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La Liga · Regular Season - 34 May 03, 2026 21:00
Espanyol
#11 · 46 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Real Madrid
#2 · 86 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Real Madrid
55' (ast. G. Garcia) Vinicius Junior
66' (ast. J. Bellingham) Vinicius Junior
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Espanyol 17%). The final result was Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Espanyol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Madrid.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
1.75
3
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
6
7
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
14'
F. Garcia / F. Mendy ↕
22'
B. Diaz
23'
Vinicius Junior
O. El Hilali
26'
Exposito
45'+2
50'
T. Alexander-Arnold
53'
G. Garcia / B. Diaz ↕
53'
F. Mastantuono / T. Pitarch ↕
55'
ast. G. Garcia · Vinicius Junior⚽
↕ Exposito / C. Pickel
61'
↕ R. Sanchez / A. Roca
61'
66'
ast. J. Bellingham · Vinicius Junior⚽
↕ T. Dolan / P. Milla
73'
↕ R. Terrats / Jofre
73'
↕ R. Fernandez Jaen / K. Garcia
73'
75'
G. Garcia
84'
E. Camavinga / A. Tchouameni ↕
84'
C. Palacios / Vinicius Junior ↕
U. Gonzalez
85'
Pre-match prediction
17.31%
Espanyol
18.74%
X
63.94%
Real ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid) 63.94% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Espanyol
1.02
1.16
+0.14
Real
2.31
1.75
-0.56
Real Madrid dominated by xG (1.75 vs 1.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal Villarreal 38 72
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Real Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe Getafe 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia Valencia 38 49
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol Espanyol 38 46
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 38 45
13 Sevilla Sevilla 38 43
14 Alaves Alaves 38 43
15 Elche Elche 38 43
16 Levante Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna Osasuna 38 42
18 Mallorca Mallorca 38 42
19 Girona Girona 38 41
20 Oviedo Oviedo 38 29
Lineups
Espanyol Espanyol 4-2-3-1
13
G 6.90
22 Carlos Romero Carlos Romero D 7.20
6 Leandro Cabrera Leandro Cabrera D 6.50
5 Fernando Calero Fernando Calero D 6.30
23 O. El Hilali O. El Hilali D 6.50
8 Edu Expósito Edu Expósito 61' M 7.00
4 Urko González Urko González M 6.30
24 Tyrhys Dolan Tyrhys Dolan 73' M 6.70
14 Ramón Terrats Ramón Terrats 73' M 6.20
2 Rubén Sánchez Rubén Sánchez 61' M 6.60
9 Roberto Fernández Roberto Fernández 73' F 6.90
Bench
38 Clemens Riedel Clemens Riedel D
19 Kike García Kike García 17' F 6.30
11 Pere Milla Pere Milla 17' M 6.70
Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
13
G 7.50
23
F. Mendy 14' D 6.60
24 D. Huijsen D. Huijsen D 7.90
22 A. Rüdiger A. Rüdiger D 7.30
12 Trent Alexander-Arnold Trent Alexander-Arnold D 7.00
14 Aurélien Tchouaméni Aurélien Tchouaméni 84' M 7.70
45 Thiago Pitarch Thiago Pitarch 53' M 6.60
21 Brahim Díaz Brahim Díaz 53' M 6.20
5 Jude Bellingham Jude Bellingham 1 👟 M 7.30
8 Federico Valverde Federico Valverde M 7.00
7 Vinícius Júnior Vinícius Júnior 2 ⚽ 84' F 10.00
Bench
18 Álvaro Fernández Álvaro Fernández D
38 César Palacios César Palacios 12' M 6.60
6 Eduardo Camavinga Eduardo Camavinga 12' M 6.60
30 Franco Mastantuono Franco Mastantuono 37' F 6.60
20 Fran García Fran García 76' D 6.90
16 Gonzalo García Gonzalo García 1 👟 37' F 6.20
17 Raúl Asencio Raúl Asencio D
Best on the pitch
Vinícius Júnior
Vinícius Júnior
F · Real
10.00
2 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
D. Huijsen
D. Huijsen
D · Real
7.90
1 shots · 96 pass
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Aurélien Tchouaméni
M · Real
7.70
1 shots · 70 pass
G · Real
7.50
· 40 pass
Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham
M · Real
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 62 pass
A. Rüdiger
A. Rüdiger
D · Real
7.30
· 63 pass
Espanyol Espanyol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 17 12% — — —
Carlos Romero D 90 7.20 — — 2 31 28% 1 — —
Leandro Cabrera D 90 6.50 — — 1 37 30% — — —
Fernando Calero D 90 6.30 — — — 39 37% — — —
O. El Hilali D 90 6.50 — — — 39 31% 1 1 —
Edu Expósito M 61 7.00 — — 1 30 23% 1 1 —
Urko González M 90 6.30 — — — 34 29% 1 1 —
Tyrhys Dolan M 73 6.70 — — — 14 11% 1 — —
Ramón Terrats M 73 6.20 — — 2 18 14% — — —
Rubén Sánchez M 61 6.60 — — 2 12 5% 1 — —
Roberto Fernández F 73 6.90 — — 2 12 10% 1 — —
Kike García F 17 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Pere Milla M 17 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Real Madrid Real Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 40 36% — — —
F. Mendy D 14 6.60 — — — 11 11% — — —
D. Huijsen D 90 7.90 — — 1 96 88% — — —
A. Rüdiger D 90 7.30 — — — 63 60% — — —
Trent Alexander-Arnold D 90 7.00 — — — 69 62% — 1 —
Aurélien Tchouaméni M 84 7.70 — — 1 70 64% 3 — —
Thiago Pitarch M 53 6.60 — — — 36 33% 2 — —
Brahim Díaz M 53 6.20 — — 1 25 21% — 1 —
Jude Bellingham M 90 7.30 — 1 1 62 58% 1 — —
Federico Valverde M 90 7.00 — — 1 55 52% — — —
Vinícius Júnior F 84 10.00 2 — 2 31 27% — 1 —
César Palacios M 12 6.60 — — — 9 8% 2 — —
Eduardo Camavinga M 12 6.60 — — — 12 11% — — —
Franco Mastantuono F 37 6.60 — — 1 21 20% — — —
Fran García D 76 6.90 — — — 24 20% 3 — —
Gonzalo García F 37 6.20 — 1 2 7 4% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Espanyol win, 18% to a draw, and 63% to an Real Madrid win.