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Ecuador - Costa Rica

Friendlies Internazionali November 13, 2026 22:00
Ecuador
vs
Costa Rica
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.16%
Win
Ecuador
20.88%
Draw
20.97%
Win
Costa Rica
4.25
Expected xG
1.29

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.25%)
1X2 Result
1 58%
X 21%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 42%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ecuador a 58% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Costa Rica. Expected goals are 4.3 for Ecuador and 1.3 for Costa Rica (total 5.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.25% probability.

Season Stats

Ecuador
2W 2D 1L
Costa Rica
0W 1D 3L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
0.8
1.2
Conceded
3.2
4.0
Shots OT
1.5
4.8
Corners
1.5
53%
Poss.
26%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
100%
60%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Ecuador
2W 0D 0L · at home
Costa Rica
0W 1D 2L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
2.7
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ecuador Costa Rica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —
1 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% —
2 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.5% 5.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

Ecuador Ecuador
L South Korea 3–0
W Guatemala 3–0
W Saudi Arabia 2–1
D Netherlands 1–1
D Morocco 1–1
Costa Rica Costa Rica
L England 3–0
L Colombia 3–1
L Iran 0–5
D Jordan 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Ecuador Ecuador
Attack
35
Defence
67
Form
56
Costa Rica Costa Rica
Attack
18
Defence
31
Form
25
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ecuador vs Costa Rica?
The model gives Ecuador a 58% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 20% for an Costa Rica win.
How many goals are expected in Ecuador vs Costa Rica?
Expected goals: Ecuador 4.3, Costa Rica 1.3 (total 5.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Ecuador vs Costa Rica?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.25%.