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Ecuador - Bolivia

Friendlies Internazionali November 18, 2026 00:30
Ecuador
vs
Bolivia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
68.7%
Win
Ecuador
15.95%
Draw
15.35%
Win
Bolivia
4.3
Expected xG
0.8

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–0 (8.77%)
1X2 Result
1 69%
X 16%
2 15%
Double Chance
1X 85%
X2 31%
12 84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ecuador a 68% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 15% for Bolivia. Expected goals are 4.3 for Ecuador and 0.8 for Bolivia (total 5.1), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 8.77% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ecuador have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bolivia.

Season Stats

Ecuador
2W 2D 1L
Bolivia
1W 1D 5L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
0.6
1.2
Conceded
2.3
4.0
Shots OT
1.5
4.8
Corners
2.0
53%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
86%
60%
O 2.5
57%
60%
BTTS
14%
20%
Clean Sht
14%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Ecuador
2W 0D 0L · at home
Bolivia
0W 0D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
0.0
0.5
Conceded
4.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ecuador Bolivia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
1 2.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% — —
2 5.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 8.1% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 8.7% 6.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% —
5 7.5% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% —

Recent form

Ecuador Ecuador
L South Korea 3–0
W Guatemala 3–0
W Saudi Arabia 2–1
D Netherlands 1–1
D Morocco 1–1
Bolivia Bolivia
L Argentina 4–0
L Paraguay 0–2
L Algeria 0–4
L Scotland 0–4
W Trinidad and Tobago 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Ecuador Ecuador
Attack
35
Defence
67
Form
56
Bolivia Bolivia
Attack
9
Defence
38
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Ecuador
0
Draw
0
Bolivia
15 Nov 2024 World Cup - Qual. S.Am. 4–0
13 Oct 2023 World Cup - Qual. S.Am. 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ecuador vs Bolivia?
The model gives Ecuador a 68% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 15% for an Bolivia win.
How many goals are expected in Ecuador vs Bolivia?
Expected goals: Ecuador 4.3, Bolivia 0.8 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Ecuador vs Bolivia?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.77%.