A. Gordon
(ast. M. Rogers)
55'
85'
(ast. L. Messi)
E. Fernandez
90'+2
(ast. L. Messi)
L. Martinez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave England a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Argentina 27%). The final result was England 1–2 Argentina.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
5
0.53
Actual xG
1.84
3
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
1
Corners
6
14
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Anderson
37'
42'
L. Martinez
51'
C. Romero
⚽A. Gordon
· ast. M. Rogers
55'
64'
N. Gonzalez
/
L. Paredes
A. Gordon
/ E. Konsa
72'
72'
R. de Paul
/
G. Simeone
72'
G. Montiel
/
N. Molina
72'
N. Otamendi
/
L. Martinez
81'
L. Martinez
/
N. Tagliafico
R. James
/ D. Burn
82'
D. Rice
/ N. O'Reilly
82'
85'
ast. L. Messi ·
E. Fernandez⚽
90'+2
ast. L. Messi ·
L. Martinez⚽
90'+4
R. de Paul
J. Stones
/ I. Toney
90'+6
D. Spence
/ M. Rashford
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
44.4%
England
28.53%
X
27.07%
Argentina ←
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
27.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
0.53
-1.31
1.42
1.84
+0.42
Argentina dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Pickford
G
J. Pickford
G
25
Djed Spence
89'
D
Djed Spence
89'
D
6
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
5
J. Stones
89'
D
J. Stones
89'
D
24
R. James
82'
D
R. James
82'
D
8
E. Anderson
M
E. Anderson
M
4
D. Rice
82'
M
D. Rice
82'
M
18
A. Gordon
1 ⚽
72'
M
A. Gordon
1 ⚽
72'
M
10
J. Bellingham
M
J. Bellingham
M
17
M. Rogers
1 👟
M
M. Rogers
1 👟
M
9
H. Kane
F
H. Kane
F
Bench
7
B. Saka
F
B. Saka
F
15
Dan Burn
8'
D
Dan Burn
8'
D
13
D. Henderson
G
D. Henderson
G
21
E. Eze
M
E. Eze
M
2
E. Konsa
18'
D
E. Konsa
18'
D
22
I. Toney
1'
F
I. Toney
1'
F
14
Jordan Henderson
M
Jordan Henderson
M
23
J. Trafford
G
J. Trafford
G
16
K. Mainoo
M
K. Mainoo
M
11
M. Rashford
1'
F
M. Rashford
1'
F
20
N. Madueke
F
N. Madueke
F
3
N. O'Reilly
8'
D
N. O'Reilly
8'
D
19
O. Watkins
F
O. Watkins
F
12
T. Chalobah
D
T. Chalobah
D
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
3
N. Tagliafico
81'
D
N. Tagliafico
81'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
72'
D
Lisandro Martínez
72'
D
13
C. Romero
D
C. Romero
D
26
N. Molina
72'
D
N. Molina
72'
D
5
L. Paredes
64'
M
L. Paredes
64'
M
9
J. Álvarez
M
J. Álvarez
M
20
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
24
E. Fernández
1 ⚽
M
E. Fernández
1 ⚽
M
17
G. Simeone
72'
M
G. Simeone
72'
M
10
L. Messi
2 👟
F
L. Messi
2 👟
F
Bench
14
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
25
F. Medina
D
F. Medina
D
11
G. Lo Celso
M
G. Lo Celso
M
4
G. Montiel
18'
D
G. Montiel
18'
D
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
21
J. López
F
J. López
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
22
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
9'
F
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
9'
F
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
15
N. González
26'
F
N. González
26'
F
19
N. Otamendi
18'
D
N. Otamendi
18'
D
18
N. Paz
F
N. Paz
F
7
R. De Paul
18'
M
R. De Paul
18'
M
16
T. Almada
M
T. Almada
M
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
8.00
2 👟
· 54 pass
E. Fernández
M · Argentina
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 84 pass
E. Anderson
M · England
7.30
· 53 pass
L. Paredes
M · Argentina
7.20
1 shots
· 70 pass
Lautaro Martínez
F · Argentina
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
C. Romero
D · Argentina
7.20
· 53 pass
England — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 54% | — | — | — |
| J. Stones | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| R. James | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Rice | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gordon | M | 72 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rogers | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dan Burn | D | 8 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 18 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| I. Toney | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Rashford | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Romero | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 4 | 1 | — |
| N. Molina | D | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 84 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 90 | 8.00 | — | 2 | — | 54 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 9 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. González | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of England vs Argentina?
The final score was England 1–2 Argentina.
What did the model predict before England vs Argentina?
The model assigned 44% probability to a England win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Argentina win.