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USL Championship · Group Stage October 18, 2026 03:00
#3 · 50 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#2 · 51 pts
87' (ast. M. Kaye) M. Rodriguez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave El Paso Locomotive a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Sacramento Republic 26%). The final result was El Paso Locomotive 0–1 Sacramento Republic. In 1 previous meetings, El Paso Locomotive have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sacramento Republic.

Match statistics
Match Events
22'
N. Collins
R. Coronado
43'
62'
A. Midence / M. Malango ↕
62'
R. Spaulding / M. Benitez ↕
↕ C. Sainte / D. Gomez
67'
69'
K. Edwards / F. Ajago ↕
↕ K. Twumasi / Tony Alfaro
76'
↕ B. Farkarlun / Z. Jones
76'
↕ A. Moreno / N. Cardona
76'
82'
M. Kaye / J. Casas ↕
82'
B. Willey / C. Jennings ↕
↕ R. Ruiz / G. Diaz
84'
87'
ast. M. Kaye · M. Rodriguez⚽
A. Ortiz
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
53.34%
El
19.77%
X
26.89%
Sacramento ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 26.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
El
2.31
—
—
Sacramento
1.54
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was El Paso Locomotive 0–1 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 53% probability to a El Paso Locomotive win, 19% to a draw, and 26% to an Sacramento Republic win.