A. Rodriguez
(ast. Josan)
72'
(pen.)
51'
T. Martinez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Elche a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Alaves 27%). The final result was Elche 1–1 Alaves. In 1 previous meetings, Elche have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alaves.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
1.46
Actual xG
1.68
3
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
7
Corners
3
22
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
12'
P. Ibanez
29'
A. Blanco
33'
Jonny Otto
46'
D. Suarez
/
P. Ibanez
A. Febas
50'
51'
(pen.)
T. Martinez⚽
Tete Morente
/ Josan
67'
A. Febas
/ G. Diangana
67'
67'
Yusi
/
T. Martinez
69'
I. Diabate
⚽A. Rodriguez
· ast. Josan
72'
78'
A. Sivera
E. Sarabia
82'
82'
A. Guevara
/
J. Guridi
82'
C. Protesoni
/
I. Diabate
M. Aguado
/ J. Donald
85'
V. Chust
/ Buba Sangare
85'
G. Diangana
88'
88'
A. Rebbach
J. Donald
90'+5
G. Valera
/ H. Fort
90'
90'
A. Manas
/
A. Rebbach
Pre-match prediction
47.04%
Elche
25.34%
X ←
27.61%
Alaves
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.46
-0.08
1.11
1.68
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.68).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
Pedro Bigas
D
Pedro Bigas
D
22
David Affengruber
D
David Affengruber
D
23
Víctor Chust
85'
D
Víctor Chust
85'
D
11
Germán Valera
89'
M
Germán Valera
89'
M
14
Aleix Febas
67'
M
Aleix Febas
67'
M
8
Marc Aguado
85'
M
Marc Aguado
85'
M
12
Gonzalo Villar
M
Gonzalo Villar
M
15
Tete Morente
67'
M
Tete Morente
67'
M
9
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
20
Álvaro Rodriguez
1 ⚽
F
Álvaro Rodriguez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
3
Adrià Pedrosa
D
Adrià Pedrosa
D
42
Buba Sangare
14'
D
Buba Sangare
14'
D
19
Grady Diangana
32'
F
Grady Diangana
32'
F
39
Hector Fort
10'
D
Hector Fort
10'
D
18
John Donald
14'
D
John Donald
14'
D
21
Léo Pétrot
D
24
Lucas Cepeda
F
Lucas Cepeda
F
16
Martim Neto
M
Martim Neto
M
1
Antonio Sivera
G
Antonio Sivera
G
21
Abderrahman Rebbach
D
Abderrahman Rebbach
D
24
Victor Parada
D
Victor Parada
D
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
17
Jonny Otto
D
Jonny Otto
D
7
Ángel Pérez
D
Ángel Pérez
D
18
Jon Guridi
82'
M
Jon Guridi
82'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
M
Antonio Blanco
M
19
Pablo Ibáñez
45'
M
Pablo Ibáñez
45'
M
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
82'
F
Ibrahim Diabaté
82'
F
11
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
67'
F
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
4
Denis Suárez
54'
M
Denis Suárez
54'
M
3
Yusi
32'
D
Yusi
32'
D
Best on the pitch
David Affengruber
D · Elche
8.20
1 shots
· 75 pass
G · Elche
7.90
· 37 pass
Álvaro Rodriguez
F · Elche
7.50
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 25 pass
Toni Martínez
F · Alaves
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Víctor Chust
D · Elche
7.20
1 shots
· 63 pass
Germán Valera
M · Elche
7.20
· 43 pass
Elche — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Bigas | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| David Affengruber | D | 99 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 60% | 4 | — | — |
| Germán Valera | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marc Aguado | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Tete Morente | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Rodriguez | F | 99 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 7 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Buba Sangare | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Grady Diangana | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Hector Fort | D | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Donald | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Sivera | G | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Victor Parada | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonny Otto | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Ángel Pérez | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Yusi | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Elche vs Alaves?
The final score was Elche 1–1 Alaves.
What did the model predict before Elche vs Alaves?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Elche win, 25% to a draw, and 27% to an Alaves win.