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La Liga · Regular Season - 2 August 22, 2026 21:30
Espanyol
#7 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Real Madrid
#4 · 9 pts
A. Calatrava (ast. J. Hernandez) 30'
9' (ast. A. Guler) J. Bellingham
90' C. Espi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Espanyol 30%). The final result was Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Espanyol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Real Madrid.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
5
0.48
Actual xG
0.26
3
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
8
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
ast. A. Guler · J. Bellingham⚽
⚽A. Calatrava · ast. J. Hernandez
30'
32'
Vinicius Junior
A. Calatrava
32'
C. Riedel
59'
64'
M. Cucurella / A. Carreras ↕
64'
Y. Diomande / A. Guler ↕
↕ C. Riedel / V. Drkusic
66'
↕ A. Calatrava / R. Bauza
66'
↕ U. Gonzalez / P. Lozano
75'
↕ J. Hernandez / P. Milla
75'
80'
T. Alexander-Arnold / D. Dumfries ↕
80'
E. Camavinga / B. Silva ↕
80'
C. Espi / J. Bellingham ↕
Exposito
84'
↕ Exposito / Jofre
88'
P. Milla
90'+1
P. Lozano
90'+4
90'
C. Espi⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.97%
Espanyol
31.93%
X
37.1%
Real ←
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid) 37.1% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Espanyol
1.18
0.48
-0.71
Real
1.16
0.26
-0.9
xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.26). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Espanyol Espanyol 4-4-2
13 M. Dmitrović M. Dmitrović 38' G 6.20
21 Roger Hinojo Roger Hinojo 38' D 6.30
14 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 38' D 6.50
5 C. Riedel C. Riedel 38' D 6.20
23 O. El Hilali O. El Hilali 38' D 6.20
24 T. Dolan T. Dolan 38' M 6.50
8 Edu Expósito Edu Expósito 38' M 6.70
4 Urko González Urko González 38' M 6.20
22 Álex Calatrava Álex Calatrava 1 ⚽ 38' M 7.30
28 Javier Hernandez Javier Hernandez 1 👟 38' F 7.00
9 Roberto Fernández Roberto Fernández 38' F 6.60
Bench
27 Adama Timera Adama Timera F
1 Ángel Fortuño Ángel Fortuño G
20 Gabriel Moscardo Gabriel Moscardo M
32 J. A. Lopez J. A. Lopez D
17 Jofre Carreras Jofre Carreras F
31 Llorenç Serred Llorenç Serred G
18 Marcos Fernández Marcos Fernández F
11 Pere Milla Pere Milla M
10 Pol Lozano Pol Lozano M
3 Q. Hartman Q. Hartman D
26 Rafel Bauzà Rafel Bauzà M
16 V. Drkušić V. Drkušić D
Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
1 T. Courtois T. Courtois 38' G 6.50
18 Álvaro Fernández Álvaro Fernández 38' D 6.30
4 D. Huijsen D. Huijsen 38' D 6.50
16 I. Konaté I. Konaté 38' D 6.30
24 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries 38' D 6.50
8 F. Valverde F. Valverde 38' M 6.90
20 Bernardo Silva Bernardo Silva 38' M 6.50
7 Vinícius Júnior Vinícius Júnior 38' M 6.60
5 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham 1 ⚽ 38' M 7.70
15 A. Güler A. Güler 1 👟 38' M 7.20
10 Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé 38' F 6.70
Bench
36 Alexis Ciria Alexis Ciria M
13 A. Lunin A. Lunin G
22 A. Rüdiger A. Rüdiger D
21 Brahim Díaz Brahim Díaz M
19 Carlos Espí Carlos Espí 1 ⚽ F
6 E. Camavinga E. Camavinga M
29 J. Cestero Sancho J. Cestero Sancho M
17 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella D
33 Mario Rivas Mario Rivas D
26 Sergio Mestre Sergio Mestre G
12 T. Alexander-Arnold T. Alexander-Arnold D
25 Y. Diomande Y. Diomande F
Best on the pitch
J. Bellingham
J. Bellingham
M · Real
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Álex Calatrava
Álex Calatrava
M · Espanyol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
A. Güler
A. Güler
M · Real
7.20
1 👟
· 29 pass
Javier Hernandez
Javier Hernandez
F · Espanyol
7.00
1 👟
· 9 pass
F. Valverde
F. Valverde
M · Real
6.90
· 28 pass
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé
F · Real
6.70
3 shots · 13 pass
Espanyol Espanyol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Dmitrović G 38 6.20 — — — 5 2% — — —
Roger Hinojo D 38 6.30 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
Unai Núñez D 38 6.50 — — — 16 15% — — —
C. Riedel D 38 6.20 — — 1 16 15% 1 — —
O. El Hilali D 38 6.20 — — — 12 12% 1 — —
T. Dolan M 38 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
Edu Expósito M 38 6.70 — — 1 20 15% 2 — —
Urko González M 38 6.20 — — — 11 11% — — —
Álex Calatrava M 38 7.30 1 — 1 13 9% 2 1 —
Javier Hernandez F 38 7.00 — 1 — 9 9% — — —
Roberto Fernández F 38 6.60 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
Real Madrid Real Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Courtois G 38 6.50 — — — 11 9% — — —
Álvaro Fernández D 38 6.30 — — — 27 26% 1 — —
D. Huijsen D 38 6.50 — — — 32 31% — — —
I. Konaté D 38 6.30 — — — 35 35% — — —
D. Dumfries D 38 6.50 — — 2 17 15% 3 — —
F. Valverde M 38 6.90 — — — 28 28% 2 — —
Bernardo Silva M 38 6.50 — — — 26 24% — — —
Vinícius Júnior M 38 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 1 —
J. Bellingham M 38 7.70 1 — 1 18 18% 2 — —
A. Güler M 38 7.20 — 1 — 29 26% 1 — —
Kylian Mbappé F 38 6.70 — — 3 13 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Espanyol win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Real Madrid win.