Empoli 2–4 Palermo — pre-match prediction — Serie B — October 10, 2026

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Serie B · Regular Season - 6 October 10, 2026 15:00 Carlo Castellani, Empoli

Empoli

#17 · 7 pts

2 – 4

Final score

Palermo

#1 · 22 pts

Edoardo Saporiti 50' (pen.)

Bogdan Popov 79' (pen.)

57' (ast. Mattia Bani) Joel Pohjanpalo

65' (ast. Dennis Johnsen) Antonio Palumbo

69' (ast. Antonio Palumbo) Dennis Johnsen

88' (ast. Alessandro Gabrielloni) Tommaso Cassandro

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Empoli 32%). The final result was Empoli 2–4 Palermo. In 2 previous meetings, Empoli have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.46

Actual xG

4.91

Saves

41%

Possession

59%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

↕ Filippo Bandinelli / Lapo Deli

45'

↕ Simone Romagnoli / Karim Zedadka

45'

47'

⚽Edoardo Saporiti (pen.)

50'

57'

ast. Mattia Bani · Joel Pohjanpalo⚽

Jacopo Seghetti

57'

65'

ast. Dennis Johnsen · Antonio Palumbo⚽

69'

ast. Antonio Palumbo · Dennis Johnsen⚽

↕ Edoardo Biondini / Duccio Degli Innocenti

71'

↕ Niccolo Corrado / Steven Shpendi

71'

75'

Filippo·Ranocchia

76'

⚽Bogdan Popov (pen.)

79'

80'

Hernani / Jacopo Segre ↕

80'

Nahuel Estévez / Filippo·Ranocchia ↕

80'

Alessandro Gabrielloni / Joel Pohjanpalo ↕

80'

Luca Mazzitelli / Antonio Palumbo ↕

85'

Patryk Peda / Dennis Johnsen ↕

88'

ast. Alessandro Gabrielloni · Tommaso Cassandro⚽

↕ Joseph Ceesay / Matteo Egan

89'

Pre-match prediction

32.79%

Empoli

29.9%

37.31%

Palermo ←

we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 37.31% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Empoli

1.24

1.46

+0.22

Palermo

1.36

4.91

+3.55

Palermo dominated by xG (4.91 vs 1.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	8	22
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	8	14
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Avellino	9	12
10	Cesena	9	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	10
12	Arezzo	8	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	9
14	Cremonese	9	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	8
17	Empoli	9	7
18	Carrarese	8	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5

Lineups

Empoli 3-5-2

J. Seghetti G 6.68

C. Cauz D 6.22

S. Romagnoli 46' D 5.94

M. Curto D 6.15

N. Corrado 71' M 5.69

E. Biondini 71' M 6.03

F. Bandinelli 46' M 6.35

L. Magnino M 6.44

J. Ceesay 89' M 6.01

E. Saporiti 1 ⚽ F 6.83

B. Popov 1 ⚽ F 7.59

Bench

D. Bembnista D 0.00

D. Degli Innocenti 19' M 5.58

E. Filippis G 0.00

F. Meznar F 0.00

G. Indragoli D 0.00

K. Zedadka 44' M 6.08

L. Belardinelli M 0.00

L. Deli 44' M 6.69

M. Egan 1' D 5.89

S. Perisan G 0.00

S. Shpendi 19' F 6.46

Palermo 4-2-3-1

M. Fortin G 6.10

T. Augello D 6.89

P. Ceccaroni D 6.84

M. Bani 1 👟 D 7.10

T. Cassandro 1 ⚽ D 7.59

F. Ranocchia 80' M 7.20

J. Segre 80' M 6.75

D. Johnsen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 85' M 8.98

A. Palumbo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 80' M 9.00

D. Vavassori M 5.89

J. Pohjanpalo 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.97

Bench

A. Bozzolan D 0.00

A. Gabrielloni 1 👟 10' F 6.68

C. Gomes M 0.00

E. Gyasi D 0.00

G. Magnani D 0.00

Hernani 10' M 6.74

L. Mazzitelli 10' M 6.18

M. Nespola G 0.00

M. Perin G 0.00

N. Estévez 10' M 6.10

N. Pierozzi D 0.00

P. Peda 5' D 6.31

Best on the pitch

A. Palumbo

M · Palermo

9.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 33 pass

D. Johnsen

M · Palermo

8.98

1 ⚽ 1 👟

9 shots · 21 pass

J. Pohjanpalo

F · Palermo

7.97

1 ⚽

5 shots · 16 pass

T. Cassandro

D · Palermo

7.59

1 ⚽

1 shots · 38 pass

B. Popov

F · Empoli

7.59

1 ⚽

2 shots · 22 pass

F. Ranocchia

M · Palermo

7.20

1 shots · 80 pass

Empoli — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Seghetti	G	90	6.68	—	—	0	34	23%	0	1	—
C. Cauz	D	90	6.22	—	—	0	54	49%	0	—	—
S. Romagnoli	D	46	5.94	—	—	0	13	11%	0	—	—
M. Curto	D	90	6.15	—	—	0	44	37%	2	—	—
N. Corrado	M	71	5.69	—	—	0	25	18%	0	—	—
E. Biondini	M	71	6.03	—	—	2	17	14%	0	—	—
F. Bandinelli	M	46	6.35	—	—	0	19	15%	2	—	—
L. Magnino	M	90	6.44	—	—	0	40	36%	2	—	—
J. Ceesay	M	89	6.01	—	—	0	18	10%	1	—	—
E. Saporiti	F	90	6.83	1	—	2	24	17%	0	—	—
B. Popov	F	90	7.59	1	—	2	22	17%	0	—	—
D. Degli Innocenti	M	19	5.58	—	—	0	6	4%	0	—	—
K. Zedadka	M	44	6.08	—	—	0	23	16%	4	—	—
L. Deli	M	44	6.69	—	—	0	36	35%	1	—	—
M. Egan	D	1	5.89	—	—	0	6	5%	0	—	—
S. Shpendi	F	19	6.46	—	—	0	7	6%	1	—	—

Palermo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Fortin	G	90	6.10	—	—	0	45	35%	0	—	—
T. Augello	D	90	6.89	—	—	2	71	63%	0	—	—
P. Ceccaroni	D	90	6.84	—	—	0	68	59%	1	—	—
M. Bani	D	90	7.10	—	1	1	57	53%	0	—	—
T. Cassandro	D	90	7.59	1	—	1	38	31%	5	—	—
F. Ranocchia	M	80	7.20	—	—	1	80	72%	0	1	—
J. Segre	M	80	6.75	—	—	2	39	36%	2	—	—
D. Johnsen	M	85	8.98	1	1	9	21	15%	0	—	—
A. Palumbo	M	80	9.00	1	1	4	33	29%	1	—	—
D. Vavassori	M	90	5.89	—	—	8	34	28%	0	—	—
J. Pohjanpalo	F	80	7.97	1	—	5	16	11%	0	—	—
A. Gabrielloni	F	10	6.68	—	1	1	5	4%	0	—	—
Hernani	M	10	6.74	—	—	0	22	20%	0	—	—
L. Mazzitelli	M	10	6.18	—	—	1	12	11%	0	—	—
N. Estévez	M	10	6.10	—	—	0	19	18%	0	—	—
P. Peda	D	5	6.31	—	—	0	2	2%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Empoli vs Palermo?

The final score was Empoli 2–4 Palermo.

What did the model predict before Empoli vs Palermo?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Empoli win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Palermo win.