Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
September 28, 2026 18:00
Lorenzo Zúñiga Owono
1'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sierra Leone a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Equatorial Guinea 33%). The final result was Equatorial Guinea 1–0 Sierra Leone.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
0
0
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
3
16
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Lorenzo Zúñiga Owono
1'
27'
Saidu Bah Kamara
61'
Josh Koroma
/
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara
Santiago Eneme
/ Cristian Makate
62'
Dorian Hanza
/ Salomon Obama
62'
Charles Ondo
/ Prince Ngaah
71'
Lorenzo Zúñiga Owono
74'
74'
Sullay Kaikai
/
Alie Conteh
75'
D. Kanu
/
Tyrese Fornah
82'
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
/
Alpha Turay
Lorenzo Zúñiga Owono
/ Enrique Lotar
85'
Jannick Buyla
/ Gael Joel Akogo
86'
Pre-match prediction
33.08%
Equatorial ←
31.84%
X
35.08%
Sierra
we assigned to the actual result (Equatorial Guinea)
33.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
1.51
—
—
Lineups
1
Jesús Owono
G
Jesús Owono
G
12
Charles Ondo
71'
D
Charles Ondo
71'
D
16
Saúl Coco
D
Saúl Coco
D
21
Esteban Obiang
D
Esteban Obiang
D
24
Rony Mbomio
D
Rony Mbomio
D
20
Santiago Eneme
62'
M
Santiago Eneme
62'
M
22
Pablo Ganet
M
Pablo Ganet
M
14
Álex Balboa
M
Álex Balboa
M
8
M
9
Dorian Hanza
62'
F
Dorian Hanza
62'
F
10
Loren Zúñiga
1 ⚽
85'
F
Loren Zúñiga
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
18
Cristian Makate Bokoya
28'
F
Cristian Makate Bokoya
28'
F
17
Enrique Lotar
5'
F
Enrique Lotar
5'
F
5
Gael Akogo Esono
4'
M
Gael Akogo Esono
4'
M
6
Junior Bita
M
Junior Bita
M
23
Manuel Sapunga
G
Manuel Sapunga
G
11
Salomón
28'
F
Salomón
28'
F
1
M. Jalloh
G
M. Jalloh
G
18
D
21
Abdulay Bah
D
Abdulay Bah
D
5
Alpha Turay
82'
D
Alpha Turay
82'
D
2
O. Kakay
D
O. Kakay
D
14
T. Fornah
75'
M
T. Fornah
75'
M
22
M
7
I. Kanu
M
I. Kanu
M
8
Alhassan Koroma
M
Alhassan Koroma
M
17
M. Kamara
61'
M
M. Kamara
61'
M
15
Alie Conteh
74'
F
Alie Conteh
74'
F
Bench
3
A. Abdulai
M
A. Abdulai
M
19
A. Bangura
D
A. Bangura
D
9
D. Kanu
15'
F
D. Kanu
15'
F
13
G. Abdul
D
G. Abdul
D
23
Ibrahim Sesay
G
Ibrahim Sesay
G
11
J. Koroma
29'
F
J. Koroma
29'
F
4
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
8'
D
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
8'
D
16
Raees Bangura-Williams
M
Raees Bangura-Williams
M
10
S. Kaikai
16'
F
S. Kaikai
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Rony Mbomio
D · Equatorial
7.43
· 17 pass
Saúl Coco
D · Equatorial
7.39
· 32 pass
Loren Zúñiga
F · Equatorial
7.23
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 15 pass
Cristian Makate Bokoya
F · Equatorial
7.10
· 8 pass
T. Fornah
M · Sierra
7.03
· 52 pass
Esteban Obiang
D · Equatorial
7.01
· 28 pass
Equatorial Guinea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Owono | G | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Charles Ondo | D | 71 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Saúl Coco | D | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Esteban Obiang | D | 90 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Rony Mbomio | D | 90 | 7.43 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 62 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Pablo Ganet | M | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Álex Balboa | M | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| Dorian Hanza | F | 62 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Loren Zúñiga | F | 85 | 7.23 | 1 | — | 4 | 15 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Makate Bokoya | F | 28 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Enrique Lotar | F | 5 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Gael Akogo Esono | M | 4 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Salomón | F | 28 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Sierra Leone — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jalloh | G | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| Abdulay Bah | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Alpha Turay | D | 82 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 58% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Kakay | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Fornah | M | 75 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| I. Kanu | M | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Alhassan Koroma | M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kamara | M | 61 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Alie Conteh | F | 74 | 6.05 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Kanu | F | 15 | 6.65 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Koroma | F | 29 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael-John Kamson-Kamara | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Kaikai | F | 16 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?
The final score was Equatorial Guinea 1–0 Sierra Leone.
What did the model predict before Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Equatorial Guinea win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Sierra Leone win.