M. Saber
(ast. Trezeguet)
5'
14'
R. Rezaeian
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Egypt a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Iran 28%). The final result was Egypt 1–1 Iran.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
0.81
Actual xG
1.76
3
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
2
16
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽M. Saber
· ast. Trezeguet
5'
11'
(missed pen.)
M. Taremi⚽
14'
R. Rezaeian⚽
M. Abdelmonem
/ Y. Ibrahim
14'
19'
H. Kanaani
M. Saber
20'
Y. Ibrahim
42'
43'
A. Nemati
46'
S. Hardani
/
H. Kanaani
E. Ashour
/ O. Marmoush
46'
M. Saber
/ M. Attia
46'
M. Salah
/ Zizo
57'
67'
S. Moghanlou
/
S. Ghoddos
M. Ziko
/ H. Abdelkarim
76'
79'
S. Ezatolahi
90'+1
A. Jahanbakhsh
/
M. Mohebi
M. Lasheen
90'+2
90'+3
90'+4
S. Khalilzadeh
Pre-match prediction
39.55%
Egypt
31.93%
X ←
28.52%
Iran
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
0.81
-0.8
1.30
1.76
+0.46
Iran dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.81).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Mostafa Shobeir
G
Mostafa Shobeir
G
13
Ahmed Abou El Fotouh
D
Ahmed Abou El Fotouh
D
6
Mohamed Abdelmonem
14'
D
Mohamed Abdelmonem
14'
D
5
Rami Rabia
D
Rami Rabia
D
3
Mohamed Hany
D
Mohamed Hany
D
21
Mahmoud Saber
1 ⚽
45'
M
Mahmoud Saber
1 ⚽
45'
M
17
Mohanad Lasheen
M
Mohanad Lasheen
M
7
Trézéguet
1 👟
M
Trézéguet
1 👟
M
10
Mohamed Salah
57'
M
Mohamed Salah
57'
M
8
Emam Ashour
45'
M
Emam Ashour
45'
M
11
Mostafa Zico
76'
F
Mostafa Zico
76'
F
Bench
16
Al Mahdi Soliman
G
Al Mahdi Soliman
G
9
H. Abdelkarim
21'
F
H. Abdelkarim
21'
F
12
H. Hassan
F
H. Hassan
F
20
Ibrahim Adel
F
Ibrahim Adel
F
15
Karim Hafez
D
Karim Hafez
D
19
Marwan Attia
52'
M
Marwan Attia
52'
M
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
Mohamed Alaa
G
1
Mohamed El Shenawy
G
Mohamed El Shenawy
G
18
Nabil Donga
M
Nabil Donga
M
22
Omar Marmoush
52'
F
Omar Marmoush
52'
F
24
T. Alaa
D
T. Alaa
D
2
Yasser Ibrahim
83'
D
Yasser Ibrahim
83'
D
25
Zizo
40'
F
Zizo
40'
F
1
Alireza Beiranvand
G
Alireza Beiranvand
G
5
M. Mohammadi
D
M. Mohammadi
D
19
Ali Nemati
D
Ali Nemati
D
4
Shoja Khalilzadeh
D
Shoja Khalilzadeh
D
13
H. Kanani
45'
D
H. Kanani
45'
D
23
Ramin Rezaeian
1 ⚽
D
Ramin Rezaeian
1 ⚽
D
8
Mohammad Mohebi
M
6
Saeid Ezatolahi
M
Saeid Ezatolahi
M
21
Mohammad Ghorbani
M
Mohammad Ghorbani
M
14
S. Ghoddos
67'
M
S. Ghoddos
67'
M
9
Mehdi Taremi
F
Mehdi Taremi
F
Bench
7
A. Jahanbakhsh
6'
F
A. Jahanbakhsh
6'
F
11
Ali Alipour
F
Ali Alipour
F
18
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh
F
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh
F
26
Amirmohammad Razzaghinia
M
Amirmohammad Razzaghinia
M
17
Aria Yousefi
D
Aria Yousefi
D
25
Danial Eiri
D
Danial Eiri
D
24
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
F
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
F
3
Ehsan Hajsafi
D
Ehsan Hajsafi
D
22
Hossein Hosseini
G
Hossein Hosseini
G
16
Mahdi Torabi
M
Mahdi Torabi
M
10
M. Ghaedi
F
M. Ghaedi
F
12
Payam Niazmand
G
Payam Niazmand
G
15
Roozbeh Cheshmi
M
Roozbeh Cheshmi
M
2
Saleh Hardani
52'
D
Saleh Hardani
52'
D
20
Shahriar Moghanlou
30'
F
Shahriar Moghanlou
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Mohamed Hany
D · Egypt
7.60
· 46 pass
Saleh Hardani
D · Iran
7.30
· 21 pass
Mahmoud Saber
M · Egypt
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 33 pass
Ali Nemati
D · Iran
7.30
· 50 pass
Mostafa Shobeir
G · Egypt
7.20
· 25 pass
Zizo
F · Egypt
7.20
· 12 pass
Egypt — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Abou El Fotouh | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem | D | 14 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Rami Rabia | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 83 | 80% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Hany | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 6 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Saber | M | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohanad Lasheen | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 87 | 74% | — | 1 | — |
| Trézéguet | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Emam Ashour | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Mostafa Zico | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| H. Abdelkarim | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marwan Attia | M | 52 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Zizo | F | 40 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Iran — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alireza Beiranvand | G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Mohammadi | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Ali Nemati | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Shoja Khalilzadeh | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Kanani | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Ramin Rezaeian | D | 97 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Mohammad Mohebi | M | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Saeid Ezatolahi | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mohammad Ghorbani | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Ghoddos | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Mehdi Taremi | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Jahanbakhsh | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saleh Hardani | D | 52 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Shahriar Moghanlou | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Egypt vs Iran?
The final score was Egypt 1–1 Iran.
What did the model predict before Egypt vs Iran?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Egypt win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an Iran win.