Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
September 30, 2026 18:00
19'
(ast. Oswin Appollis)
Relebohile Mofokeng
45'+1
(ast. Samukele Kabini)
Relebohile Mofokeng
52'
Sphephelo Sithole
63'
(ast. Oswin Appollis)
Iqraam Rayners
90'+4
(ast. Oswin Appollis)
Luther Singh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave South Africa a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Eritrea 35%). The final result was Eritrea 0–5 South Africa.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
21
4
Shots on target
9
0
Saves
4
36%
Possession
64%
6
Corners
8
8
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
B. Poggenpoel
/
Bathusi Aubaas
19'
ast. Oswin Appollis ·
Relebohile Mofokeng⚽
33'
Olwethu Makhanya
45'+1
ast. Samukele Kabini ·
Relebohile Mofokeng⚽
N. Embaye
/ Esrom Yohannes
45'+2
52'
Sphephelo Sithole⚽
Filimon Gerezgiher
/ Yonatan Sebhatu
58'
Jonas Idris Ibrahim
/ Maill Lundgren
58'
63'
ast. Oswin Appollis ·
Iqraam Rayners⚽
74'
Cassius Mailula
/
Iqraam Rayners
74'
Lebone Seema
/
Olwethu Makhanya
74'
Luther Singh
/
Thapelo Maseko
Ablelom Teklezgi
/ Yonael Yonas
76'
Nahom Girmai
/ Awed Issac Abeselom
77'
79'
Themba Zwane
/
Sphephelo Sithole
90'+4
ast. Oswin Appollis ·
Luther Singh⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.12%
Eritrea
26.68%
X
38.2%
South ←
we assigned to the actual result (South Africa)
38.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
—
—
1.11
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
D
14
Namrud Embaye
44'
D
Namrud Embaye
44'
D
5
D
33
D
16
Hennos Asmelash
D
Hennos Asmelash
D
20
N. Girmai Netabay
77'
M
N. Girmai Netabay
77'
M
9
T. Tekie
M
T. Tekie
M
8
M
7
F. Gerezgiher
58'
M
F. Gerezgiher
58'
M
10
A. Sulieman
F
A. Sulieman
F
Bench
26
A. Alemseged
F
A. Alemseged
F
23
I. Lundgren
32'
F
I. Lundgren
32'
F
29
N. Gebrezgi
F
N. Gebrezgi
F
31
Y. Sebhatu
32'
D
Y. Sebhatu
32'
D
1
Ronwen Williams
G
Ronwen Williams
G
18
S. Kabini
1 👟
D
S. Kabini
1 👟
D
24
O. Makhanya
74'
D
O. Makhanya
74'
D
21
I. Okon
D
I. Okon
D
25
K. Sebelebele
D
K. Sebelebele
D
30
B. Aubaas
12'
M
B. Aubaas
12'
M
13
S. Sithole
1 ⚽
79'
M
S. Sithole
1 ⚽
79'
M
7
O. Appollis
3 👟
M
O. Appollis
3 👟
M
10
R. Mofokeng
2 ⚽
M
R. Mofokeng
2 ⚽
M
12
T. Maseko
74'
M
T. Maseko
74'
M
15
I. Rayners
1 ⚽
74'
F
I. Rayners
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
20
Brooklyn Poggenpoel
78'
M
Brooklyn Poggenpoel
78'
M
27
C. Mailula
16'
F
C. Mailula
16'
F
14
Fawaaz Basadien
D
Fawaaz Basadien
D
3
Khulumani Ndamane
D
Khulumani Ndamane
D
5
L. Seema
16'
D
L. Seema
16'
D
17
L. Singh
1 ⚽
16'
F
22
Ricardo Goss
G
Ricardo Goss
G
16
Sipho Chaine
G
Sipho Chaine
G
28
Thapelo Morena
D
Thapelo Morena
D
2
Tholo Thabang Matuludi
D
Tholo Thabang Matuludi
D
11
T. Zwane
11'
M
T. Zwane
11'
M
9
Y. Mbuthuma
F
Y. Mbuthuma
F
Best on the pitch
R. Mofokeng
M · South
9.82
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 64 pass
O. Appollis
M · South
9.30
3 👟
2 shots
· 38 pass
I. Rayners
F · South
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 13 pass
S. Sithole
M · South
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 79 pass
L. Singh
F · South
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Ronwen Williams
G · South
7.50
· 42 pass
Eritrea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| Namrud Embaye | D | 44 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| Hennos Asmelash | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Girmai Netabay | M | 77 | 5.20 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Tekie | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| F. Gerezgiher | M | 58 | 5.81 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sulieman | F | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Lundgren | F | 32 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Sebhatu | D | 32 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
South Africa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronwen Williams | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Kabini | D | 90 | 7.04 | — | 1 | 0 | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Makhanya | D | 74 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 60% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Okon | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 3 | 80 | 77% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Sebelebele | D | 90 | 7.26 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Aubaas | M | 12 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Sithole | M | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 79 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Appollis | M | 90 | 9.30 | — | 3 | 2 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Mofokeng | M | 90 | 9.82 | 2 | — | 6 | 64 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Maseko | M | 74 | 6.91 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Rayners | F | 74 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Brooklyn Poggenpoel | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 85 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mailula | F | 16 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Seema | D | 16 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Singh | F | 16 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Zwane | M | 11 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Eritrea vs South Africa?
The final score was Eritrea 0–5 South Africa.
What did the model predict before Eritrea vs South Africa?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Eritrea win, 26% to a draw, and 38% to an South Africa win.