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H. Kane (ast. D. Spence) 45'+2
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave England a 41% win probability (draw 29%, New Zealand 29%). The final result was England 1–0 New Zealand.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
3
72%
Possession
28%
8
Corners
1
16
Tackles
13
Match Events
⚽H. Kane · ast. D. Spence
45'+2
↕ J. Pickford / J. Trafford
46'
↕ J. Henderson / J. Bellingham
46'
↕ J. Stones / D. Burn
46'
↕ H. Kane / I. Toney
46'
↕ M. Rashford / A. Gordon
46'
↕ O. Watkins / R. Ngumoha
46'
↕ M. Guehi / E. Konsa
46'
↕ K. Mainoo / N. O'Reilly
46'
↕ M. Rogers / E. Anderson
46'
↕ D. Spence / V. Livramento
46'
↕ J. Quansah / R. James
46'
46'
A. Rufer / J. Bell ↕
62'
T. Bindon / T. Payne ↕
62'
J. Randall / M. Garbett ↕
62'
B. Old / L. Cacace ↕
78'
F. De Vries / E. Just ↕
78'
K. Barbarouses / C. Wood ↕
85'
C. McCowatt / S. Singh ↕
85'
L. Bayliss / M. Stamenic ↕
85'
A. Paulsen / M. Crocombe ↕
Pre-match prediction
41.34%
England ←
29.56%
X
29.1%
New
we assigned to the actual result (England) 41.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
England
3.87
—
—
New
0.34
—
—
Lineups
England England 4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford J. Pickford 45' G 6.70
25 D. Spence D. Spence 1 👟 45' D 7.30
6 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi 45' D 6.90
5 John Stones John Stones 45' D 6.90
26 J. Quansah J. Quansah 45' D 6.70
16 K. Mainoo K. Mainoo 45' M 6.90
14 J. Henderson J. Henderson 45' M 7.00
11 M. Rashford M. Rashford 45' M 7.30
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers 45' M 6.70
19 O. Watkins O. Watkins 45' M 6.90
9 H. Kane H. Kane 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
Bench
18 A. Gordon A. Gordon 48' F 7.00
28 A. Scott A. Scott M
15 D. Burn D. Burn 48' D 6.90
13 D. Henderson D. Henderson G
8 E. Anderson E. Anderson 48' M 7.30
2 E. Konsa E. Konsa 48' D 6.70
30 E. Nwaneri E. Nwaneri M
22 I. Toney I. Toney 48' F 6.50
10 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham 48' M 7.50
29 Joshua King Joshua King M
23 J. Trafford J. Trafford 48' G 6.60
3 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly 48' D 6.50
24 R. James R. James 48' D 6.30
31 R. Ngumoha R. Ngumoha 48' F 6.90
12 T. Livramento T. Livramento 48' D 6.90
New Zealand New Zealand 4-2-3-1
1 M. Crocombe M. Crocombe 84' G 6.30
13 Liberato Cacace Liberato Cacace 61' D 6.70
5 M. Boxall M. Boxall 85' D 6.70
16 F. Surman F. Surman 85' D 7.30
2 T. Payne T. Payne 62' D 6.50
8 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić 84' M 6.60
6 J. Bell J. Bell 45' M 6.30
11 E. Just E. Just 78' M 6.20
10 S. Singh S. Singh 84' M 6.00
7 M. Garbett M. Garbett 61' M 6.60
9 C. Wood C. Wood 78' F 6.90
Bench
14 Alex Rufer Alex Rufer 48' M 6.30
12 A. Paulsen A. Paulsen 9' G 6.30
19 B. Old B. Old 32' F 6.90
18 B. Waine B. Waine F
24 Callan Elliot Callan Elliot 8' D 6.60
20 C. McCowatt C. McCowatt 9' M 6.30
3 F. de Vries F. de Vries 15' D 6.70
21 J. Randall J. Randall 32' F 6.90
17 K. Barbarouses K. Barbarouses 15' F 6.50
25 Lachlan Bayliss Lachlan Bayliss 9' M 6.70
22 Michael Woud Michael Woud G
15 Nando Pijnaker Nando Pijnaker 8' D 6.50
26 Tommy Smith Tommy Smith D
4 Tyler Bindon Tyler Bindon 31' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
J. Bellingham
J. Bellingham
M · England
7.50
1 shots · 32 pass
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
M · England
7.30
· 51 pass
D. Spence
D. Spence
D · England
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 31 pass
F. Surman
F. Surman
D · New
7.30
· 21 pass
M. Rashford
M. Rashford
M · England
7.30
1 shots · 22 pass
H. Kane
H. Kane
F · England
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 17 pass
England England — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pickford G 45 6.70 — — — 14 10% — — —
D. Spence D 45 7.30 — 1 1 31 27% 1 — —
M. Guéhi D 45 6.90 — — — 37 35% — — —
John Stones D 45 6.90 — — 1 40 39% — — —
J. Quansah D 45 6.70 — — — 36 31% 2 — —
K. Mainoo M 45 6.90 — — 1 37 33% 2 — —
J. Henderson M 45 7.00 — — — 49 48% — — —
M. Rashford M 45 7.30 — — 1 22 18% — — —
M. Rogers M 45 6.70 — — 1 22 18% 1 — —
O. Watkins M 45 6.90 — — 1 21 20% 1 — —
H. Kane F 45 7.30 1 — 3 17 15% — — —
A. Gordon F 48 7.00 — — 1 22 21% 1 — —
D. Burn D 48 6.90 — — 1 39 39% — — —
E. Anderson M 48 7.30 — — — 51 48% 1 — —
E. Konsa D 48 6.70 — — — 41 39% — — —
I. Toney F 48 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
J. Bellingham M 48 7.50 — — 1 32 32% 2 — —
J. Trafford G 48 6.60 — — — 15 15% — — —
N. O'Reilly D 48 6.50 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
R. James D 48 6.30 — — — 33 29% 1 — —
R. Ngumoha F 48 6.90 — — — 23 21% 2 — —
T. Livramento D 48 6.90 — — — 33 32% 1 — —
New Zealand New Zealand — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crocombe G 84 6.30 — — — 29 11% — — —
Liberato Cacace D 61 6.70 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
M. Boxall D 85 6.70 — — — 34 32% — — —
F. Surman D 85 7.30 — — — 21 20% — — —
T. Payne D 62 6.50 — — — 12 9% — — —
M. Stamenić M 84 6.60 — — — 31 25% — — —
J. Bell M 45 6.30 — — — 21 20% — — —
E. Just M 78 6.20 — — — 14 11% — — —
S. Singh M 84 6.00 — — 1 12 11% — — —
M. Garbett M 61 6.60 — — 1 7 4% 3 — —
C. Wood F 78 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
Alex Rufer M 48 6.30 — — — 12 10% 2 — —
A. Paulsen G 9 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
B. Old F 32 6.90 — — — 8 8% 2 — —
Callan Elliot D 8 6.60 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
C. McCowatt M 9 6.30 — — — — — — — —
F. de Vries D 15 6.70 — — — 1 — 1 — —
J. Randall F 32 6.90 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
K. Barbarouses F 15 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Lachlan Bayliss M 9 6.70 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Nando Pijnaker D 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Tyler Bindon D 31 6.70 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of England vs New Zealand?
The final score was England 1–0 New Zealand.
What did the model predict before England vs New Zealand?
The model assigned 41% probability to a England win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an New Zealand win.