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Ebbsfleet United - Folkestone Invicta

National League South October 06, 2026 20:45
Ebbsfleet United
#22 · 5 pts
vs
Folkestone Invicta
#12 · 12 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Ebbsfleet United
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Folkestone Invicta
1.03
Expected xG
4.5

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.79%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ebbsfleet United a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Folkestone Invicta. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ebbsfleet United and 4.5 for Folkestone Invicta (total 5.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.79% probability.

Season Stats

Ebbsfleet United
8W 3D 4L
Folkestone Invicta
3W 3D 2L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.9
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
38%
53%
BTTS
75%
33%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Ebbsfleet United
5W 4D 1L · at home
Folkestone Invicta
1W 1D 1L · away
2.3
gls/g
1.7
0.9
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
33%
90%
Win or Draw
67%
90%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
33%
60%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
10%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ebbsfleet United Folkestone Invicta →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 1.8% 4.0% 6.0% 6.7% 6.1%
1 0.4% 1.8% 4.1% 6.2% 7.0% 6.3%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1%
4 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 — — — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
D Salisbury 1–1
D Hemel Hempstead Town 0–0
W Walton & Hersham 0–2
L Worthing 2–0
W Hampton & Richmond 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta
L Farnham Town 1–2
D Horsham 1–1
L Torquay 3–2
W Hemel Hempstead Town 2–0
W Slough Town 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
Attack
30
Defence
54
Form
39
Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta
Attack
43
Defence
71
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 9 17
3 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 9 16
4 Salisbury Salisbury 9 15
5 Billericay Town Billericay Town 9 15
6 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 9 14
7 Truro City Truro City 8 14
8 Dover Dover 9 14
9 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 9 13
10 Torquay Torquay 9 13
11 Farnham Town Farnham Town 8 13
12 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 8 12
13 Chesham United Chesham United 9 10
14 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 8 10
15 Horsham Horsham 8 10
16 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 9 10
17 Maidenhead Maidenhead 9 10
18 Braintree Braintree 8 10
19 AFC Totton AFC Totton 8 10
20 Farnborough Farnborough 8 10
21 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 9 8
22 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3 5
23 Slough Town Slough Town 8 3
24 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 8 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
The model gives Ebbsfleet United a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Folkestone Invicta win.
How many goals are expected in Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Expected goals: Ebbsfleet United 1.0, Folkestone Invicta 4.5 (total 5.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.79%.