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Dynamo - Akhmat

Cup September 03, 2026 18:30
Dynamo
vs
Akhmat
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.13%
Win
Dynamo
29.53%
Draw
25.34%
Win
Akhmat
1.71
Expected xG
1.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.71%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 30%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 55%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dynamo a 45% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Akhmat. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dynamo and 1.1 for Akhmat (total 2.8), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.71% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Dynamo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Akhmat.

Season Stats

Dynamo
6W 4D 3L
Akhmat
1W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.3
0.8
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
46%
O 1.5
86%
46%
O 2.5
57%
23%
BTTS
71%
54%
Clean Sht
14%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
46%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Dynamo
3W 1D 2L · at home
Akhmat
0W 2D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.5
1.5
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
75%
67%
O 3.5
25%
33%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dynamo Akhmat →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Dynamo Dynamo
W Fakel 0–1
D FC Krasnodar 0–0
D FC Krasnodar 0–0
L Spartak Moscow 1–0
W Spartak Moscow 5–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Akhmat Akhmat
D FC Krasnodar 1–1
D Rubin 3–3
L FC Orenburg 0–1
L Zenit 2–1
W Rubin 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Dynamo Dynamo
Attack
51
Defence
79
Form
70
Akhmat Akhmat
Attack
41
Defence
82
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Dynamo
1
Draw
1
Akhmat
30 Nov 2025 Premier League 1–2
19 Oct 2025 Premier League 2–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dynamo vs Akhmat?
The model gives Dynamo a 45% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 25% for an Akhmat win.
How many goals are expected in Dynamo vs Akhmat?
Expected goals: Dynamo 1.7, Akhmat 1.1 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Dynamo vs Akhmat?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.71%.