L. Cepeda
(ast. A. Febas)
73'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Elche a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Valencia 32%). The final result was Elche 1–0 Valencia. In 1 previous meetings, Elche have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Valencia.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
8
0.59
Actual xG
2.33
7
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
9
22
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Buba Sangare
59'
60'
D. Lopez
/
L. Rioja
61'
H. Duro
/
U. Sadiq
63'
G. Rodriguez
Andre Silva
/ A. Rodriguez
64'
Buba Sangare
/ J. Donald
64'
M. Neto
/ L. Cepeda
72'
G. Villar
/ A. Pedrosa
72'
⚽L. Cepeda
· ast. A. Febas
73'
75'
Pepelu
/
E. Comert
75'
J. Vazquez
/
J. Gaya
81'
A. Danjuma
/
L. Beltran
G. Valera
/ V. Chust
82'
Pre-match prediction
37.69%
Elche ←
30.19%
X
32.11%
Valencia
we assigned to the actual result (Elche)
37.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
0.59
-0.47
1.04
2.33
+1.29
Valencia dominated by xG (2.33 vs 0.59).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
Léo Pétrot
D
22
David Affengruber
D
David Affengruber
D
42
Buba Sangare
64'
D
Buba Sangare
64'
D
11
Germán Valera
82'
M
Germán Valera
82'
M
12
Gonzalo Villar
72'
M
Gonzalo Villar
72'
M
14
Aleix Febas
1 👟
M
Aleix Febas
1 👟
M
15
Tete Morente
M
Tete Morente
M
16
Martim Neto
72'
F
Martim Neto
72'
F
9
André Silva
64'
F
André Silva
64'
F
10
Rafa Mir
F
Rafa Mir
F
Bench
3
Adrià Pedrosa
18'
D
Adrià Pedrosa
18'
D
20
Álvaro Rodriguez
26'
F
Álvaro Rodriguez
26'
F
18
John Donald
26'
D
John Donald
26'
D
24
Lucas Cepeda
1 ⚽
18'
F
Lucas Cepeda
1 ⚽
18'
F
23
Víctor Chust
8'
D
Víctor Chust
8'
D
1
Stole Dimitrievski
G
Stole Dimitrievski
G
14
José Gayà
75'
D
José Gayà
75'
D
24
Eray Cömert
75'
D
Eray Cömert
75'
D
5
César Tárrega
D
César Tárrega
D
12
Thierry Correia
D
Thierry Correia
D
17
Largie Ramazani
M
Largie Ramazani
M
23
Filip Ugrinić
M
Filip Ugrinić
M
2
Guido Rodríguez
M
Guido Rodríguez
M
11
Luis Rioja
60'
M
Luis Rioja
60'
M
6
Umar Sadiq
61'
F
Umar Sadiq
61'
F
15
L. Beltrán
81'
F
L. Beltrán
81'
F
Bench
10
André Almeida
M
André Almeida
M
16
Diego López
30'
F
Diego López
30'
F
9
Hugo Duro
29'
F
Hugo Duro
29'
F
8
Javi Guerra
M
Javi Guerra
M
20
Renzo Saravia
D
Renzo Saravia
D
Best on the pitch
Luis Rioja
M · Valencia
8.70
· 14 pass
G · Elche
8.50
· 40 pass
Lucas Cepeda
F · Elche
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Aleix Febas
M · Elche
7.90
1 👟
· 54 pass
David Affengruber
D · Elche
7.70
· 73 pass
Léo Pétrot
D · Elche
7.50
1 shots
· 55 pass
Elche — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Léo Pétrot | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| David Affengruber | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 73 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Buba Sangare | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Germán Valera | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 54 | 49% | 7 | — | — |
| Tete Morente | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Martim Neto | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafa Mir | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Adrià Pedrosa | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Rodriguez | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| John Donald | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cepeda | F | 18 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Valencia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stole Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| José Gayà | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Eray Cömert | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| César Tárrega | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Thierry Correia | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Largie Ramazani | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Filip Ugrinić | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Guido Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Rioja | M | 60 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Beltrán | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego López | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Elche vs Valencia?
The final score was Elche 1–0 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Elche vs Valencia?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Elche win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Valencia win.