A. Calatrava
(ast. J. Hernandez)
30'
9'
(ast. A. Guler)
J. Bellingham
90'
C. Espi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Espanyol 30%). The final result was Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Espanyol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
5
0.48
Actual xG
0.26
3
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
8
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
ast. A. Guler ·
J. Bellingham⚽
⚽A. Calatrava
· ast. J. Hernandez
30'
32'
Vinicius Junior
A. Calatrava
32'
C. Riedel
59'
64'
M. Cucurella
/
A. Carreras
64'
Y. Diomande
/
A. Guler
C. Riedel
/ V. Drkusic
66'
A. Calatrava
/ R. Bauza
66'
U. Gonzalez
/ P. Lozano
75'
J. Hernandez
/ P. Milla
75'
80'
T. Alexander-Arnold
/
D. Dumfries
80'
E. Camavinga
/
B. Silva
80'
C. Espi
/
J. Bellingham
Exposito
84'
Exposito
/ Jofre
88'
P. Milla
90'+1
P. Lozano
90'+4
90'
C. Espi⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.97%
Espanyol
31.93%
X
37.1%
Real ←
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid)
37.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
0.48
-0.71
1.16
0.26
-0.9
xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.26).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Marko Dmitrović
38'
G
Marko Dmitrović
38'
G
21
Roger Hinojo
38'
D
Roger Hinojo
38'
D
14
Unai Núñez
38'
D
Unai Núñez
38'
D
5
Clemens Riedel
38'
D
Clemens Riedel
38'
D
23
Omar El Hilali
38'
D
Omar El Hilali
38'
D
24
Tyrhys Dolan
38'
M
Tyrhys Dolan
38'
M
8
Edu Expósito
38'
M
Edu Expósito
38'
M
4
Urko González
38'
M
Urko González
38'
M
22
Álex Calatrava
1 ⚽
38'
M
Álex Calatrava
1 ⚽
38'
M
28
Javier Hernández
1 👟
38'
F
Javier Hernández
1 👟
38'
F
9
Roberto Fernández
38'
F
Roberto Fernández
38'
F
Bench
27
Adama Timera
F
Adama Timera
F
1
Ángel Fortuño
G
Ángel Fortuño
G
20
Gabriel Moscardo
M
Gabriel Moscardo
M
17
Jofre Carreras
F
Jofre Carreras
F
32
José Ángel López
D
José Ángel López
D
31
Llorenç Serred
G
Llorenç Serred
G
18
Marcos Fernández
F
Marcos Fernández
F
11
Pere Milla
M
Pere Milla
M
10
Pol Lozano
M
Pol Lozano
M
3
Quilindschy Hartman
D
Quilindschy Hartman
D
26
Rafael Bauzà
M
Rafael Bauzà
M
16
Vanja Drkušić
D
Vanja Drkušić
D
1
T. Courtois
38'
G
T. Courtois
38'
G
18
Álvaro Fernández
38'
D
Álvaro Fernández
38'
D
4
D. Huijsen
38'
D
D. Huijsen
38'
D
16
I. Konaté
38'
D
I. Konaté
38'
D
24
D. Dumfries
38'
D
D. Dumfries
38'
D
8
F. Valverde
38'
M
F. Valverde
38'
M
20
Bernardo Silva
38'
M
Bernardo Silva
38'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
38'
M
Vinícius Júnior
38'
M
5
J. Bellingham
1 ⚽
38'
M
J. Bellingham
1 ⚽
38'
M
15
A. Güler
1 👟
38'
M
A. Güler
1 👟
38'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
38'
F
Kylian Mbappé
38'
F
Bench
36
Alexis Ciria
M
Alexis Ciria
M
13
A. Lunin
G
A. Lunin
G
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
21
Brahim Díaz
M
Brahim Díaz
M
19
Carlos Espí
1 ⚽
F
Carlos Espí
1 ⚽
F
6
E. Camavinga
M
E. Camavinga
M
29
J. Cestero Sancho
M
J. Cestero Sancho
M
17
Marc Cucurella
D
Marc Cucurella
D
33
Mario Rivas
D
Mario Rivas
D
26
Sergio Mestre
G
Sergio Mestre
G
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
25
Y. Diomande
F
Y. Diomande
F
Best on the pitch
J. Bellingham
M · Real
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Álex Calatrava
M · Espanyol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
A. Güler
M · Real
7.20
1 👟
· 29 pass
Javier Hernández
F · Espanyol
7.00
1 👟
· 9 pass
F. Valverde
M · Real
6.90
· 28 pass
Kylian Mbappé
F · Real
6.70
3 shots
· 13 pass
Espanyol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko Dmitrović | G | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Roger Hinojo | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Unai Núñez | D | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Clemens Riedel | D | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar El Hilali | D | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Tyrhys Dolan | M | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Edu Expósito | M | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Urko González | M | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Álex Calatrava | M | 38 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Javier Hernández | F | 38 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Fernández | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | — | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 35% | — | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Valverde | M | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 38 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Güler | M | 38 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Espanyol win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Real Madrid win.