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England - Congo DR

World Cup July 01, 2026 18:00 Sabah Al Salem Stadium, Kuwait
England
#1 · 7 pts
vs
Congo DR
#3 · 4 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 32.8°C 💨 23 km/h 🌧️ 27% · Kuwait
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.21%
Win
England
24.93%
Draw
10.86%
Win
Congo DR
1.98
Expected xG
0.55
Most likely result 1–0 (15.8%)
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
Model prediction
England
64.21%
Probability
82.6%
1X2 accuracy · 23 predictions (3 months)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives England a 64% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 10% for Congo DR. Expected goals are 2.0 for England and 0.6 for Congo DR (total 2.5), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.8% probability.

Season Stats

England
2W 1D 0L
Congo DR
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.3
0.7
Conceded
1.0
7.0
Shots OT
2.3
7.7
Corners
3.3
66%
Poss.
40%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
33%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in World Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 1.5
25%
O 2.5
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
England
1W 1D 0L · at home
Congo DR
0W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ England Congo DR →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% — —
1 15.8% 8.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 15.6% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 10.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% — —
4 5.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% — —
5 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

England England
W Panama 0–2
D Ghana 0–0
W Croatia 4–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Congo DR Congo DR
W Uzbekistan 3–1
L Colombia 1–0
D Portugal 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

England England
Attack
49
Defence
86
Form
66
Congo DR Congo DR
Attack
28
Defence
80
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Unavailable

England
R. James
R. James
Injured

Group L

# Team G Pts
1 England England 3 7
2 Croatia Croatia 3 6
3 Ghana Ghana 3 4
4 Panama Panama 3 0

What's at stake · Group L

Top 2 advance to the next round

England Congo DR
Current #1 #1
→ England #1 #1
→ Draw #1 #1
→ Congo DR #1 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win England vs Congo DR?
The model gives England a 64% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 10% for an Congo DR win.
How many goals are expected in England vs Congo DR?
Expected goals: England 2.0, Congo DR 0.6 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in England vs Congo DR?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.8%.