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La Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 11, 2026 16:15 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Elche
#19 · 2 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Valencia
#20 · 1 pts
L. Cepeda (ast. A. Febas) 73'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Elche a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Valencia 32%). The final result was Elche 1–0 Valencia. In 1 previous meetings, Elche have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Valencia.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
8
0.59
Actual xG
2.33
7
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
9
22
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Buba Sangare
59'
60'
D. Lopez / L. Rioja ↕
61'
H. Duro / U. Sadiq ↕
63'
G. Rodriguez
↕ Andre Silva / A. Rodriguez
64'
↕ Buba Sangare / J. Donald
64'
↕ M. Neto / L. Cepeda
72'
↕ G. Villar / A. Pedrosa
72'
⚽L. Cepeda · ast. A. Febas
73'
75'
Pepelu / E. Comert ↕
75'
J. Vazquez / J. Gaya ↕
81'
A. Danjuma / L. Beltran ↕
↕ G. Valera / V. Chust
82'
Pre-match prediction
37.69%
Elche ←
30.19%
X
32.11%
Valencia
we assigned to the actual result (Elche) 37.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Elche
1.06
0.59
-0.47
Valencia
1.04
2.33
+1.29
Valencia dominated by xG (2.33 vs 0.59). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 5 15
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 5 12
3 Alaves Alaves 5 10
4 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 5 7
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
11 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
12 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
13 Levante Levante 5 5
14 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 6 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 5 4
17 Malaga Malaga 5 3
18 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
19 Elche Elche 5 2
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Elche Elche 3-4-1-2
1
G 8.50
21 L. Pétrot L. Pétrot D 7.50
22 D. Affengruber D. Affengruber D 7.70
42 Buba Sangaré Buba Sangaré 64' D 6.30
11 Germán Valera Germán Valera 82' M 7.00
12 Gonzalo Villar Gonzalo Villar 72' M 7.30
14 Aleix Febas Aleix Febas 1 👟 M 7.90
15 Tete Morente Tete Morente M 6.90
16 Martim Neto Martim Neto 72' F 6.90
9 André Silva André Silva 64' F 6.50
10 Rafa Mir Rafa Mir F 6.90
Bench
3 Adrià Pedrosa Adrià Pedrosa 18' D 6.90
20 Á. Rodríguez Á. Rodríguez 26' F 6.90
18 John Donald John Donald 26' D 6.60
24 L. Cepeda L. Cepeda 1 ⚽ 18' F 8.20
23 Víctor Chust Víctor Chust 8' D 6.30
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 7.00
14 José Gayà José Gayà 75' D 6.70
24 E. Cömert E. Cömert 75' D 6.20
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.90
12 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia D 6.50
17 L. Ramazani L. Ramazani M 6.90
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic M 6.60
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez M 6.70
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja 60' M 8.70
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 61' F 6.30
15 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 81' F 6.30
Bench
10 André Almeida André Almeida M
16 Diego López Diego López 30' F 6.70
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 29' F 6.50
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra M
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia D
Best on the pitch
Luis Rioja
Luis Rioja
M · Valencia
8.70
· 14 pass
G · Elche
8.50
· 40 pass
L. Cepeda
L. Cepeda
F · Elche
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas
M · Elche
7.90
1 👟
· 54 pass
D. Affengruber
D. Affengruber
D · Elche
7.70
· 73 pass
L. Pétrot
L. Pétrot
D · Elche
7.50
1 shots · 55 pass
Elche Elche — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.50 — — — 40 28% — — —
L. Pétrot D 90 7.50 — — 1 55 52% 2 — —
D. Affengruber D 90 7.70 — — — 73 63% 1 — —
Buba Sangaré D 64 6.30 — — — 50 40% 1 1 —
Germán Valera M 82 7.00 — — 1 25 24% — — —
Gonzalo Villar M 72 7.30 — — — 43 40% 4 — —
Aleix Febas M 90 7.90 — 1 — 54 49% 7 — —
Tete Morente M 90 6.90 — — — 25 20% 1 — —
Martim Neto F 72 6.90 — — — 28 24% 2 — —
André Silva F 64 6.50 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
Rafa Mir F 90 6.90 — — 2 14 10% 1 — —
Adrià Pedrosa D 18 6.90 — — — 3 1% — — —
Á. Rodríguez F 26 6.90 — — — 6 3% 1 — —
John Donald D 26 6.60 — — — 5 3% — — —
L. Cepeda F 18 8.20 1 — 2 7 6% 1 — —
Víctor Chust D 8 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 90 7.00 — — — 35 22% 1 — —
José Gayà D 75 6.70 — — 1 15 15% 2 — —
E. Cömert D 75 6.20 — — 1 32 30% — — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.90 — — 1 26 24% 1 — —
Thierry Correia D 90 6.50 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
L. Ramazani M 90 6.90 — — 4 18 15% 2 — —
F. Ugrinic M 90 6.60 — — 1 33 26% 1 — —
Guido Rodríguez M 90 6.70 — — — 45 43% 1 1 —
Luis Rioja M 60 8.70 — — — 14 12% 4 — —
Umar Sadiq F 61 6.30 — — 1 8 6% 2 — —
L. Beltrán F 81 6.30 — — 2 13 11% 1 — —
Diego López F 30 6.70 — — 2 9 9% — — —
Hugo Duro F 29 6.50 — — 2 8 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Elche vs Valencia?
The final score was Elche 1–0 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Elche vs Valencia?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Elche win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Valencia win.