. Rubchynskyi
/ O. Pikhalyonok
87'
88'
C. Makreckis
90'+4
Matheus Silva
M. Shaparenko
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
34.12%
Dynamo ←
25.04%
X
40.84%
Qarabag
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo Kyiv)
34.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
—
—
2.19
—
—
Lineups
71
V. Surkis
G
V. Surkis
G
44
V. Dubinchak
D
V. Dubinchak
D
32
T. Mykhavko
D
T. Mykhavko
D
94
T. Kędziora
D
T. Kędziora
D
5
O. Sych
D
O. Sych
D
15
V. Rubchynskyi
M
V. Rubchynskyi
M
6
V. Brazhko
M
V. Brazhko
M
70
Bogdan Redushko
M
21
J. Lonwijk
M
J. Lonwijk
M
39
E. Guerrero
F
E. Guerrero
F
11
M. Ponomarenko
1 ⚽
F
M. Ponomarenko
1 ⚽
F
Bench
66
A. Thiare
D
A. Thiare
D
7
A. Yarmolenko
M
A. Yarmolenko
M
43
I. Olkhovyi
G
I. Olkhovyi
G
40
K. Bilovar
D
K. Bilovar
D
10
M. Shaparenko
M
M. Shaparenko
M
9
N. Voloshyn
M
N. Voloshyn
M
8
O. Pikhalyonok
M
O. Pikhalyonok
M
18
O. Tymchyk
D
O. Tymchyk
D
99
P. Mounguengue
F
P. Mounguengue
F
35
R. Neshcheret
G
R. Neshcheret
G
29
Vitaliy Buyalskiy
M
22
V. Kabaev
M
V. Kabaev
M
99
M. Kochalski
G
M. Kochalski
G
44
Elvin Cafarquliyev
D
4
B. Várkonyi
D
B. Várkonyi
D
2
Matheus Silva
D
Matheus Silva
D
25
Č. Makreckis
M
Č. Makreckis
M
8
M. Janković
M
M. Janković
M
35
Pedro Bicalho
M
Pedro Bicalho
M
29
R. Cephas
F
R. Cephas
F
10
Abdellah Zoubir
M
7
Jaly Mouaddib
M
Jaly Mouaddib
M
21
Olexiy Kashchuk
M
Olexiy Kashchuk
M
Bench
49
Ali Bashirov
M
Ali Bashirov
M
55
B. Hüseynov
D
B. Hüseynov
D
13
B. Mustafazadə
D
B. Mustafazadə
D
5
Bruno Langa
D
Bruno Langa
D
32
Hikmat Cabrayilzada
M
Hikmat Cabrayilzada
M
9
Joni Montiel
M
Joni Montiel
M
20
Kady Borges
M
Kady Borges
M
22
M. Qurbanlı
F
M. Qurbanlı
F
23
M. Zlomislić
G
M. Zlomislić
G
88
Samuel Lobato
M
Samuel Lobato
M
1
Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
G
Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
G
Dynamo Kyiv — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Surkis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Dubinchak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Mykhavko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kędziora | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Sych | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Rubchynskyi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Brazhko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bogdan Redushko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lonwijk | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Guerrero | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ponomarenko | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Qarabag — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kochalski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elvin Cafarquliyev | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Várkonyi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Silva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Č. Makreckis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Janković | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Bicalho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Cephas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdellah Zoubir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaly Mouaddib | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olexiy Kashchuk | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?
The final score was Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 Qarabag.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Dynamo Kyiv win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an Qarabag win.