Egypt - South Africa
Friendlies Internazionali
October 04, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.8%
Win
Egypt
29.26%
Draw
27.94%
Win
South Africa
1.48
0.87
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.92%)
1X2 Result
1
43%
X
29%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
57%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Egypt a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 27% for South Africa. Expected goals are 1.5 for Egypt and 0.9 for South Africa (total 2.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.92% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Egypt have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for South Africa.
Season Stats
2W
1D
1L
0W
3D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.8
0.5
Conceded
1.0
3.3
Shots OT
4.0
2.3
Corners
4.0
45%
Poss.
68%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
25%
25%
BTTS
75%
75%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Egypt
South Africa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 14.1% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Egypt
Attack
32
Defence
73
Form
66
South Africa
Attack
28
Defence
79
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
26 Dec 2025
1–0
Unavailable
Egypt
Injured
Injured
Injured
Injured
Injured
South Africa
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Egypt vs South Africa?
The model gives Egypt a 42% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 27% for an South Africa win.
How many goals are expected in Egypt vs South Africa?
Expected goals: Egypt 1.5, South Africa 0.9 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Egypt vs South Africa?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.92%.