USL Championship · Group Stage October 11, 2026 03:00

El Paso Locomotive

#3 · 50 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Orange County SC

#9 · 39 pts

✓Model correct — prediction El Paso Locomotive

A. Moreno (ast. R. Ruiz) 31'

B. Farkarlun (ast. E. Calvillo) 43'

51' (ast. M. Palomino) C. Hegardt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Paso Locomotive a 83% win probability (draw 8%, Orange County SC 8%). The final result was El Paso Locomotive 2–1 Orange County SC. In 1 previous meetings, El Paso Locomotive have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Orange County SC.

Match statistics

Match Events

Tony Alfaro

5'

17'

O. Sylla

⚽A. Moreno · ast. R. Ruiz

31'

A. Romero

33'

43'

N. Benalcazar

⚽B. Farkarlun · ast. E. Calvillo

43'

↕ E. Calvillo / R. Rubin

46'

↕ Tony Alfaro / N. Dollenmayer

46'

48'

F. O'Brien / N. Ciotta ↕

51'

ast. M. Palomino · C. Hegardt⚽

A. Mendez

54'

↕ R. Avila / Z. Jones

63'

68'

B. Cambridge / K. Partida ↕

↕ B. Farkarlun / N. Cardona

70'

↕ A. Mendez / D. Gomez

83'

86'

J. Johnson / R. Doghman ↕

Z. Jones

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

83.38%

El ←

8.2%

X

8.42%

Orange

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (El Paso Locomotive) 83.38% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

El

4.01

—

—

Orange

0.68

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24