Skip to main content
← World Cup
World Cup · Round of 32 July 01, 2026 18:00 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
England
#1 · 3 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Congo DR
#3 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction England
H. Kane (ast. A. Gordon) 75'
H. Kane (ast. A. Gordon) 86'
7' (ast. C. Mbemba) B. Cipenga
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave England a 65% win probability (draw 24%, Congo DR 10%). The final result was England 2–1 Congo DR.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
2.04
Actual xG
0.76
1
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
3
11
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
ast. C. Mbemba · B. Cipenga⚽
J. Bellingham
19'
28'
N. Sadiki
↕ M. Rashford / A. Gordon
61'
↕ N. Madueke / B. Saka
61'
64'
M. Elia / N. Mbuku ↕
↕ D. Spence / E. Eze
70'
⚽H. Kane · ast. A. Gordon
75'
76'
E. Kayembe / N. Mukau ↕
76'
T. Bongonda / B. Cipenga ↕
⚽H. Kane · ast. A. Gordon
86'
89'
J. Kayembe / A. Masuaku ↕
89'
F. Mayele / S. Moutoussamy ↕
↕ D. Rice / J. Stones
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
65.12%
England ←
24.33%
X
10.55%
Congo
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (England) 65.12% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
England
1.89
2.04
+0.15
Congo
0.54
0.76
+0.22
England dominated by xG (2.04 vs 0.76). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
England England 4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford J. Pickford G 6.20
3 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly D 5.90
6 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi D 7.30
2 E. Konsa E. Konsa D 6.90
25 Djed Spence Djed Spence 70' D 6.70
4 D. Rice D. Rice M 7.20
8 E. Anderson E. Anderson M 7.70
11 M. Rashford M. Rashford 61' M 6.90
10 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham M 7.00
20 N. Madueke N. Madueke 61' M 7.90
9 H. Kane H. Kane 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
18 A. Gordon A. Gordon 2 👟 34' F 7.20
7 B. Saka B. Saka 34' F 6.90
15 Dan Burn Dan Burn D
13 D. Henderson D. Henderson G
21 E. Eze E. Eze 25' M 6.60
22 I. Toney I. Toney F
14 J. Henderson J. Henderson M
5 John Stones John Stones 4' D
26 J. Quansah J. Quansah D
23 J. Trafford J. Trafford G
16 K. Mainoo K. Mainoo M
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers M
19 O. Watkins O. Watkins F
24 R. James R. James D
12 T. Chalobah T. Chalobah D
Congo DR Congo DR 4-3-3
1 L. Mpasi L. Mpasi G 7.50
26 A. Masuaku A. Masuaku 89' D 6.20
4 A. Tuanzebe A. Tuanzebe D 6.70
22 C. Mbemba C. Mbemba 1 👟 D 7.20
2 A. Wan-Bissaka A. Wan-Bissaka D 7.60
14 N. Sadiki N. Sadiki M 6.20
8 S. Moutoussamy S. Moutoussamy 89' M 7.00
6 N. Mukau N. Mukau 76' M 6.30
9 B. Cipenga B. Cipenga 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.00
20 Y. Wissa Y. Wissa F 6.30
7 N. Mbuku N. Mbuku 64' F 6.90
Bench
15 A. Tshibola A. Tshibola M
17 C. Bakambu C. Bakambu F
18 C. Pickel C. Pickel M
5 D. Batubinsika D. Batubinsika D
25 E. Kayembe E. Kayembe 19' M 6.30
19 F. Mayele F. Mayele 6' F
11 Gaël Kakuta Gaël Kakuta M
24 G. Kalulu G. Kalulu D
12 J. Kayembe J. Kayembe 6' D
13 M. Elia M. Elia 31' F 6.30
21 M. Epolo M. Epolo G
23 S. Banza S. Banza F
3 S. Kapuadi S. Kapuadi D
10 T. Bongonda T. Bongonda 19' M 6.60
16 Timothy Fayulu Timothy Fayulu G
Best on the pitch
H. Kane
H. Kane
F · England
8.30
2 ⚽
4 shots · 12 pass
N. Madueke
N. Madueke
M · England
7.90
· 25 pass
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
M · England
7.70
1 shots · 72 pass
A. Wan-Bissaka
A. Wan-Bissaka
D · Congo
7.60
· 20 pass
L. Mpasi
L. Mpasi
G · Congo
7.50
· 36 pass
M. Guéhi
M. Guéhi
D · England
7.30
· 68 pass
England England — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pickford G 95 6.20 — — — 25 19% — — —
N. O'Reilly D 95 5.90 — — 1 46 42% — — —
M. Guéhi D 95 7.30 — — — 68 68% — — —
E. Konsa D 95 6.90 — — — 72 70% — — —
Djed Spence D 70 6.70 — — — 40 31% 4 — —
D. Rice M 91 7.20 — — — 54 52% — — —
E. Anderson M 95 7.70 — — 1 72 61% 2 — —
M. Rashford M 61 6.90 — — 3 27 27% 1 — —
J. Bellingham M 95 7.00 — — 3 39 33% — 1 —
N. Madueke M 61 7.90 — — — 25 24% 2 — —
H. Kane F 95 8.30 2 — 4 12 9% — — —
A. Gordon F 34 7.20 — 2 1 20 18% — — —
B. Saka F 34 6.90 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
E. Eze M 25 6.60 — — — 5 5% — — —
John Stones D 4 — — — — — — — — —
Congo DR Congo DR — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Mpasi G 95 7.50 — — — 36 27% — — —
A. Masuaku D 89 6.20 — — — 32 26% 4 — —
A. Tuanzebe D 95 6.70 — — — 59 54% 2 — —
C. Mbemba D 95 7.20 — 1 — 44 34% — — —
A. Wan-Bissaka D 95 7.60 — — — 20 15% 3 — —
N. Sadiki M 95 6.20 — — — 35 31% 1 1 —
S. Moutoussamy M 89 7.00 — — — 38 34% 5 — —
N. Mukau M 76 6.30 — — — 19 19% 1 — —
B. Cipenga F 76 7.00 1 — 2 24 13% 2 — —
Y. Wissa F 95 6.30 — — 1 20 14% — — —
N. Mbuku F 64 6.90 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
E. Kayembe M 19 6.30 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
F. Mayele F 6 — — — — — — — — —
J. Kayembe D 6 — — — — 4 3% — — —
M. Elia F 31 6.30 — — 1 4 3% — — —
T. Bongonda M 19 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of England vs Congo DR?
The final score was England 2–1 Congo DR.
What did the model predict before England vs Congo DR?
The model assigned 65% probability to a England win, 24% to a draw, and 10% to an Congo DR win.