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Egyptian Premier League · Relegation Group - 3 April 09, 2026 17:00
El Geish
#9 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
National Bank of Egypt
#13 · 6 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction National Bank of Egypt, result El Geish wins
I. Mohareb (ast. I. Ouro-Agoro) 41'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave National Bank of Egypt a 58% win probability (draw 16%, El Geish 24%). The final result was El Geish 1–0 National Bank of Egypt. In 1 previous meetings, El Geish have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for National Bank of Egypt.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
1.11
4
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
0
Corners
3
14
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽I. Mohareb · ast. I. Ouro-Agoro
41'
A. Alaa
45'
46'
S. Bouchama / A. El Nadry ↕
55'
A. Madbouli / A. Reda ↕
66'
S. Simpore / M. Ibrahim ↕
71'
S. Abdallah / Oufa ↕
↕ A. Zola / G. Al Madadha
74'
↕ I. Mohareb / H. Khaled
74'
↕ I. Ouro-Agoro / M. Atef
74'
↕ A. Tarek / H. El Gabry
80'
83'
A. Meteb
↕ A. Keita / K. Sotohi
88'
Pre-match prediction
24.95%
El ←
16.28%
X
58.77%
National
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (El Geish) 24.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
El
0.57
0.75
+0.18
National
2.57
1.11
-1.46
National Bank of Egypt dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Pyramids FC Pyramids FC 5 15
2 Zamalek SC Zamalek SC 5 13
3 Al Ahly Al Ahly 5 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 5 12
5 Future FC Future FC 5 10
6 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 5 10
7 El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 5 7
8 Petrojet Petrojet 5 7
9 El Geish El Geish 5 7
10 Masr Masr 5 7
11 Olympic El Qanah Olympic El Qanah 5 6
12 AL Masry AL Masry 5 6
13 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 5 6
14 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 5 5
15 Enppi Enppi 5 4
16 Smouha SC Smouha SC 5 4
17 Abu Qair Semad Abu Qair Semad 5 3
18 El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 5 2
19 Asyut Petrol Asyut Petrol 5 2
20 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 5 1
Lineups
El Geish El Geish 4-4-2
1
G 8.00
3 Amro Tarek Amro Tarek 80' D 7.30
4 Mohamed Fathallah Mohamed Fathallah D 6.90
5 H. Souissi H. Souissi D 7.00
24 Khaled Mohamed Awad Khaled Mohamed Awad D 7.30
23 Alpha Boubacar Keita Alpha Boubacar Keita 88' M 6.30
27 Ahmed Alaa Eldin Ahmed Alaa Eldin M 7.50
14 Ali Hamdy Ali Hamdy M 6.90
12 Islam Mohareb Islam Mohareb 74' M 7.90
8 Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola 74' F 6.70
28 I. Ouro-Agoro I. Ouro-Agoro 1 👟 74' F 7.20
Bench
30 Mohamed Atef Mohamed Atef 22' F 6.70
10 Mohamed Hany Mohamed Hany F
32 Yehia Mostafa Yehia Mostafa M
National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.00
12 Ahmed Meteb Ahmed Meteb D 6.20
33 Daw Serial Daw Serial D 6.70
6
D 6.60
24 Mostafa Dowidar Mostafa Dowidar D 6.90
18 Ahmed Hashem Ahmed Hashem 55' M 6.30
17
45' M 6.30
10 Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Ibrahim 66' M 6.90
23 Ahmed Amin Aoufa Ahmed Amin Aoufa 71' M 6.50
29 Ahmed Yasser Rayan Ahmed Yasser Rayan M 7.50
9 Osama Faisal Osama Faisal F 6.50
Bench
20 Amir Medhat Amir Medhat D
25 Mohamed Ashraf Mohamed Ashraf M
28 Mostafa El Zenary Mostafa El Zenary D
22 Sayed Abdallah Sika Sayed Abdallah Sika 19' F 6.30
15 S. Bouchama S. Bouchama 45' M 6.90
30 Y. Annor Y. Annor F
Best on the pitch
G · El
8.00
· 17 pass
Islam Mohareb
Islam Mohareb
M · El
7.90
1 shots · 19 pass
Ahmed Yasser Rayan
Ahmed Yasser Rayan
M · National
7.50
2 shots · 29 pass
Ahmed Alaa Eldin
Ahmed Alaa Eldin
M · El
7.50
· 40 pass
Amro Tarek
Amro Tarek
D · El
7.30
· 23 pass
Khaled Mohamed Awad
Khaled Mohamed Awad
D · El
7.30
· 40 pass
El Geish El Geish — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.00 — — — 17 13% — — —
Amro Tarek D 80 7.30 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
Mohamed Fathallah D 90 6.90 — — — 39 28% 1 — —
H. Souissi D 90 7.00 — — — 44 35% — — —
Khaled Mohamed Awad D 90 7.30 — — — 40 28% 2 — —
Alpha Boubacar Keita M 88 6.30 — — 1 31 25% 1 — —
Ahmed Alaa Eldin M 90 7.50 — — — 40 33% 3 1 —
Ali Hamdy M 90 6.90 — — 2 48 37% — — —
Islam Mohareb M 74 7.90 — — 1 19 15% 2 — —
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola F 74 6.70 — — 1 31 19% 1 — —
I. Ouro-Agoro F 74 7.20 — 1 1 12 10% 1 — —
Mohamed Atef F 22 6.70 — — 1 — — 1 — —
National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 24 16% 1 — —
Ahmed Meteb D 90 6.20 — — — 56 45% 1 1 —
Daw Serial D 90 6.70 — — — 72 60% 1 — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 55 45% 1 — —
Mostafa Dowidar D 90 6.90 — — — 42 35% — — —
Ahmed Hashem M 55 6.30 — — — 29 23% 2 — —
M 45 6.30 — — — 22 16% — — —
Mohamed Ibrahim M 66 6.90 — — 1 41 33% 1 — —
Ahmed Amin Aoufa M 71 6.50 — — — 11 8% 2 — —
Ahmed Yasser Rayan M 90 7.50 — — 2 29 16% 1 — —
Osama Faisal F 90 6.50 — — 3 26 16% — — —
Sayed Abdallah Sika F 19 6.30 — — — 15 11% — — —
S. Bouchama M 45 6.90 — — — 25 21% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt?
The final score was El Geish 1–0 National Bank of Egypt.
What did the model predict before El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt?
The model assigned 24% probability to a El Geish win, 16% to a draw, and 58% to an National Bank of Egypt win.