World Cup
· Group Stage - 2
June 21, 2026 02:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Ecuador, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ecuador a 83% win probability (draw 8%, Curaçao 8%). The final result was Ecuador 0–0 Curaçao.
Match statistics
25
Total shots
7
15
Shots on target
3
3.06
Actual xG
0.48
3
Saves
15
75%
Possession
25%
8
Corners
0
19
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
J. Alcivar
38'
39'
L. Bacuna
J. Alcivar
/ K. Rodriguez
46'
53'
J. Bacuna
56'
L. Comenencia
P. Estupinan
/ N. Angulo
70'
75'
J. Gaari
75'
K. Gorre
/
J. Bacuna
76'
R. van Eijma
/
D. Fonville
76'
J. Margaritha
/
T. Chong
A. Franco
/ A. Preciado
83'
83'
G. Kastaneer
/
J. Locadia
84'
G. Roemeratoe
/
L. Comenencia
J. Yeboah
/ J. Caicedo
89'
90'+1
G. Kastaneer
Pre-match prediction
83.31%
Ecuador
8.63%
X ←
8.06%
Curaçao
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
8.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.68
3.06
-0.62
0.76
0.48
-0.28
Ecuador dominated by xG (3.06 vs 0.48).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
H. Galíndez
G
H. Galíndez
G
3
P. Hincapié
D
P. Hincapié
D
6
W. Pacho
D
W. Pacho
D
21
A. Franco
83'
D
A. Franco
83'
D
5
J. Alcívar
45'
M
J. Alcívar
45'
M
7
P. Estupiñán
70'
M
P. Estupiñán
70'
M
23
M. Caicedo
M
M. Caicedo
M
15
P. Vite
M
P. Vite
M
9
J. Yeboah
89'
M
J. Yeboah
89'
M
13
E. Valencia
F
E. Valencia
F
19
G. Plata
F
G. Plata
F
Bench
14
A. Minda
F
A. Minda
F
17
A. Preciado
10'
D
A. Preciado
10'
D
8
A. Valencia
F
A. Valencia
F
18
D. Castillo
M
D. Castillo
M
2
F. Torres
D
F. Torres
D
22
G. Valle
G
G. Valle
G
16
J. Caicedo
4'
F
J. Caicedo
4'
F
24
Jeremy Arévalo
F
Jeremy Arévalo
F
4
J. Ordoñez
D
J. Ordoñez
D
25
J. Porozo
D
J. Porozo
D
10
K. Páez
M
K. Páez
M
11
K. Rodríguez
48'
F
K. Rodríguez
48'
F
12
M. Ramírez
G
M. Ramírez
G
20
N. Angulo
23'
F
N. Angulo
23'
F
26
Y. Medina
D
Y. Medina
D
1
E. Room
G
E. Room
G
24
Deveron Fonville
76'
D
Deveron Fonville
76'
D
5
S. Floranus
D
S. Floranus
D
18
A. Obispo
D
A. Obispo
D
3
J. Gaari
D
J. Gaari
D
20
J. Brenet
D
J. Brenet
D
7
J. Bacuna
75'
M
J. Bacuna
75'
M
10
L. Bacuna
M
L. Bacuna
M
8
L. Comenencia
84'
M
L. Comenencia
84'
M
21
T. Chong
76'
M
T. Chong
76'
M
9
J. Locadia
83'
F
J. Locadia
83'
F
Bench
15
A. Martha
M
A. Martha
M
17
B. Kuwas
F
B. Kuwas
F
19
G. Kastaneer
10'
F
G. Kastaneer
10'
F
6
G. Roemeratoe
9'
M
G. Roemeratoe
9'
M
11
J. Antonisse
F
J. Antonisse
F
16
J. Margaritha
17'
F
J. Margaritha
17'
F
22
K. Felida
M
K. Felida
M
14
K. Gorré
18'
F
K. Gorré
18'
F
23
R. Bazoer
D
R. Bazoer
D
4
R. van Eijma
17'
D
R. van Eijma
17'
D
12
S. Hansen
F
S. Hansen
F
2
S. Sambo
D
S. Sambo
D
25
T. Bodak
G
T. Bodak
G
26
T. Doornbusch
G
T. Doornbusch
G
13
T. Noslin
M
T. Noslin
M
Best on the pitch
E. Room
G · Curaçao
10.00
· 30 pass
M. Caicedo
M · Ecuador
8.00
1 shots
· 109 pass
H. Galíndez
G · Ecuador
7.90
· 14 pass
P. Vite
M · Ecuador
7.90
2 shots
· 93 pass
S. Floranus
D · Curaçao
7.50
1 shots
· 18 pass
W. Pacho
D · Ecuador
7.30
1 shots
· 69 pass
Ecuador — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Galíndez | G | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| P. Hincapié | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Alcívar | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Estupiñán | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 93 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 109 | 97% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Vite | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 93 | 87% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Yeboah | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 6 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Plata | F | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 5 | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Preciado | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Caicedo | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Rodríguez | F | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Angulo | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Curaçao — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Room | G | 93 | 10.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Floranus | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Obispo | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gaari | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Brenet | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Bacuna | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Bacuna | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Comenencia | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Chong | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Locadia | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Kastaneer | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Roemeratoe | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Margaritha | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| K. Gorré | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| R. van Eijma | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ecuador vs Curaçao?
The final score was Ecuador 0–0 Curaçao.
What did the model predict before Ecuador vs Curaçao?
The model assigned 83% probability to a Ecuador win, 8% to a draw, and 8% to an Curaçao win.