USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 06, 2026 03:00
A. Mendez
(ast. E. Calvillo)
30'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Paso Locomotive a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Monterey Bay 22%). The final result was El Paso Locomotive 1–0 Monterey Bay. In 2 previous meetings, El Paso Locomotive have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monterey Bay.
Match statistics
Match Events
13'
N. Gordon
20'
Z. Farnsworth
⚽A. Mendez
· ast. E. Calvillo
30'
A. Ortiz
45'+1
46'
K. Egwu
/
N. Gordon
46'
C. Dalton
/
J. Jackson
60'
A. Covelo
E. Calvillo
/ N. Dollenmayer
66'
A. Moreno
/ R. Avila
66'
B. Farkarlun
/ G. Diaz
66'
73'
J. Belmar
/
Jacob Montes
73'
Q. Elliot
/
J. Garcia
A. Mendez
/ Z. Jones
77'
K. Twumasi
/ C. Sainte
77'
84'
S. Ritchie
/
W. Leggett
N. Dollenmayer
84'
Pre-match prediction
45.46%
El ←
31.93%
X
22.61%
Monterey
we assigned to the actual result (El Paso Locomotive)
45.46%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
—
—
0.60
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
The final score was El Paso Locomotive 1–0 Monterey Bay.
What did the model predict before El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
The model assigned 45% probability to a El Paso Locomotive win, 31% to a draw, and 22% to an Monterey Bay win.