La Liga
· Regular Season - 34
May 03, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Real Madrid
55'
(ast. G. Garcia)
Vinicius Junior
66'
(ast. J. Bellingham)
Vinicius Junior
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Espanyol 17%). The final result was Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Espanyol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
1.75
3
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
6
7
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
14'
F. Garcia
/
F. Mendy
22'
B. Diaz
23'
Vinicius Junior
O. El Hilali
26'
Exposito
45'+2
50'
T. Alexander-Arnold
53'
G. Garcia
/
B. Diaz
53'
F. Mastantuono
/
T. Pitarch
55'
ast. G. Garcia ·
Vinicius Junior⚽
Exposito
/ C. Pickel
61'
R. Sanchez
/ A. Roca
61'
66'
ast. J. Bellingham ·
Vinicius Junior⚽
T. Dolan
/ P. Milla
73'
R. Terrats
/ Jofre
73'
R. Fernandez Jaen
/ K. Garcia
73'
75'
G. Garcia
84'
E. Camavinga
/
A. Tchouameni
84'
C. Palacios
/
Vinicius Junior
U. Gonzalez
85'
Pre-match prediction
17.31%
Espanyol
18.74%
X
63.94%
Real ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid)
63.94%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
1.16
+0.14
2.31
1.75
-0.56
Real Madrid dominated by xG (1.75 vs 1.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
22
Carlos Romero
D
Carlos Romero
D
6
Leandro Cabrera
D
Leandro Cabrera
D
5
Fernando Calero
D
Fernando Calero
D
23
O. El Hilali
D
O. El Hilali
D
8
Edu Expósito
61'
M
Edu Expósito
61'
M
4
Urko González
M
Urko González
M
24
Tyrhys Dolan
73'
M
Tyrhys Dolan
73'
M
14
Ramón Terrats
73'
M
Ramón Terrats
73'
M
2
Rubén Sánchez
61'
M
Rubén Sánchez
61'
M
9
Roberto Fernández
73'
F
Roberto Fernández
73'
F
Bench
38
Clemens Riedel
D
Clemens Riedel
D
19
Kike García
17'
F
Kike García
17'
F
11
Pere Milla
17'
M
Pere Milla
17'
M
13
G
23
F. Mendy
14'
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
D. Huijsen
D
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
12
Trent Alexander-Arnold
D
Trent Alexander-Arnold
D
14
A. Tchouaméni
84'
M
A. Tchouaméni
84'
M
45
Thiago Pitarch
53'
M
Thiago Pitarch
53'
M
21
Brahim Díaz
53'
M
Brahim Díaz
53'
M
5
J. Bellingham
1 👟
M
J. Bellingham
1 👟
M
8
F. Valverde
M
F. Valverde
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
2 ⚽
84'
F
Vinícius Júnior
2 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
38
César Palacios
12'
M
César Palacios
12'
M
6
Eduardo Camavinga
12'
M
Eduardo Camavinga
12'
M
30
Franco Mastantuono
37'
F
Franco Mastantuono
37'
F
20
Fran García
76'
D
Fran García
76'
D
16
Gonzalo García
1 👟
37'
F
Gonzalo García
1 👟
37'
F
17
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
Best on the pitch
Vinícius Júnior
F · Real
10.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
D. Huijsen
D · Real
7.90
1 shots
· 96 pass
A. Tchouaméni
M · Real
7.70
1 shots
· 70 pass
G · Real
7.50
· 40 pass
J. Bellingham
M · Real
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 62 pass
A. Rüdiger
D · Real
7.30
· 63 pass
Espanyol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Romero | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Cabrera | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Calero | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| O. El Hilali | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Edu Expósito | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Urko González | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tyrhys Dolan | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Rubén Sánchez | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Kike García | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pere Milla | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| F. Mendy | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 88% | — | — | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 84 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | M | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 53 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 62 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Valverde | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | F | 84 | 10.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| César Palacios | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo Camavinga | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | F | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Fran García | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Espanyol win, 18% to a draw, and 63% to an Real Madrid win.