A. Gordon
(ast. M. Rogers)
55'
85'
(ast. L. Messi)
E. Fernandez
90'+2
(ast. L. Messi)
L. Martinez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave England a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Argentina 27%). The final result was England 1–2 Argentina.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
5
0.53
Actual xG
1.84
3
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
1
Corners
6
14
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Anderson
37'
42'
L. Martinez
51'
C. Romero
⚽A. Gordon
· ast. M. Rogers
55'
64'
N. Gonzalez
/
L. Paredes
A. Gordon
/ E. Konsa
72'
72'
R. de Paul
/
G. Simeone
72'
G. Montiel
/
N. Molina
72'
N. Otamendi
/
L. Martinez
81'
L. Martinez
/
N. Tagliafico
R. James
/ D. Burn
82'
D. Rice
/ N. O'Reilly
82'
85'
ast. L. Messi ·
E. Fernandez⚽
90'+2
ast. L. Messi ·
L. Martinez⚽
90'+4
R. de Paul
J. Stones
/ I. Toney
90'+6
D. Spence
/ M. Rashford
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
44.4%
England
28.53%
X
27.07%
Argentina ←
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
27.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
0.53
-1.31
1.42
1.84
+0.42
Argentina dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
25
Djed Spence
89'
D
Djed Spence
89'
D
6
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
5
John Stones
89'
D
John Stones
89'
D
24
Reece James
82'
D
Reece James
82'
D
8
Elliot Anderson
M
Elliot Anderson
M
4
D. Rice
82'
M
D. Rice
82'
M
18
A. Gordon
1 ⚽
72'
M
A. Gordon
1 ⚽
72'
M
10
J. Bellingham
M
J. Bellingham
M
17
Morgan Rogers
1 👟
M
Morgan Rogers
1 👟
M
9
H. Kane
F
H. Kane
F
Bench
7
B. Saka
F
B. Saka
F
15
Dan Burn
8'
D
Dan Burn
8'
D
13
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
21
E. Eze
M
E. Eze
M
2
Ezri Konsa
18'
D
Ezri Konsa
18'
D
22
I. Toney
1'
F
I. Toney
1'
F
23
James Trafford
G
James Trafford
G
14
Jordan Henderson
M
Jordan Henderson
M
16
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
11
M. Rashford
1'
F
M. Rashford
1'
F
3
Nico O'Reilly
8'
D
Nico O'Reilly
8'
D
20
N. Madueke
F
N. Madueke
F
19
Ollie Watkins
F
Ollie Watkins
F
12
Trevoh Chalobah
D
Trevoh Chalobah
D
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
3
N. Tagliafico
81'
D
N. Tagliafico
81'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
72'
D
Lisandro Martínez
72'
D
13
C. Romero
D
C. Romero
D
26
N. Molina
72'
D
N. Molina
72'
D
5
L. Paredes
64'
M
L. Paredes
64'
M
9
J. Álvarez
M
J. Álvarez
M
20
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
24
E. Fernández
1 ⚽
M
E. Fernández
1 ⚽
M
17
G. Simeone
72'
M
G. Simeone
72'
M
10
L. Messi
2 👟
F
L. Messi
2 👟
F
Bench
14
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
25
F. Medina
D
F. Medina
D
11
G. Lo Celso
M
G. Lo Celso
M
4
Gonzalo Montiel
18'
D
Gonzalo Montiel
18'
D
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
21
J. López
F
J. López
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
22
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
9'
F
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
9'
F
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
15
N. González
26'
F
N. González
26'
F
19
Nicolás Otamendi
18'
D
Nicolás Otamendi
18'
D
18
N. Paz
F
N. Paz
F
7
R. De Paul
18'
M
R. De Paul
18'
M
16
T. Almada
M
T. Almada
M
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
8.00
2 👟
· 54 pass
E. Fernández
M · Argentina
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 84 pass
Elliot Anderson
M · England
7.30
· 53 pass
L. Paredes
M · Argentina
7.20
1 shots
· 70 pass
Lautaro Martínez
F · Argentina
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
C. Romero
D · Argentina
7.20
· 53 pass
England — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 54% | — | — | — |
| John Stones | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Reece James | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Rice | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gordon | M | 72 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dan Burn | D | 8 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 18 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| I. Toney | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Rashford | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | D | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Romero | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 4 | 1 | — |
| N. Molina | D | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 84 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 90 | 8.00 | — | 2 | — | 54 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Montiel | D | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 9 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. González | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Otamendi | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of England vs Argentina?
The final score was England 1–2 Argentina.
What did the model predict before England vs Argentina?
The model assigned 44% probability to a England win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Argentina win.