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Ebbsfleet United - Horsham

National League South October 20, 2026 20:45
Ebbsfleet United
#22 · 5 pts
vs
Horsham
#15 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.95%
Win
Ebbsfleet United
32.74%
Draw
32.31%
Win
Horsham
0.9
Expected xG
1.26

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.28%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ebbsfleet United a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Horsham. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ebbsfleet United and 1.3 for Horsham (total 2.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.28% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ebbsfleet United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Horsham.

Season Stats

Ebbsfleet United
8W 3D 4L
Horsham
4W 5D 6L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Ebbsfleet United
5W 4D 1L · at home
Horsham
1W 2D 7L · away
2.3
gls/g
0.6
0.9
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
10%
90%
Win or Draw
30%
90%
O 1.5
90%
80%
O 2.5
40%
60%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ebbsfleet United Horsham →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6% 14.5% 9.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.4% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
D Salisbury 1–1
D Hemel Hempstead Town 0–0
W Walton & Hersham 0–2
L Worthing 2–0
W Hampton & Richmond 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Horsham Horsham
L Chesham United 1–4
D Folkestone Invicta 1–1
D Dagenham & Redbridge 1–1
L Farnham Town 1–2
W Braintree 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
Attack
30
Defence
54
Form
39
Horsham Horsham
Attack
28
Defence
67
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Ebbsfleet United
1
Draw
1
Horsham
24 Feb 2026 National League South 1–1
25 Nov 2025 National League South 1–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 9 17
3 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 9 16
4 Salisbury Salisbury 9 15
5 Billericay Town Billericay Town 9 15
6 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 9 14
7 Truro City Truro City 8 14
8 Dover Dover 9 14
9 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 9 13
10 Torquay Torquay 9 13
11 Farnham Town Farnham Town 8 13
12 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 8 12
13 Chesham United Chesham United 9 10
14 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 8 10
15 Horsham Horsham 8 10
16 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 9 10
17 Maidenhead Maidenhead 9 10
18 Braintree Braintree 8 10
19 AFC Totton AFC Totton 8 10
20 Farnborough Farnborough 8 10
21 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 9 8
22 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3 5
23 Slough Town Slough Town 8 3
24 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 8 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
The model gives Ebbsfleet United a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Horsham win.
How many goals are expected in Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
Expected goals: Ebbsfleet United 0.9, Horsham 1.3 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.28%.