89'
(ast. Julián Álvarez)
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Espanyol 28%). The final result was Espanyol 0–1 Atletico Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Espanyol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
19
2
Shots on target
6
0.61
Actual xG
1.41
5
Saves
2
29%
Possession
71%
4
Corners
12
11
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
22'
Morten Hjulmand
43'
Lee Kang-In
45'
Julián Álvarez
/
Ademola Lookman
45'
Alejandro Grimaldo
/
Daniel Martinez Moreno
55'
Marcos Llorente
/
Pablo Barrios Rivas
62'
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
/
Lee Kang-In
Vanja Drkusic
/ Unai Núñez
64'
66'
Cristian Romero
67'
Rodrigo Mendoza
/
Cristian Romero
68'
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
Eduardo Expósito Jaén
/ Álex Calatrava Torrado
73'
Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
/ Gabriel Moscardo
73'
79'
Rodrigo Mendoza
Roger Hinojo
81'
Bryan Zaragoza
/ Javi Puado
82'
Roberto Fernández Jaén
/ Marcos Fernández
82'
Unai Núñez
87'
89'
ast. Julián Álvarez ·
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez⚽
Pre-match prediction
28.49%
Espanyol
24.94%
X
46.57%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid)
46.57%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
0.61
-1.15
2.62
1.41
-1.21
Atletico Madrid dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ángel Fortuño
G
Ángel Fortuño
G
21
Roger Hinojo
D
Roger Hinojo
D
6
Leandro Cabrera
D
Leandro Cabrera
D
5
Clemens Riedel
D
Clemens Riedel
D
16
Vanja Drkušić
64'
D
Vanja Drkušić
64'
D
23
Omar El Hilali
D
Omar El Hilali
D
15
Bryan Zaragoza
82'
M
Bryan Zaragoza
82'
M
10
Pol Lozano
M
Pol Lozano
M
8
Edu Expósito
73'
M
Edu Expósito
73'
M
28
Javier Hernández
73'
M
Javier Hernández
73'
M
9
Roberto Fernández
82'
F
Roberto Fernández
82'
F
Bench
22
Álex Calatrava
17'
M
Álex Calatrava
17'
M
20
Gabriel Moscardo
17'
M
Gabriel Moscardo
17'
M
2
Gorosabel
D
Gorosabel
D
7
Javi Puado
8'
F
Javi Puado
8'
F
18
Marcos Fernández
8'
F
Marcos Fernández
8'
F
13
Marko Dmitrović
G
Marko Dmitrović
G
11
Pere Milla
M
Pere Milla
M
3
Quilindschy Hartman
D
Quilindschy Hartman
D
26
Rafael Bauzà
M
Rafael Bauzà
M
24
Tyrhys Dolan
F
Tyrhys Dolan
F
14
Unai Núñez
26'
D
Unai Núñez
26'
D
4
Urko González
M
Urko González
M
13
J. Oblak
G
J. Oblak
G
30
Dani MartÃnez
45'
D
Dani MartÃnez
45'
D
17
D. Hancko
D
D. Hancko
D
21
C. Romero
67'
D
C. Romero
67'
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
23
M. Hjulmand
M
M. Hjulmand
M
8
Pablo Barrios
55'
M
Pablo Barrios
55'
M
20
G. Simeone
M
G. Simeone
M
7
Lee Kang-In
62'
M
Lee Kang-In
62'
M
11
A. Lookman
45'
F
A. Lookman
45'
F
15
J. David
F
J. David
F
Bench
10
Álex Baena
1 ⚽
28'
M
Álex Baena
1 ⚽
28'
M
22
Álex Grimaldo
45'
D
Álex Grimaldo
45'
D
16
Arnau Ortiz
F
Arnau Ortiz
F
9
A. Sørloth
F
A. Sørloth
F
19
J. Álvarez
1 👟
45'
F
J. Álvarez
1 👟
45'
F
46
J. Castillo
M
J. Castillo
M
27
J. Dominguez
D
J. Dominguez
D
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
14
Marcos Llorente
35'
M
Marcos Llorente
35'
M
3
O. Vargas
M
O. Vargas
M
24
Robin Le Normand
D
Robin Le Normand
D
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
23'
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
23'
M
Best on the pitch
Álex Baena
M · Atletico
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
D. Hancko
D · Atletico
7.81
2 shots
· 77 pass
Dani MartÃnez
D · Atletico
7.62
1 shots
· 32 pass
Marc Pubill
D · Atletico
7.49
· 59 pass
Marcos Llorente
M · Atletico
7.30
1 shots
· 37 pass
Álex Grimaldo
D · Atletico
7.21
· 18 pass
Espanyol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ángel Fortuño | G | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Roger Hinojo | D | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Leandro Cabrera | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Clemens Riedel | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Vanja Drkušić | D | 64 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Omar El Hilali | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Bryan Zaragoza | M | 82 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Pol Lozano | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Edu Expósito | M | 73 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Javier Hernández | M | 73 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 82 | 6.23 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Álex Calatrava | M | 17 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 17 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Javi Puado | F | 8 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcos Fernández | F | 8 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Unai Núñez | D | 26 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Dani MartÃnez | D | 45 | 7.62 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 7.81 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 67 | 7.18 | — | — | 0 | 67 | 66% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 7.49 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 55% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 89 | 81% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 55 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | M | 62 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 41% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 45 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. David | F | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 28 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 45 | 7.21 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 45 | 6.89 | — | 1 | 3 | 29 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | M | 35 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 23 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Espanyol 0–1 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Espanyol win, 24% to a draw, and 46% to an Atletico Madrid win.