The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Elche a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Mallorca 29%). The final result was Elche 2–1 Mallorca. In 1 previous meetings, Elche have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mallorca.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
4
1.56
Actual xG
1.47
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
42.47%
Elche ←
28.02%
X
29.51%
Mallorca
we assigned to the actual result (Elche)
42.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
1.56
+0.26
1.04
1.47
+0.43
xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Elche vs Mallorca?
The final score was Elche 2–1 Mallorca.
What did the model predict before Elche vs Mallorca?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Elche win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Mallorca win.