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USL Championship · Group Stage August 06, 2026 03:00
#3 · 50 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#12 · 24 pts
A. Mendez (ast. E. Calvillo) 30'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Paso Locomotive a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Monterey Bay 22%). The final result was El Paso Locomotive 1–0 Monterey Bay. In 2 previous meetings, El Paso Locomotive have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monterey Bay.

Match statistics
Match Events
13'
N. Gordon
20'
Z. Farnsworth
⚽A. Mendez · ast. E. Calvillo
30'
A. Ortiz
45'+1
46'
K. Egwu / N. Gordon ↕
46'
C. Dalton / J. Jackson ↕
60'
A. Covelo
↕ E. Calvillo / N. Dollenmayer
66'
↕ A. Moreno / R. Avila
66'
↕ B. Farkarlun / G. Diaz
66'
73'
J. Belmar / Jacob Montes ↕
73'
Q. Elliot / J. Garcia ↕
↕ A. Mendez / Z. Jones
77'
↕ K. Twumasi / C. Sainte
77'
84'
S. Ritchie / W. Leggett ↕
N. Dollenmayer
84'
Pre-match prediction
45.46%
El ←
31.93%
X
22.61%
Monterey
we assigned to the actual result (El Paso Locomotive) 45.46% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
El
0.96
—
—
Monterey
0.60
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
The final score was El Paso Locomotive 1–0 Monterey Bay.
What did the model predict before El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
The model assigned 45% probability to a El Paso Locomotive win, 31% to a draw, and 22% to an Monterey Bay win.