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Premier League · Regular Season - 11 October 18, 2026 15:15 VTB Arena, Moscow
Dynamo
#2 · 25 pts
3 – 1
Final score
CSKA Moscow
#3 · 25 pts
Konstantin Tyukavin (ast. Yaroslav Gladyshev) 31'
Roberto Fernandez (ast. Bitello) 88'
Viktor Okishor (ast. Ivan Sergeev) 90'+2
(pen.) 43' Ivan Oblyakov
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo a 37% win probability (draw 30%, CSKA Moscow 31%). The final result was Dynamo 3–1 CSKA Moscow. In 4 previous meetings, Dynamo have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for CSKA Moscow.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
5
2.16
Actual xG
1.91
4
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
2
18
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
27'
Luciano Gondou
⚽Konstantin Tyukavin · ast. Yaroslav Gladyshev
31'
34'
43'
(pen.) Ivan Oblyakov⚽
Daniil Fomin
45'
67'
Matheus Alves / Kirill Glebov ↕
↕ Arthur Gomes / Maximiliano Gutierrez
68'
69'
Maksim Voronov / Luciano Gondou ↕
↕ Dmitriy Skopintsev / Maksim Osipenko
69'
↕ Yaroslav Gladyshev / Viktor Okishor
76'
80'
Imran Firov / Ivan Oleynikov ↕
↕ Konstantin Tyukavin / Ivan Sergeev
81'
⚽Roberto Fernandez · ast. Bitello
88'
⚽Viktor Okishor · ast. Ivan Sergeev
90'+2
Danil Glebov
90'+4
Roberto Fernandez
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.09%
Dynamo ←
30.94%
X
31.96%
CSKA
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo) 37.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dynamo
1.00
2.16
+1.16
CSKA
0.91
1.91
+1.0
xG dominance was balanced (2.16 – 1.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
Dynamo Dynamo 4-2-3-1
99 A. Lunev A. Lunev G 6.58
7 D. Skopintsev D. Skopintsev 69' D 6.18
57 David Ricardo David Ricardo D 7.48
6 R. Fernández R. Fernández 1 ⚽ D 7.29
2 N. Marichal N. Marichal D 7.03
15 D. Glebov D. Glebov M 6.09
74 D. Fomin D. Fomin M 6.22
11 Arthur Gomes Arthur Gomes 68' M 6.38
10 Bitello Bitello 1 👟 M 7.33
91 Y. Gladyshev Y. Gladyshev 1 👟 76' M 7.24
70 K. Tyukavin K. Tyukavin 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.90
Bench
21 A. Miranchuk A. Miranchuk M 0.00
31 I. Leshchuk I. Leshchuk G 0.00
33 I. Sergeev I. Sergeev 1 👟 9' F 6.76
77 J. Casimir J. Casimir F 0.00
1 K. Rasulov K. Rasulov G 0.00
56 L. Zaydenzal L. Zaydenzal D 0.00
28 M. Gutiérrez M. Gutiérrez 22' F 6.45
55 M. Osipenko M. Osipenko 21' D 6.41
60 T. Marinkin T. Marinkin M 0.00
88 V. Okishor V. Okishor 1 ⚽ 14' M 7.11
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 5-3-2
49 V. Torop V. Torop G 5.61
3 D. Krugovoy D. Krugovoy D 5.72
23 Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov D 6.17
79 M. Zea M. Zea D 6.06
4 João Victor João Victor D 6.49
21 M. Azzi M. Azzi D 6.33
19 I. Oleynikov I. Oleynikov 80' M 5.88
31 M. Kislyak M. Kislyak M 6.41
10 I. Oblyakov I. Oblyakov 1 ⚽ M 6.89
32 L. Gondou L. Gondou 69' F 5.90
17 K. Glebov K. Glebov 67' F 6.41
Bench
18 D. Kozlov D. Kozlov M 0.00
37 Henrique Henrique M 0.00
62 I. Firov I. Firov 10' F 6.27
7 Matheus Alves Matheus Alves 23' M 5.78
2 Matheus Reis Matheus Reis D 0.00
20 Matija Popovic Matija Popovic M 0.00
39 M. Borisko M. Borisko G 0.00
90 M. Lukin M. Lukin D 0.00
99 Nikolay Barovskiy Nikolay Barovskiy G 0.00
61 P. Filyushin P. Filyushin D 0.00
11 T. Musaev T. Musaev F 0.00
Best on the pitch
K. Tyukavin
K. Tyukavin
F · Dynamo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
David Ricardo
David Ricardo
D · Dynamo
7.48
· 78 pass
Bitello
Bitello
M · Dynamo
7.33
1 👟
1 shots · 38 pass
R. Fernández
R. Fernández
D · Dynamo
7.29
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
Y. Gladyshev
Y. Gladyshev
M · Dynamo
7.24
1 👟
4 shots · 18 pass
V. Okishor
V. Okishor
M · Dynamo
7.11
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
Dynamo Dynamo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Lunev G 90 6.58 — — 0 33 19% 0 — —
D. Skopintsev D 69 6.18 — — 0 50 40% 1 — —
David Ricardo D 90 7.48 — — 0 78 66% 4 — —
R. Fernández D 90 7.29 1 — 1 58 51% 1 1 —
N. Marichal D 90 7.03 — — 2 42 36% 1 — —
D. Glebov M 90 6.09 — — 1 52 39% 2 1 —
D. Fomin M 90 6.22 — — 1 32 25% 4 1 —
Arthur Gomes M 68 6.38 — — 0 26 22% 0 — —
Bitello M 90 7.33 — 1 1 38 31% 1 — —
Y. Gladyshev M 76 7.24 — 1 4 18 16% 2 — —
K. Tyukavin F 81 7.90 1 — 1 19 12% 1 — —
I. Sergeev F 9 6.76 — 1 0 4 4% 0 — —
M. Gutiérrez F 22 6.45 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
M. Osipenko D 21 6.41 — — 0 14 12% 1 — —
V. Okishor M 14 7.11 1 — 2 6 5% 0 — —
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Torop G 90 5.61 — — 0 44 26% 0 — —
D. Krugovoy D 90 5.72 — — 1 37 19% 0 — —
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov D 90 6.17 — — 1 49 39% 2 — —
M. Zea D 90 6.06 — — 0 69 54% 0 — —
João Victor D 90 6.49 — — 1 55 45% 6 — —
M. Azzi D 90 6.33 — — 1 34 26% 5 — —
I. Oleynikov M 80 5.88 — — 2 19 15% 0 — —
M. Kislyak M 90 6.41 — — 2 56 51% 1 — —
I. Oblyakov M 90 6.89 1 — 1 54 46% 2 — —
L. Gondou F 69 5.90 — — 1 19 15% 0 1 —
K. Glebov F 67 6.41 — — 1 12 10% 0 — —
I. Firov F 10 6.27 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Matheus Alves M 23 5.78 — — 1 17 15% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow?
The final score was Dynamo 3–1 CSKA Moscow.
What did the model predict before Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Dynamo win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an CSKA Moscow win.