✓Model correct — prediction Real Madrid
Abiel Alessio Osorio
(ast. Lucas Cepeda)
71'
Fernando Niño Rodríguez
(ast. José Antonio Ferrández Pomares)
83'
(og)
25'
Matías Dituro
33'
(ast. Yan Diomande)
Kylian Mbappé
90'+1
(ast. Kylian Mbappé)
Carlos Espí
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Elche 24%). The final result was Elche 2–3 Real Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Elche have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
20
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
5
18
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
Yan Diomande
25'
(og)
Matías Dituro⚽
Marc Aguado
31'
33'
ast. Yan Diomande ·
Kylian Mbappé⚽
Marc Aguado
/ Lucas Cepeda
58'
Germán Valera
/ Thomas Lemar
58'
68'
Brahim Díaz
/
Vinícius
68'
Jude Bellingham
/
Arda Güler
Buba Sangaré
/ Ruben Sanchez Saez
68'
Martim Neto
/ Fernando Niño Rodríguez
68'
⚽Abiel Alessio Osorio
· ast. Lucas Cepeda
71'
73'
Ibrahima Konaté
Lucas Cepeda
78'
Tete Morente
/ José Antonio Ferrández Pomares
80'
⚽Fernando Niño Rodríguez
· ast. José Antonio Ferrández Pomares
83'
86'
Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
/
Aurelien Tchouameni
87'
Carlos Espí
/
Trent Alexander-Arnold
90'+1
ast. Kylian Mbappé ·
Carlos Espí⚽
90'+2
Denzel Dumfries
/
Yan Diomande
José Antonio Ferrández Pomares
90'+3
Gonzalo Villar
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
24.2%
Elche
24.44%
X
51.37%
Real ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid)
51.37%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
—
—
3.09
—
—
Lineups
1
M. Dituro
1 ⚽
G
M. Dituro
1 ⚽
G
3
R. Revivo
D
R. Revivo
D
23
Víctor Chust
D
Víctor Chust
D
5
F. Redondo
D
F. Redondo
D
2
Buba Sangaré
68'
D
Buba Sangaré
68'
D
20
Tete Morente
80'
M
Tete Morente
80'
M
12
Gonzalo Villar
M
Gonzalo Villar
M
8
Marc Aguado
58'
M
Marc Aguado
58'
M
16
Martim Neto
68'
M
Martim Neto
68'
M
11
Germán Valera
58'
M
Germán Valera
58'
M
24
A. Osorio
1 ⚽
F
A. Osorio
1 ⚽
F
Bench
13
Alejandro Iturbe
G
Alejandro Iturbe
G
6
Bigas
D
Bigas
D
9
E. Ponce
F
E. Ponce
F
10
F. Buonanotte
M
F. Buonanotte
M
14
Fer Niño
1 ⚽
22'
F
Fer Niño
1 ⚽
22'
F
19
G. Diangana
F
G. Diangana
F
47
J. Morcillo
M
J. Morcillo
M
17
Josan
1 👟
10'
M
Josan
1 👟
10'
M
21
L. Cepeda
1 👟
32'
F
L. Cepeda
1 👟
32'
F
26
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
D
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
D
22
Rubén Sánchez
22'
D
Rubén Sánchez
22'
D
18
T. Lemar
32'
M
T. Lemar
32'
M
1
T. Courtois
G
T. Courtois
G
17
Marc Cucurella
D
Marc Cucurella
D
4
D. Huijsen
D
D. Huijsen
D
16
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
87'
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
87'
D
14
A. Tchouaméni
86'
M
A. Tchouaméni
86'
M
8
F. Valverde
M
F. Valverde
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
68'
M
Vinícius Júnior
68'
M
15
A. Güler
68'
M
A. Güler
68'
M
25
Y. Diomande
1 👟
89'
M
Y. Diomande
1 👟
89'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Kylian Mbappé
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
13
A. Lunin
G
A. Lunin
G
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
20
Bernardo Silva
M
Bernardo Silva
M
21
Brahim Díaz
22'
M
Brahim Díaz
22'
M
19
Carlos Espí
1 ⚽
3'
F
Carlos Espí
1 ⚽
3'
F
24
D. Dumfries
1'
D
D. Dumfries
1'
D
6
E. Camavinga
M
E. Camavinga
M
9
Endrick
4'
F
Endrick
4'
F
5
J. Bellingham
22'
M
J. Bellingham
22'
M
2
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
27
Thiago Pitarch
M
Thiago Pitarch
M
Best on the pitch
Kylian Mbappé
F · Real
8.87
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 39 pass
Carlos Espí
F · Real
7.87
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
Fer Niño
F · Elche
7.86
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
A. Osorio
F · Elche
7.71
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 17 pass
Y. Diomande
M · Real
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
T. Alexander-Arnold
D · Real
7.23
1 shots
· 37 pass
Elche — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dituro | G | 90 | 5.97 | 1 | — | 0 | 51 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Revivo | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 99 | 92% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Redondo | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 53% | 6 | — | — |
| Buba Sangaré | D | 68 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Tete Morente | M | 80 | 6.16 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 56% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marc Aguado | M | 58 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Martim Neto | M | 68 | 6.28 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| Germán Valera | M | 58 | 5.78 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Osorio | F | 90 | 7.71 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Fer Niño | F | 22 | 7.86 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Josan | M | 10 | 5.71 | — | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Cepeda | F | 32 | 6.51 | — | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Rubén Sánchez | D | 22 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lemar | M | 32 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | 0 | 1 | — |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | D | 87 | 7.23 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 86 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Valverde | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | M | 68 | 6.26 | — | — | 5 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Güler | M | 68 | 7.13 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Diomande | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 90 | 8.87 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 22 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlos Espí | F | 3 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 1 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Endrick | F | 4 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 22 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Elche vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Elche 2–3 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Elche vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Elche win, 24% to a draw, and 51% to an Real Madrid win.