Egyptian Premier League
· Relegation Group - 3
April 09, 2026 20:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Draw, result El Mokawloon wins
M. Salim
(ast. Kahraba)
8'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Mokawloon a 29% win probability (draw 56%, Ismaily SC 13%). The final result was El Mokawloon 1–0 Ismaily SC. In 1 previous meetings, El Mokawloon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ismaily SC.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
3
0.90
Actual xG
0.76
3
Saves
0
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
7
12
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Salim
· ast. Kahraba
8'
42'
A. El Dah
/
M. Wagdi
H. Hussein
45'+4
M. Salim
/ H. Mohamed
52'
59'
A. Katkot
/
M. Hassan
59'
O. Ahmed
/
M. Khatary
64'
I. El Nagaawy
M. Abdelnasser
/ M. Adel
64'
J. Ojera
68'
J. Ojera
/ S. Naguib
78'
O. El Wahsh
/ I. Abdellah
78'
80'
M. Ammar
/
A. Mohamed
80'
M. El Atty
/
M. Samiae
A. Hawash
83'
85'
K. Galal
90'+1
A. Katkot
M. Aboul Saoud
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
29.62%
El ←
56.83%
X
13.55%
Ismaily
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (El Mokawloon)
29.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.44
0.90
+0.46
0.30
0.76
+0.46
xG dominance was balanced (0.90 – 0.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud
G
Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud
G
23
D
3
Mohamed Hamed
D
Mohamed Hamed
D
4
D
26
Ahmed Magdy Kahraba
1 👟
D
Ahmed Magdy Kahraba
1 👟
D
44
Ahmed Nader Hawash
M
Ahmed Nader Hawash
M
12
Omar El Wahsh
78'
M
Omar El Wahsh
78'
M
14
Mostafa Gamal
M
Mostafa Gamal
M
74
Mohamed Abdelnasser
64'
F
Mohamed Abdelnasser
64'
F
9
Mohamed Salem
1 ⚽
52'
F
Mohamed Salem
1 ⚽
52'
F
25
Joackiam Ojera
78'
F
Joackiam Ojera
78'
F
Bench
28
Ahmed Ouled Behi
M
Ahmed Ouled Behi
M
32
Hussein Faisal
M
Hussein Faisal
M
31
Mohamed Adel
26'
M
Mohamed Adel
26'
M
17
Mostafa Sobhi
F
Mostafa Sobhi
F
10
Shokry Naguib
12'
F
Shokry Naguib
12'
F
31
Abdallah Gamal
G
Abdallah Gamal
G
34
Abdel Karim Shehata
D
Abdel Karim Shehata
D
5
80'
D
2
Mohamed Nasr
D
Mohamed Nasr
D
8
Eric Traoré
D
Eric Traoré
D
38
Ibrahim El Nagaawy
M
6
Mohamed Hassan
59'
M
Mohamed Hassan
59'
M
32
Mohamed Khatary
59'
M
Mohamed Khatary
59'
M
10
80'
M
40
Anwar Abdelsalam
F
Anwar Abdelsalam
F
17
42'
F
Bench
19
Abdelrahman El Dah
48'
F
Abdelrahman El Dah
48'
F
33
Abdelrahman Katkot
31'
M
Abdelrahman Katkot
31'
M
22
Ali El Malawany
M
Ali El Malawany
M
25
Hassan Mansour
D
Hassan Mansour
D
37
Ibrahim Abdel Aal
M
Ibrahim Abdel Aal
M
4
Mohamed Ammar
10'
D
Mohamed Ammar
10'
D
Best on the pitch
Mohamed Hamed
D · El
7.70
· 15 pass
Omar El Wahsh
M · El
7.70
· 13 pass
D · El
7.50
· 11 pass
Mohamed Salem
F · El
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Ahmed Magdy Kahraba
D · El
7.20
1 👟
· 11 pass
Mohamed Nasr
D · Ismaily
7.20
· 80 pass
El Mokawloon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| Mohamed Hamed | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| Ahmed Magdy Kahraba | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Nader Hawash | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Omar El Wahsh | M | 78 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Mostafa Gamal | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelnasser | F | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salem | F | 52 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Joackiam Ojera | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Adel | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Shokry Naguib | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Ismaily SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdallah Gamal | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Abdel Karim Shehata | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — | |
| Mohamed Nasr | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 80 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Eric Traoré | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim El Nagaawy | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Hassan | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Khatary | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Anwar Abdelsalam | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — | |
| Abdelrahman El Dah | F | 48 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Abdelrahman Katkot | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Ammar | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Mokawloon vs Ismaily SC?
The final score was El Mokawloon 1–0 Ismaily SC.
What did the model predict before El Mokawloon vs Ismaily SC?
The model assigned 29% probability to a El Mokawloon win, 56% to a draw, and 13% to an Ismaily SC win.