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USL Championship · Group Stage August 30, 2026 03:00
El Paso Locomotive
#3 · 50 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Loudoun United
#10 · 31 pts
✓Model correct — prediction El Paso Locomotive
R. Rubin 5'
R. Rubin 30'
R. Rubin 40' (pen.)
C. Sainte (ast. Gabriel Torres) 90'+1
17' (ast. R. Aman) A. Aboukoura
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Paso Locomotive a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Loudoun United 13%). The final result was El Paso Locomotive 4–1 Loudoun United.

Match statistics
Match Events
⚽R. Rubin
5'
17'
ast. R. Aman · A. Aboukoura⚽
⚽R. Rubin
30'
⚽R. Rubin (pen.)
40'
↕ D. Gomez / R. Coronado
46'
60'
Marcos Dias / A. Watts ↕
A. Mendez
65'
↕ N. Cardona / K. Hoban
71'
↕ A. Moreno / R. Avila
71'
71'
S. Young / J. Murphy ↕
↕ A. Mendez / G. Diaz
71'
72'
C. Torres / P. Niyongabire ↕
79'
G. Lomtadze / A. Aboukoura ↕
↕ E. Calvillo / C. Sainte
79'
79'
N. Adnan / K. Awuah ↕
A. Ortiz
85'
⚽C. Sainte · ast. Gabriel Torres
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
63.68%
El ←
22.92%
X
13.4%
Loudoun
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (El Paso Locomotive) 63.68% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
El
1.62
—
—
Loudoun
0.44
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
The final score was El Paso Locomotive 4–1 Loudoun United.
What did the model predict before El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
The model assigned 63% probability to a El Paso Locomotive win, 22% to a draw, and 13% to an Loudoun United win.