J. Ruiz
(ast. L. Fragozo)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Emelec a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Universidad Catolica 34%). The final result was Emelec 1–0 Universidad Catolica. In 1 previous meetings, Emelec have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Universidad Catolica.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
1
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
5
31
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
30'
E. Valencia
42'
L. Canga
53'
M. Alonso
I. Guerrico
62'
F. Pizzini
/ L. Fragozo
65'
G. Napoli
/ J. Cevallos
72'
72'
A. Rodriguez
/
E. Rose
⚽J. Ruiz
· ast. L. Fragozo
82'
85'
D. Palacios
/
E. Valencia
L. Klimowicz
/ A. Mina
90'+1
90'+1
F. Martinez
/
L. Moreno
90'+1
S. Yanez
/
B. Palacios
J. Ruiz
/ O. Herrera
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
39.72%
Emelec ←
25.73%
X
34.55%
Universidad
we assigned to the actual result (Emelec)
39.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
—
—
1.26
—
—
Lineups
1
Mario Valero
G
Mario Valero
G
3
Ignacio Guerrico
D
Ignacio Guerrico
D
4
E. Segura
D
E. Segura
D
2
A. Leguizamón
D
A. Leguizamón
D
14
Romario Caicedo
D
Romario Caicedo
D
10
Francisco Pizzini
65'
M
Francisco Pizzini
65'
M
16
Sergio Quintero
M
Sergio Quintero
M
5
Angelo Mina
M
Angelo Mina
M
19
Juan Ruiz Gómez
1 ⚽
89'
M
Juan Ruiz Gómez
1 ⚽
89'
M
8
G. Nápoli
72'
F
G. Nápoli
72'
F
7
L. Klimowicz
89'
F
L. Klimowicz
89'
F
Bench
24
Andrés Viteri
F
Andrés Viteri
F
30
Ariel Mina
1'
D
Ariel Mina
1'
D
22
Ezequiel Castañeda
G
Ezequiel Castañeda
G
17
Jaime Ayoví
F
Jaime Ayoví
F
20
Jheremy Gonzaga
F
Jheremy Gonzaga
F
21
José Cevallos
18'
M
José Cevallos
18'
M
27
Luis Fernando León
D
Luis Fernando León
D
15
Luis Fragozo
1 👟
25'
F
Luis Fragozo
1 👟
25'
F
18
Mathias Carabalí
D
Mathias Carabalí
D
80
Orlando Herrera
1'
D
Orlando Herrera
1'
D
25
Rafael Narváez
M
Rafael Narváez
M
12
Johan Lara
G
Johan Lara
G
44
Eric Valencia
85'
D
Eric Valencia
85'
D
4
J. Chancellor
D
J. Chancellor
D
33
L. Cangá
D
L. Cangá
D
29
Gregori Anangonó
D
Gregori Anangonó
D
15
Luis Moreno
89'
M
Luis Moreno
89'
M
5
Jerónimo Cacciabue
M
Jerónimo Cacciabue
M
32
M. Alonso
M
M. Alonso
M
28
M. Díaz
M
M. Díaz
M
13
Everardo Rose
72'
M
Everardo Rose
72'
M
18
B. Palacios
89'
F
B. Palacios
89'
F
Bench
23
Álex Rodríguez
18'
M
Álex Rodríguez
18'
M
37
Carlos Medina
D
Carlos Medina
D
24
Darwin Nazareno
D
Darwin Nazareno
D
6
Diego Palacios
13'
D
Diego Palacios
13'
D
10
Facundo Martinez
1'
M
Facundo Martinez
1'
M
20
Jeysinio Chala
M
Jeysinio Chala
M
1
Lucas Cueva
G
Lucas Cueva
G
19
Marcos Sevillano
M
Marcos Sevillano
M
22
Rafael Romo
G
Rafael Romo
G
14
Renato Caicedo
M
Renato Caicedo
M
17
Rooney Troya
M
Rooney Troya
M
26
Saenddy Yánez
1'
F
Saenddy Yánez
1'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Leguizamón
D · Emelec
8.00
· 32 pass
Juan Ruiz Gómez
M · Emelec
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Ignacio Guerrico
D · Emelec
7.70
· 22 pass
Gregori Anangonó
D · Universidad
7.30
1 shots
· 55 pass
Diego Palacios
D · Universidad
7.20
· 3 pass
E. Segura
D · Emelec
7.20
· 20 pass
Emelec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Valero | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Guerrico | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Segura | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Leguizamón | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Romario Caicedo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Francisco Pizzini | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Quintero | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Angelo Mina | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Juan Ruiz Gómez | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| G. Nápoli | F | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Klimowicz | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ariel Mina | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| José Cevallos | M | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Fragozo | F | 25 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Orlando Herrera | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Universidad Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johan Lara | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Eric Valencia | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Chancellor | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cangá | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 70 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gregori Anangonó | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Luis Moreno | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Jerónimo Cacciabue | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 64% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Alonso | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Díaz | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| Everardo Rose | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Palacios | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Álex Rodríguez | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Palacios | D | 13 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Martinez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Saenddy Yánez | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
The final score was Emelec 1–0 Universidad Catolica.
What did the model predict before Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Emelec win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Universidad Catolica win.