The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Erzgebirge Aue a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Luckenwalde 21%). The final result was Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Luckenwalde.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
49.09%
Erzgebirge ←
29.11%
X
21.8%
Luckenwalde
we assigned to the actual result (Erzgebirge Aue)
49.09%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
—
—
0.30
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Luckenwalde?
The final score was Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Luckenwalde.
What did the model predict before Erzgebirge Aue vs Luckenwalde?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Erzgebirge Aue win, 29% to a draw, and 21% to an Luckenwalde win.