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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 October 16, 2026 18:30 Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus
Energie Cottbus
#11 · 10 pts
1 – 1
Final score
1. FC Nürnberg
#2 · 18 pts
Justin Butler (ast. Leonardo Bittencourt) 56'
79' (ast. Eric Porstner) Styopa Mkrtchyan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Nürnberg a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Energie Cottbus 34%). The final result was Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
19
5
Shots on target
5
1.91
Actual xG
1.37
4
Saves
4
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
8
18
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
33'
William Bøving / Mohamed Alì Zoma ↕
34'
Adam Markhiev
Henry Rorig
45'+1
⚽Justin Butler · ast. Leonardo Bittencourt
56'
61'
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
↕ Leon Guwara / fousseny doumbia
65'
↕ Leonardo Bittencourt / Dominik Pelivan
65'
65'
Rafael Lubach / Rayan Ghrieb ↕
66'
Styopa Mkrtchyan / Alexios Kalogeropoulos ↕
Tolcay Cigerci
68'
79'
ast. Eric Porstner · Styopa Mkrtchyan⚽
↕ Henry Rorig / Christian Kinsombi
80'
↕ Justin Butler / Dmytro Bogdanov
80'
↕ King Samuel Manu / Tim Campulka
82'
Christian Kinsombi
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.04%
Energie
28.36%
X ←
37.6%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Energie
1.37
1.91
+0.54
1.
1.53
1.37
-0.16
Energie Cottbus dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4-2-3-1
1 M. Lotka M. Lotka G 6.98
25 L. Guwara L. Guwara 65' D 6.39
21 Luca Erlein Luca Erlein D 7.17
2 K. Manu K. Manu 82' D 7.10
3 H. Rorig H. Rorig 80' D 6.30
8 Lukas Michelbrink Lukas Michelbrink M 6.59
32 L. Bittencourt L. Bittencourt 1 👟 65' M 7.70
11 M. Hannemann M. Hannemann M 6.47
9 L. Copado L. Copado M 6.80
10 T. Ciğerci T. Ciğerci M 6.67
31 J. Butler J. Butler 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.35
Bench
7 C. Kinsombi C. Kinsombi 10' F 6.28
13 Dmytro Bohdanov Dmytro Bohdanov 10' F 6.79
5 D. Pelivan D. Pelivan 25' M 6.49
23 Fousseny Doumbia Fousseny Doumbia 25' D 6.60
19 J. Boziaris J. Boziaris M 0.00
6 J. Hofmann J. Hofmann M 0.00
29 K. Kratzsch K. Kratzsch G 0.00
16 R. Malone R. Malone D 0.00
4 T. Campulka T. Campulka 8' D 6.70
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
1 J. Reichert J. Reichert G 7.37
41 E. Porstner E. Porstner 1 👟 D 7.11
20 F. Otto F. Otto D 7.20
4 A. Kalogeropoulos A. Kalogeropoulos 66' D 6.84
32 T. Janisch T. Janisch D 6.74
8 J. Fernandez J. Fernandez M 6.41
6 A. Marhiev A. Marhiev M 6.64
23 M. Zoma M. Zoma 33' M 6.08
10 J. Justvan J. Justvan M 6.53
7 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb 65' M 6.48
19 P. Scobel P. Scobel F 6.36
Bench
28 Can Yaha Moustfa Can Yaha Moustfa F 0.00
21 G. Masouras G. Masouras D 0.00
35 M. Kornwachs Barjuan M. Kornwachs Barjuan M 0.00
18 Rafael Lubach Rafael Lubach 25' M 6.61
13 Robin Lisewski Robin Lisewski G 0.00
9 S. Haugen S. Haugen F 0.00
5 S. Mkrtchyan S. Mkrtchyan 1 ⚽ 24' D 8.03
11 W. Bøving W. Bøving 57' F 6.95
Best on the pitch
S. Mkrtchyan
S. Mkrtchyan
D · 1.
8.03
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
L. Bittencourt
L. Bittencourt
M · Energie
7.70
1 👟
· 27 pass
J. Reichert
J. Reichert
G · 1.
7.37
· 39 pass
J. Butler
J. Butler
F · Energie
7.35
1 ⚽
4 shots · 15 pass
F. Otto
F. Otto
D · 1.
7.20
· 85 pass
Luca Erlein
Luca Erlein
D · Energie
7.17
· 37 pass
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Lotka G 90 6.98 — — 0 35 26% 0 — —
L. Guwara D 65 6.39 — — 0 19 12% 1 — —
Luca Erlein D 90 7.17 — — 0 37 31% 2 — —
K. Manu D 82 7.10 — — 1 47 39% 1 — —
H. Rorig D 80 6.30 — — 1 17 9% 3 1 —
Lukas Michelbrink M 90 6.59 — — 2 38 29% 3 — —
L. Bittencourt M 65 7.70 — 1 0 27 24% 3 — —
M. Hannemann M 90 6.47 — — 1 30 19% 2 — —
L. Copado M 90 6.80 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
T. Ciğerci M 90 6.67 — — 4 32 27% 2 1 —
J. Butler F 80 7.35 1 — 4 15 12% 0 — —
C. Kinsombi F 10 6.28 — — 0 2 1% 0 1 —
Dmytro Bohdanov F 10 6.79 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
D. Pelivan M 25 6.49 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Fousseny Doumbia D 25 6.60 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
T. Campulka D 8 6.70 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Reichert G 90 7.37 — — 0 39 37% 0 — —
E. Porstner D 90 7.11 — 1 0 41 34% 2 — —
F. Otto D 90 7.20 — — 0 85 80% 1 — —
A. Kalogeropoulos D 66 6.84 — — 0 48 44% 3 1 —
T. Janisch D 90 6.74 — — 1 52 48% 0 — —
J. Fernandez M 90 6.41 — — 3 57 47% 1 — —
A. Marhiev M 90 6.64 — — 2 66 60% 2 1 —
M. Zoma M 33 6.08 — — 1 3 3% 0 — —
J. Justvan M 90 6.53 — — 3 39 32% 0 — —
R. Ghrieb M 65 6.48 — — 1 36 23% 1 — —
P. Scobel F 90 6.36 — — 5 15 7% 0 — —
Rafael Lubach M 25 6.61 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
S. Mkrtchyan D 24 8.03 1 — 1 18 17% 0 — —
W. Bøving F 57 6.95 — — 1 22 16% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Energie Cottbus win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.