Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:30

Eintracht Frankfurt

#14 · 8 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Hamburger SV

#11 · 9 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Eintracht Frankfurt, result Hamburger SV wins

C. Y. Uzun (ast. J. Burkardt) 48'

51' (ast. W. Omari) A. Gronbaek

59' (ast. A. Gronbaek) F. Vieira

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Eintracht Frankfurt a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Hamburger SV 16%). The final result was Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV. In 2 previous meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Hamburger SV.

Match statistics

5

Total shots

7

5

Shots on target

4

0.70

Actual xG

0.60

2

Saves

4

64%

Possession

36%

9

Corners

4

19

Tackles

14

6

🟨 Yellow cards

1

1

🟥 Red cards

0

Match Events

⚽C. Y. Uzun · ast. J. Burkardt

48'

51'

ast. W. Omari · A. Gronbaek⚽

O. Hojlund

52'

59'

ast. A. Gronbaek · F. Vieira⚽

↕ J. Burkardt / J. Bahoya

61'

↕ E. Skhiri / R. Kristensen

61'

↕ O. Hojlund / F. Chaibi

61'

68'

G. Gocholeishvili / B. Jatta ↕

68'

D. Downs / R. Glatzel ↕

R. Kristensen

71'

78'

L. Vuskovic / A. Gronbaek ↕

79'

D. Elfadli / A. S. Lokonga ↕

↕ H. Larsson / Y. Ebnoutalib

82'

↕ A. Knauff / A. Amaimouni

82'

83'

Y. Poulsen / J. Torunarigha ↕

A. Kalimuendo

85'

88'

N. Capaldo

C. Y. Uzun

88'

J. Bahoya

90'+10

R. Kristensen

90'+12

R. Kristensen

90'+12

Pre-match prediction

66.11%

Eintracht

16.99%

X

16.9%

Hamburger ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Hamburger SV) 16.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Eintracht

2.49

0.70

-1.79

Hamburger

1.01

0.60

-0.41

xG dominance was balanced (0.70 – 0.60). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	6
17	Union Berlin	7	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	3

Lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-5-1

23

G 6.70

21 N. Brown D 6.20

4

D 7.00

15 E. Skhiri 61' D 7.00

5 A. Amenda D 6.60

25 A. Kalimuendo M 6.70

6 O. Højlund 61' M 6.30

16 H. Larsson 82' M 6.60

42 C. Uzun 1 ⚽ M 8.50

7 A. Knauff 82' M 6.90

9 J. Burkardt 1 👟 61' F 6.20

Bench

29 A. Amaimouni 8' F 6.70

3 A. Theate D

8 F. Chaïbi 29' M 7.20

19 J. Bahoya 29' F 6.90

31 L. Arrhov M

13 R. Kristensen 41' D 6.30

Hamburger SV 3-4-3

1

G 7.30

17 W. Omari 1 👟 D 7.30

25 J. Torunarigha 83' D 6.90

24 N. Capaldo D 6.50

23 A. Grønbæk 1 ⚽ 1 👟 78' M 8.20

6 A. Sambi Lokonga 79' M 6.70

21 N. Remberg M 6.90

18 B. Jatta 68' M 5.90

11 R. Königsdörffer F 6.60

9 R. Glatzel 68' F 6.70

20 Fábio Vieira 1 ⚽ F 8.00

Bench

8 Daniel Elfadli 11' M 6.70

44 L. Vušković 12' D 7.30

14 R. Philippe F

Best on the pitch

C. Uzun

M · Eintracht

8.50

1 ⚽

4 shots · 57 pass

A. Grønbæk

M · Hamburger

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 18 pass

Fábio Vieira

F · Hamburger

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 27 pass

W. Omari

D · Hamburger

7.30

1 👟

· 33 pass

G · Hamburger

7.30

· 49 pass

L. Vušković

D · Hamburger

7.30

· 6 pass

Eintracht Frankfurt — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	23	19%	—	—	—
N. Brown	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	44	40%	2	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	61	55%	4	—	—
E. Skhiri	D	61	7.00	—	—	—	43	38%	1	—	—
A. Amenda	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	68	60%	—	—	—
A. Kalimuendo	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	21	16%	2	1	—
O. Højlund	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	31	27%	2	1	—
H. Larsson	M	82	6.60	—	—	—	54	49%	—	—	—
C. Uzun	M	90	8.50	1	—	4	57	49%	1	1	—
A. Knauff	M	82	6.90	—	—	—	33	25%	1	—	—
J. Burkardt	F	61	6.20	—	1	1	10	7%	1	—	—
A. Amaimouni	F	8	6.70	—	—	—	5	4%	1	—	—
F. Chaïbi	M	29	7.20	—	—	—	20	18%	2	—	—
J. Bahoya	F	29	6.90	—	—	—	14	12%	2	1	—
R. Kristensen	D	41	6.30	—	—	—	19	15%	—	2	1

Hamburger SV — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	49	37%	—	—	—
W. Omari	D	90	7.30	—	1	—	33	30%	2	—	—
J. Torunarigha	D	83	6.90	—	—	—	15	15%	3	—	—
N. Capaldo	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	26	15%	4	1	—
A. Grønbæk	M	78	8.20	1	1	2	18	15%	1	—	—
A. Sambi Lokonga	M	79	6.70	—	—	1	33	30%	—	—	—
N. Remberg	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	30	28%	1	—	—
B. Jatta	M	68	5.90	—	—	1	19	13%	2	—	—
R. Königsdörffer	F	90	6.60	—	—	—	13	10%	—	—	—
R. Glatzel	F	68	6.70	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
Fábio Vieira	F	90	8.00	1	—	2	27	21%	—	—	—
Daniel Elfadli	M	11	6.70	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
L. Vušković	D	12	7.30	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—