Egyptian Premier League
· Relegation Group - 7
April 29, 2026 16:00
Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
A. El Said
(ast. D. A. Mohamed S. E.)
42'
90'+6
(ast. M. El Negely)
M. Hamdi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Gouna FC a 32% win probability (draw 46%, Haras El Hodood 21%). The final result was El Gouna FC 1–1 Haras El Hodood. In 1 previous meetings, El Gouna FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Haras El Hodood.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
18
3
Shots on target
6
0.50
Actual xG
1.20
6
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
1
Corners
11
24
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
29'
I. Cooper
⚽A. El Said
· ast. D. A. Mohamed S. E.
42'
A. Belia
/ A. Taalab
59'
D. A. Mohamed S. E.
/ A. Refaat
59'
59'
M. El Negely
/
Z. Tarek
59'
F. El Henawy
/
M. Bayoumi
A. El Zahdi
/ M. Metawea
73'
A. Turay
/ S. El Shimi
77'
77'
O. Saviola
A. El Said
/ M. El Nahas
78'
A. Khaled
89'
90'+1
A. Nayel
/
M. El Deghemy
90'+1
M. Ashraf
/
M. Magli
90'+5
I. Ashraf
/
I. Abdelhakim
90'+6
ast. M. El Negely ·
M. Hamdi⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.19%
El
46.71%
X ←
21.09%
Haras
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
46.71%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.59
0.50
-0.09
0.49
1.20
+0.71
Haras El Hodood dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
3
Khaled Ahmed
D
Khaled Ahmed
D
4
D
36
Alpha Turay
77'
D
20
59'
D
11
59'
M
14
Nour El Sayed
M
Nour El Sayed
M
6
Hafiz Ibrahim
M
Hafiz Ibrahim
M
24
Ali El Zahdi
73'
M
Ali El Zahdi
73'
M
25
Abdallah El Saeed
1 ⚽
78'
F
Abdallah El Saeed
1 ⚽
78'
F
9
Marwan Mohsen
F
Marwan Mohsen
F
Bench
2
Abdel Gawad Taalab
36'
D
Abdel Gawad Taalab
36'
D
90
Adham Karim
M
Adham Karim
M
22
Mohamed El Nahass
17'
F
Mohamed El Nahass
17'
F
30
Mohamed Emad
M
Mohamed Emad
M
10
Mohamed Mahmoud
M
Mohamed Mahmoud
M
28
Mostafa Metawea
22'
D
Mostafa Metawea
22'
D
5
Saber El Shimi
18'
D
Saber El Shimi
18'
D
18
G
12
Mohamed Bayoumi
59'
D
Mohamed Bayoumi
59'
D
5
Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem
D
Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem
D
24
Momen Awad
D
Momen Awad
D
17
Mohamed El Deghemy
D
Mohamed El Deghemy
D
27
Ikenna Cooper
M
Ikenna Cooper
M
74
Mahmoud Ouka
M
Mahmoud Ouka
M
22
Omar Fathi Saviola
M
Omar Fathi Saviola
M
6
Mohamed Magli
M
Mohamed Magli
M
72
Zeyad Tarek
59'
M
Zeyad Tarek
59'
M
99
Mohamed Hamdy Zaki
1 ⚽
F
Mohamed Hamdy Zaki
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
Fawzi El Henawy
36'
M
Fawzi El Henawy
36'
M
4
Islam Abou-Salima
M
Islam Abou-Salima
M
25
Ismail Ashraf
M
Ismail Ashraf
M
29
Mohamed Adham El Negely
1 👟
36'
F
Mohamed Adham El Negely
1 👟
36'
F
14
Mohamed Ashraf Roqa
4'
M
Mohamed Ashraf Roqa
4'
M
Best on the pitch
Abdallah El Saeed
F · El
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Mohamed Magli
M · Haras
7.50
1 shots
· 31 pass
G · El
7.20
· 29 pass
Alpha Turay
D · El
7.20
· 29 pass
Saber El Shimi
D · El
7.00
· 1 pass
Ali El Zahdi
M · El
7.00
· 16 pass
El Gouna FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Khaled Ahmed | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 15% | 2 | — | — | |
| Alpha Turay | D | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nour El Sayed | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Hafiz Ibrahim | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Ali El Zahdi | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdallah El Saeed | F | 78 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Marwan Mohsen | F | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Abdel Gawad Taalab | D | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed El Nahass | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Metawea | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Saber El Shimi | D | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — | — |
Haras El Hodood — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Mohamed Bayoumi | D | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Momen Awad | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed El Deghemy | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ikenna Cooper | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Mahmoud Ouka | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Fathi Saviola | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Magli | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Zeyad Tarek | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Hamdy Zaki | F | 95 | 5.70 | 1 | — | 6 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Fawzi El Henawy | M | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Adham El Negely | F | 36 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Ashraf Roqa | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Gouna FC vs Haras El Hodood?
The final score was El Gouna FC 1–1 Haras El Hodood.
What did the model predict before El Gouna FC vs Haras El Hodood?
The model assigned 32% probability to a El Gouna FC win, 46% to a draw, and 21% to an Haras El Hodood win.