Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 6
September 20, 2026 16:00
M. Cardoso
45'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Erzurumspor FK a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Samsunspor 32%). The final result was Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Samsunspor.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
0.77
Actual xG
0.40
2
Saves
1
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
5
13
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Cardoso
18'
E. Owusu
33'
⚽M. Cardoso
45'
46'
T. Coulibaly
/
S. Jarju
M. Rodriguez
/ S. Akgun
57'
64'
S. Onur
65'
A. Sekongo
/
E. Watt
E. Tozlu
/ G. Kerk
66'
M. Cardoso
/ I. Diabate
66'
B. Baiye
77'
79'
Y. Kayan
/
S. Onur
O. Ovacikli
/ F. Ebosele
81'
86'
E. Kilinc
Pre-match prediction
36.42%
Erzurumspor ←
31.04%
X
32.54%
Samsunspor
we assigned to the actual result (Erzurumspor FK)
36.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.77
-0.48
1.04
0.40
-0.64
Erzurumspor FK dominated by xG (0.77 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ertuğrul Taşkıran
89'
G
Ertuğrul Taşkıran
89'
G
15
Guram Giorbelidze
89'
D
Guram Giorbelidze
89'
D
18
Nihad Mujakić
89'
D
Nihad Mujakić
89'
D
22
Mustafa Yumlu
89'
D
Mustafa Yumlu
89'
D
4
Amar Gerxhaliu
89'
D
Amar Gerxhaliu
89'
D
53
Orhan Ovacıklı
82'
D
Orhan Ovacıklı
82'
D
20
Miguel Cardoso
1 ⚽
66'
M
Miguel Cardoso
1 ⚽
66'
M
6
Brandon Baiye
89'
M
Brandon Baiye
89'
M
42
Elisha Owusu
89'
M
Elisha Owusu
89'
M
65
Martín Rodríguez
57'
M
Martín Rodríguez
57'
M
10
Eren Tozlu
66'
F
Eren Tozlu
66'
F
Bench
23
Cengizhan Bayrak
D
Cengizhan Bayrak
D
2
Festy Ebosele
7'
D
Festy Ebosele
7'
D
9
Gyrano Kerk
23'
F
Gyrano Kerk
23'
F
19
Ibrahim Diabaté
23'
F
Ibrahim Diabaté
23'
F
77
Lawrence Agyekum
M
Lawrence Agyekum
M
31
Matija Orbanić
G
Matija Orbanić
G
99
Mustafa Fettahoglu
F
Mustafa Fettahoglu
F
90
Nariman Akhundzade
F
Nariman Akhundzade
F
8
Sefa Akgün
32'
M
Sefa Akgün
32'
M
3
Yakup Kırtay
D
Yakup Kırtay
D
1
Okan Kocuk
89'
G
Okan Kocuk
89'
G
17
Logi Tomasson
89'
D
Logi Tomasson
89'
D
34
Gabriele Guarino
89'
D
Gabriele Guarino
89'
D
16
S. Eraković
89'
D
S. Eraković
89'
D
2
Josafat Mendes
89'
D
Josafat Mendes
89'
D
4
Elliot Watt
65'
M
Elliot Watt
65'
M
5
Celil Yüksel
89'
M
Celil Yüksel
89'
M
11
Emre Kılınç
89'
M
Emre Kılınç
89'
M
8
Samed Onur
79'
M
Samed Onur
79'
M
30
Saikuba Jarju
45'
M
Saikuba Jarju
45'
M
18
Mohamed Bayo
89'
F
Mohamed Bayo
89'
F
Bench
42
Antoine Sekongo
24'
M
Antoine Sekongo
24'
M
25
Bilal Bayazit
G
Bilal Bayazit
G
13
Efe Yiğit Üstün
G
Efe Yiğit Üstün
G
23
Enes Albak
D
Enes Albak
D
29
Haluk Mustafa Tan
D
Haluk Mustafa Tan
D
3
Igor Drapiński
D
Igor Drapiński
D
10
Tanguy Coulibaly
44'
F
Tanguy Coulibaly
44'
F
20
Yalçın Kayan
10'
M
Yalçın Kayan
10'
M
22
Yunus Emre Çift
D
Yunus Emre Çift
D
Best on the pitch
Miguel Cardoso
M · Erzurumspor
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Amar Gerxhaliu
D · Erzurumspor
7.30
· 50 pass
Yalçın Kayan
M · Samsunspor
7.20
· 9 pass
Orhan Ovacıklı
D · Erzurumspor
7.20
· 36 pass
Celil Yüksel
M · Samsunspor
6.90
2 shots
· 51 pass
S. Eraković
D · Samsunspor
6.90
· 74 pass
Erzurumspor FK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ertuğrul Taşkıran | G | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Guram Giorbelidze | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Nihad Mujakić | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Mustafa Yumlu | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Amar Gerxhaliu | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Orhan Ovacıklı | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cardoso | M | 66 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Brandon Baiye | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Martín Rodríguez | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Eren Tozlu | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Festy Ebosele | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Gyrano Kerk | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sefa Akgün | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Samsunspor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okan Kocuk | G | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Logi Tomasson | D | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Guarino | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Eraković | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Josafat Mendes | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Celil Yüksel | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Emre Kılınç | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Samed Onur | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Saikuba Jarju | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Bayo | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Antoine Sekongo | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | F | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Yalçın Kayan | M | 10 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?
The final score was Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Samsunspor.
What did the model predict before Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Erzurumspor FK win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Samsunspor win.