Enugu Rangers - Nasarawa United
NPFL
September 13, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.27%
Win
Enugu Rangers
32.47%
Draw
32.26%
Win
Nasarawa United
1.92
0.84
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.6%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (16 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Enugu Rangers a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Nasarawa United. Expected goals are 1.9 for Enugu Rangers and 0.8 for Nasarawa United (total 2.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.6% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Enugu Rangers have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nasarawa United.
Season Stats
8W
6D
1L
6W
0D
9L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.0
0.5
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
47%
33%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
27%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
8W
2D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
8L
· away
2.1
gls/g
0.7
0.6
Conceded
1.8
80%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
20%
90%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Enugu Rangers
Nasarawa United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 12.2% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Enugu Rangers
Attack
17
Defence
47
Form
32
Nasarawa United
Attack
19
Defence
43
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Doma United
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Barau FC
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Kano Pillars
|
2 | 4 |
| 4 |
Ranchers Bees
|
2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Ikorodu City
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Rivers United
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Shooting Stars
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Niger Tornadoes
|
2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Bendel Insurance
|
2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Nasarawa United
|
2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Plateau United
|
2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Kun Khalifat FC
|
2 | 2 |
| 13 |
Enugu Rangers
|
1 | 1 |
| 14 |
Katsina United
|
1 | 1 |
| 15 |
Kwara United
|
2 | 1 |
| 16 |
Abia Warriors
|
2 | 1 |
| 17 |
Enyimba
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Warri Wolves
|
1 | 0 |
| 19 |
Inter Lagos
|
2 | 0 |
| 20 |
Sporting Lagos
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United?
The model gives Enugu Rangers a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Nasarawa United win.
How many goals are expected in Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United?
Expected goals: Enugu Rangers 1.9, Nasarawa United 0.8 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.6%.