USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 30, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction El Paso Locomotive
R. Rubin
5'
R. Rubin
30'
R. Rubin
40'
(pen.)
C. Sainte
(ast. Gabriel Torres)
90'+1
17'
(ast. R. Aman)
A. Aboukoura
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Paso Locomotive a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Loudoun United 13%). The final result was El Paso Locomotive 4–1 Loudoun United.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽R. Rubin
5'
17'
ast. R. Aman ·
A. Aboukoura⚽
⚽R. Rubin
30'
⚽R. Rubin
(pen.)
40'
D. Gomez
/ R. Coronado
46'
60'
Marcos Dias
/
A. Watts
A. Mendez
65'
N. Cardona
/ K. Hoban
71'
A. Moreno
/ R. Avila
71'
71'
S. Young
/
J. Murphy
A. Mendez
/ G. Diaz
71'
72'
C. Torres
/
P. Niyongabire
79'
G. Lomtadze
/
A. Aboukoura
E. Calvillo
/ C. Sainte
79'
79'
N. Adnan
/
K. Awuah
A. Ortiz
85'
⚽C. Sainte
· ast. Gabriel Torres
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
63.68%
El ←
22.92%
X
13.4%
Loudoun
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (El Paso Locomotive)
63.68%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
—
—
0.44
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
The final score was El Paso Locomotive 4–1 Loudoun United.
What did the model predict before El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
The model assigned 63% probability to a El Paso Locomotive win, 22% to a draw, and 13% to an Loudoun United win.