Equatorial Guinea - Zimbabwe
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 11, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
20.01%
Win
Equatorial Guinea
41.14%
Draw
38.85%
Win
Zimbabwe
0.42
0.73
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(31.19%)
1X2 Result
1
20%
X
41%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
80%
12
59%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zimbabwe a 38% win probability, against 41% for a draw and 20% for Equatorial Guinea. Expected goals are 0.4 for Equatorial Guinea and 0.7 for Zimbabwe (total 1.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 31.19% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
2.0
Shots OT
5.0
2.5
Corners
5.0
41%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Equatorial Guinea
Zimbabwe →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31.7% | 23.2% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Equatorial Guinea
Attack
16
Defence
74
Form
24
Zimbabwe
Attack
40
Defence
68
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group E
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Congo DR
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Zimbabwe
|
2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Equatorial Guinea
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Sierra Leone
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group E
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #2 |
| → Equatorial Guinea | #2 | #3 |
| → Draw | #3 | #2 |
| → Zimbabwe | #3 | #2 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
The model gives Equatorial Guinea a 20% win probability, 41% for a draw, and 38% for an Zimbabwe win.
How many goals are expected in Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
Expected goals: Equatorial Guinea 0.4, Zimbabwe 0.7 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 31.19%.