Egyptian Premier League
· Relegation Group - 9
May 07, 2026 16:00
F. Hatem
45'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Geish a 33% win probability (draw 34%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%). The final result was El Geish 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla. In 1 previous meetings, El Geish have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ghazl El Mehalla.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
1
0.85
Actual xG
0.27
1
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
5
19
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
24'
(missed pen.)
R. Arfaoui⚽
⚽F. Hatem
45'
46'
K. Saidi
/
M. Abdelsalam
M. Camacho
50'
56'
M. Ashraf
/
A. Etman
56'
Armoosha
/
J. Mwanga
K. Tarek
/ G. Al Madadha
62'
I. Mohareb
/ M. Hany
62'
A. Keita
/ R. Omran
71'
Y. Mostafa
/ H. Souissi
71'
A. Hamdi
72'
75'
Y. El Azab
/
M. Bolbol
F. Hatem
/ I. Ouro-Agoro
79'
84'
A. El Sheikh
/
M. El Moghzi
M. Hany
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
33.6%
El ←
34.07%
X
32.34%
Ghazl
we assigned to the actual result (El Geish)
33.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.78
0.85
+0.07
0.83
0.27
-0.56
El Geish dominated by xG (0.85 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
3
Amro Tarek
D
Amro Tarek
D
4
Mohamed Fathallah
D
Mohamed Fathallah
D
27
Ahmed Alaa Eldin
D
Ahmed Alaa Eldin
D
24
Khaled Awad
D
Khaled Awad
D
11
Karim Tarek
62'
M
Karim Tarek
62'
M
32
Yehia Mostafa
71'
M
Yehia Mostafa
71'
M
14
Ali Hamdy
M
Ali Hamdy
M
23
Alpha Boubacar Keita
71'
M
Alpha Boubacar Keita
71'
M
9
Fares Hatem
1 ⚽
79'
F
Fares Hatem
1 ⚽
79'
F
12
Islam Mohareb
62'
F
Islam Mohareb
62'
F
Bench
8
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
M
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
M
5
H. Souissi
22'
M
H. Souissi
22'
M
28
I. Ouro-Agoro
14'
F
I. Ouro-Agoro
14'
F
10
Mohamed Hany
31'
F
Mohamed Hany
31'
F
16
G
13
D
4
Ahmed Shousha
D
Ahmed Shousha
D
3
Ahmed El Aash
D
Ahmed El Aash
D
37
Mahmoud Magdy
84'
D
Mahmoud Magdy
84'
D
17
Mahmoud Bolbol Nabil
75'
M
Mahmoud Bolbol Nabil
75'
M
39
Moaz Abdel Salam
45'
M
Moaz Abdel Salam
45'
M
42
Mahmoud Salah
M
Mahmoud Salah
M
9
Rached Arfaoui
M
Rached Arfaoui
M
22
Ahmed Etman
56'
M
Ahmed Etman
56'
M
90
Jimmy Emmanuel Mwanga
56'
F
Jimmy Emmanuel Mwanga
56'
F
Bench
70
Ahmed El Sheikh
9'
M
Ahmed El Sheikh
9'
M
41
Kibou Saïdi
48'
F
Kibou Saïdi
48'
F
7
Mohamed Ashraf
37'
F
Mohamed Ashraf
37'
F
Best on the pitch
Fares Hatem
F · El
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Mohamed Fathallah
D · El
7.60
· 38 pass
Amro Tarek
D · El
7.30
1 shots
· 41 pass
Yehia Mostafa
M · El
7.30
· 24 pass
Ahmed Alaa Eldin
D · El
7.20
· 35 pass
Ali Hamdy
M · El
7.20
1 shots
· 52 pass
El Geish — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Amro Tarek | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Fathallah | D | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ahmed Alaa Eldin | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Khaled Awad | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Karim Tarek | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Yehia Mostafa | M | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Ali Hamdy | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alpha Boubacar Keita | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Fares Hatem | F | 79 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Islam Mohareb | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Souissi | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Ouro-Agoro | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Hany | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Ghazl El Mehalla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| Ahmed Shousha | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Ahmed El Aash | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Magdy | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Bolbol Nabil | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Moaz Abdel Salam | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Salah | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Rached Arfaoui | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Etman | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Jimmy Emmanuel Mwanga | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Ahmed El Sheikh | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Kibou Saïdi | F | 48 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Ashraf | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
The final score was El Geish 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla.
What did the model predict before El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
The model assigned 33% probability to a El Geish win, 34% to a draw, and 32% to an Ghazl El Mehalla win.