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Enugu Rangers - Nasarawa United

NPFL September 13, 2026 17:00
#13 · 1 pts
vs
#10 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.27%
Win
Enugu Rangers
32.47%
Draw
32.26%
Win
Nasarawa United
1.92
Expected xG
0.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.6%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (16 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Enugu Rangers a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Nasarawa United. Expected goals are 1.9 for Enugu Rangers and 0.8 for Nasarawa United (total 2.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.6% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Enugu Rangers have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nasarawa United.

Season Stats

Enugu Rangers
8W 6D 1L
Nasarawa United
6W 0D 9L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.0
0.5
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
47%
33%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
27%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Enugu Rangers
8W 2D 0L · at home
Nasarawa United
1W 1D 8L · away
2.1
gls/g
0.7
0.6
Conceded
1.8
80%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
20%
90%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Enugu Rangers Nasarawa United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.2% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
3 7.5% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

D Katsina United 1–1
W Ikorodu City 1–2
W Bendel Insurance 2–1
W Bayelsa United 0–2
W Enyimba 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
W Bendel Insurance 1–0
L Barau FC 3–1
L Barau FC 3–0
W Plateau United 1–0
L Shooting Stars 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers
Attack
17
Defence
47
Form
32
Nasarawa United Nasarawa United
Attack
19
Defence
43
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Enugu Rangers
0
Draw
1
Nasarawa United
1 Mar 2026 NPFL 2–0
12 Oct 2025 NPFL 1–2

League Table

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United?
The model gives Enugu Rangers a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Nasarawa United win.
How many goals are expected in Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United?
Expected goals: Enugu Rangers 1.9, Nasarawa United 0.8 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.6%.