England - Czechia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
79.29%
Win
England
10.39%
Draw
10.32%
Win
Czechia
4.31
1.69
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
England
79.29%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
4–1
(6.51%)
1X2 Result
1
79%
X
10%
2
10%
Double Chance
1X
90%
X2
21%
12
90%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
85%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives England a 79% win probability, against 10% for a draw and 10% for Czechia. Expected goals are 4.3 for England and 1.7 for Czechia (total 6.0), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 6.51% probability.
Season Stats
5W
0D
1L
3W
2D
1L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
1.5
0.5
Conceded
1.3
6.2
Shots OT
5.0
6.8
Corners
4.8
70%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
83%
67%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
0D
1L
· at home
0W
2D
1L
· away
2.7
gls/g
0.7
0.7
Conceded
1.7
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
33%
33%
O 3.5
33%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ England
Czechia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 5 | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Recent form
Playing profile
England
Attack
55
Defence
62
Form
46
Czechia
Attack
39
Defence
60
Form
17
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
England
Injured
Injured
Injured
Injured
Czechia
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 3
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 3
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #4 |
| → England | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Czechia | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win England vs Czechia?
The model gives England a 79% win probability, 10% for a draw, and 10% for an Czechia win.
How many goals are expected in England vs Czechia?
Expected goals: England 4.3, Czechia 1.7 (total 6.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in England vs Czechia?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.51%.