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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6 October 16, 2026 20:30 Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Eintracht Frankfurt
#14 · 8 pts
1 – 0
Final score
1. FC Köln
#12 · 8 pts
Younes Ebnoutalib (ast. Noel Aseko) 77'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Eintracht Frankfurt a 39% win probability (draw 28%, 1. FC Köln 32%). The final result was Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Köln. In 2 previous meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Köln.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
3
1.38
Actual xG
0.67
3
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
3
22
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Mario Götze
24'
Lilian Brassier
39'
45'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
68'
Paul Okon-Engstler / Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson ↕
68'
Mikey Moore / Linton Maina ↕
68'
Alessio Castro-Montes / Joel Schmied ↕
↕ Mario Götze / Noel Aseko
71'
↕ Nnamdi Collins / Ansgar Knauff
71'
⚽Younes Ebnoutalib · ast. Noel Aseko
77'
↕ Jonathan Burkardt / Elias Niklas Baum
82'
84'
Reigan Heskey / Said El Mala ↕
84'
Luca Waldschmidt / Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen ↕
90'+4
Borna Sosa
Pre-match prediction
39.38%
Eintracht ←
28.11%
X
32.5%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Eintracht Frankfurt) 39.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Eintracht
2.61
1.38
-1.23
1.
2.18
0.67
-1.51
Eintracht Frankfurt dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-4-2
1 N. Atubolu N. Atubolu G 7.35
26 K. Kosugi K. Kosugi D 7.01
3 L. Brassier L. Brassier D 7.89
4 R. Koch R. Koch D 8.00
34 N. Collins N. Collins 71' D 6.81
8 F. Chaïbi F. Chaïbi M 6.84
27 M. Götze M. Götze 71' M 6.65
25 R. Onyedika R. Onyedika M 6.28
20 R. Dōan R. Dōan M 7.06
11 Y. Ebnoutalib Y. Ebnoutalib 1 ⚽ F 7.63
9 J. Burkardt J. Burkardt 82' F 6.42
Bench
29 A. Amaimouni A. Amaimouni F 0.00
7 A. Knauff A. Knauff 19' F 6.65
42 C. Uzun C. Uzun M 0.00
2 Elias Baum Elias Baum 8' D 6.99
37 J. Maluze J. Maluze D 0.00
40 Kauã Santos Kauã Santos G 0.00
31 L. Arrhov L. Arrhov M 0.00
15 N. Aséko Nkili N. Aséko Nkili 1 👟 19' M 6.92
22 T. Chandler T. Chandler D 0.00
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 5-3-2
1 M. Schwäbe M. Schwäbe G 7.73
3 B. Sosa B. Sosa D 7.49
24 L. Lochoshvili L. Lochoshvili D 7.13
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 7.18
2 J. Schmied J. Schmied 68' D 7.02
28 S. Sebulonsen S. Sebulonsen 84' D 6.42
37 L. Maina L. Maina 68' M 6.24
5 T. Krauß T. Krauß M 6.50
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 68' M 5.53
10 S. El Mala S. El Mala 84' F 5.99
30 M. Bülter M. Bülter F 5.98
Bench
17 A. Castro-Montes A. Castro-Montes 22' M 6.59
46 A. Kotya-Fofana A. Kotya-Fofana D 0.00
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah D 0.00
29 J. Thielmann J. Thielmann M 0.00
7 L. Waldschmidt L. Waldschmidt 6' F 6.22
47 M. Moore M. Moore 22' F 6.26
23 Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler 22' M 6.52
11 Reigan Heskey Reigan Heskey 6' F 6.29
20 R. Zieler R. Zieler G 0.00
Best on the pitch
R. Koch
R. Koch
D · Eintracht
8.00
· 63 pass
L. Brassier
L. Brassier
D · Eintracht
7.89
2 shots · 62 pass
M. Schwäbe
M. Schwäbe
G · 1.
7.73
· 29 pass
Y. Ebnoutalib
Y. Ebnoutalib
F · Eintracht
7.63
1 ⚽
5 shots · 16 pass
B. Sosa
B. Sosa
D · 1.
7.49
· 55 pass
N. Atubolu
N. Atubolu
G · Eintracht
7.35
· 25 pass
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Atubolu G 90 7.35 — — 0 25 18% 0 — —
K. Kosugi D 90 7.01 — — 0 31 22% 4 — —
L. Brassier D 90 7.89 — — 2 62 56% 2 1 —
R. Koch D 90 8.00 — — 0 63 55% 3 — —
N. Collins D 71 6.81 — — 0 51 38% 2 — —
F. Chaïbi M 90 6.84 — — 6 37 29% 0 — —
M. Götze M 71 6.65 — — 0 54 46% 1 1 —
R. Onyedika M 90 6.28 — — 0 45 35% 3 — —
R. Dōan M 90 7.06 — — 1 33 25% 3 — —
Y. Ebnoutalib F 90 7.63 1 — 5 16 10% 2 — —
J. Burkardt F 82 6.42 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
A. Knauff F 19 6.65 — — 0 12 8% 1 — —
Elias Baum D 8 6.99 — — 0 3 1% 1 — —
N. Aséko Nkili M 19 6.92 — 1 0 7 6% 0 — —
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Schwäbe G 90 7.73 — — 0 29 14% 0 — —
B. Sosa D 90 7.49 — — 0 55 39% 7 1 —
L. Lochoshvili D 90 7.13 — — 0 41 35% 2 — —
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 90 7.18 — — 0 43 39% 0 — —
J. Schmied D 68 7.02 — — 0 21 18% 1 — —
S. Sebulonsen D 84 6.42 — — 1 24 17% 4 — —
L. Maina M 68 6.24 — — 0 15 12% 2 — —
T. Krauß M 90 6.50 — — 0 42 30% 9 — —
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 68 5.53 — — 1 27 14% 0 1 —
S. El Mala F 84 5.99 — — 3 10 7% 1 — —
M. Bülter F 90 5.98 — — 3 10 4% 0 — —
A. Castro-Montes M 22 6.59 — — 0 15 12% 0 — —
L. Waldschmidt F 6 6.22 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
M. Moore F 22 6.26 — — 0 6 6% 1 — —
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler M 22 6.52 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
Reigan Heskey F 6 6.29 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?
The final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Köln.
What did the model predict before Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Eintracht Frankfurt win, 28% to a draw, and 32% to an 1. FC Köln win.