✓Model correct — prediction England
H. Kane
(ast. A. Gordon)
75'
H. Kane
(ast. A. Gordon)
86'
7'
(ast. C. Mbemba)
B. Cipenga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave England a 65% win probability (draw 24%, Congo DR 10%). The final result was England 2–1 Congo DR.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
2.04
Actual xG
0.76
1
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
3
11
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
ast. C. Mbemba ·
B. Cipenga⚽
J. Bellingham
19'
28'
N. Sadiki
M. Rashford
/ A. Gordon
61'
N. Madueke
/ B. Saka
61'
64'
M. Elia
/
N. Mbuku
D. Spence
/ E. Eze
70'
⚽H. Kane
· ast. A. Gordon
75'
76'
E. Kayembe
/
N. Mukau
76'
T. Bongonda
/
B. Cipenga
⚽H. Kane
· ast. A. Gordon
86'
89'
J. Kayembe
/
A. Masuaku
89'
F. Mayele
/
S. Moutoussamy
D. Rice
/ J. Stones
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
65.12%
England ←
24.33%
X
10.55%
Congo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (England)
65.12%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.89
2.04
+0.15
0.54
0.76
+0.22
England dominated by xG (2.04 vs 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
3
Nico O'Reilly
D
Nico O'Reilly
D
6
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
2
Ezri Konsa
D
Ezri Konsa
D
25
Djed Spence
70'
D
Djed Spence
70'
D
4
D. Rice
M
D. Rice
M
8
Elliot Anderson
M
Elliot Anderson
M
11
M. Rashford
61'
M
M. Rashford
61'
M
10
J. Bellingham
M
J. Bellingham
M
20
N. Madueke
61'
M
N. Madueke
61'
M
9
H. Kane
2 ⚽
F
H. Kane
2 ⚽
F
Bench
18
A. Gordon
2 👟
34'
F
A. Gordon
2 👟
34'
F
7
B. Saka
34'
F
B. Saka
34'
F
15
Dan Burn
D
Dan Burn
D
13
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
21
E. Eze
25'
M
E. Eze
25'
M
22
I. Toney
F
I. Toney
F
23
James Trafford
G
James Trafford
G
5
John Stones
4'
D
John Stones
4'
D
14
Jordan Henderson
M
Jordan Henderson
M
26
J. Quansah
D
J. Quansah
D
16
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
17
Morgan Rogers
M
Morgan Rogers
M
19
Ollie Watkins
F
Ollie Watkins
F
24
Reece James
D
Reece James
D
12
Trevoh Chalobah
D
Trevoh Chalobah
D
1
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G
26
A. Masuaku
89'
D
A. Masuaku
89'
D
4
A. Tuanzebe
D
A. Tuanzebe
D
22
Chancel Mbemba
1 👟
D
Chancel Mbemba
1 👟
D
2
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
D
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
D
14
N. Sadiki
M
N. Sadiki
M
8
S. Moutoussamy
89'
M
S. Moutoussamy
89'
M
6
N. Mukau
76'
M
N. Mukau
76'
M
9
B. Cipenga
1 ⚽
76'
F
B. Cipenga
1 ⚽
76'
F
20
Y. Wissa
F
Y. Wissa
F
7
N. Mbuku
64'
F
N. Mbuku
64'
F
Bench
15
Aaron Tshibola
M
Aaron Tshibola
M
17
Cédric Bakambu
F
Cédric Bakambu
F
18
C. Pickel
M
C. Pickel
M
5
Dylan Batubinsika
D
Dylan Batubinsika
D
25
E. Kayembe
19'
M
E. Kayembe
19'
M
19
Fiston Mayele
6'
F
Fiston Mayele
6'
F
11
Gaël Kakuta
M
Gaël Kakuta
M
24
Gedeon Kalulu
D
Gedeon Kalulu
D
12
J. Kayembe
6'
D
J. Kayembe
6'
D
21
Matthieu Epolo
G
Matthieu Epolo
G
13
M. Elia
31'
F
M. Elia
31'
F
23
Simon Banza
F
3
Steve Kapuadi
D
Steve Kapuadi
D
10
T. Bongonda
19'
M
T. Bongonda
19'
M
16
Timothy Fayulu
G
Timothy Fayulu
G
Best on the pitch
H. Kane
F · England
8.30
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 12 pass
N. Madueke
M · England
7.90
· 25 pass
Elliot Anderson
M · England
7.70
1 shots
· 72 pass
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
D · Congo
7.60
· 20 pass
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G · Congo
7.50
· 36 pass
M. Guéhi
D · England
7.30
· 68 pass
England — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | — | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 68% | — | — | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Rashford | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Madueke | M | 61 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 95 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 4 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Gordon | F | 34 | 7.20 | — | 2 | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| B. Saka | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| John Stones | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Congo DR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Mpasi Nzau | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Masuaku | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Chancel Mbemba | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Cipenga | F | 76 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| N. Mbuku | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kayembe | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Fiston Mayele | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kayembe | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Elia | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Bongonda | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of England vs Congo DR?
The final score was England 2–1 Congo DR.
What did the model predict before England vs Congo DR?
The model assigned 65% probability to a England win, 24% to a draw, and 10% to an Congo DR win.