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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 20:45 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Estac Troyes
#17 · 5 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Lens
#7 · 13 pts
Timothee Nkada 26'
(og) 13' Adrien Monfray
45'+2 (ast. Florian Thauvin) Odsonne Édouard
55' (ast. Florian Thauvin) Ruben Aguilar
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Estac Troyes 29%). The final result was Estac Troyes 1–3 Lens. In 1 previous meetings, Estac Troyes have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lens.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
1.45
1
Saves
4
41%
Possession
59%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
(og) Adrien Monfray⚽
⚽Timothee Nkada
26'
45'+2
ast. Florian Thauvin · Odsonne Édouard⚽
55'
ast. Florian Thauvin · Ruben Aguilar⚽
60'
Samson Baidoo / Jean-Clair Todibo ↕
↕ Timothee Nkada / Kandet Diawara
60'
↕ Paolo Gozzi Iweru / Noah Donkor
64'
67'
Mezian Soares Mesloub / Florian Thauvin ↕
67'
Franjo Ivanovic / Odsonne Édouard ↕
67'
Amadou Haidara / Yassine Titraoui ↕
72'
Saud Abdulhamid / Ruben Aguilar ↕
Junior Diaz
76'
Renaud Ripart
76'
77'
Samson Baidoo
↕ Mouhamed Diop / Jérémy Le Douaron
79'
↕ Lucas Maronnier / Iron Gomis
79'
82'
Amadou Haidara
Pre-match prediction
29.8%
Estac
28.8%
X
41.4%
Lens ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 41.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Estac
1.30
1.27
-0.03
Lens
1.94
1.45
-0.49
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 4-2-3-1
33 P. Beach P. Beach G 5.62
5 P. Gozzi P. Gozzi 64' D 6.28
4 M. Diaz M. Diaz D 6.13
6 A. Monfray A. Monfray 1 ⚽ D 5.72
2 L. Maronnier L. Maronnier 79' D 6.16
29 D. Karim D. Karim M 6.78
8 M. Diop M. Diop 79' M 5.90
23 T. Nkada T. Nkada 1 ⚽ 60' M 8.00
17 A. Mille A. Mille M 6.31
10 M. Ifnaoui M. Ifnaoui M 6.50
20 R. Ripart R. Ripart F 5.88
Bench
26 A. Phliponeau A. Phliponeau M 0.00
37 C. Batola C. Batola F 0.00
40 H. Konaté H. Konaté G 0.00
22 H. Picard H. Picard M 0.00
11 I. Gomis I. Gomis 11' M 5.78
9 J. Le Douaron J. Le Douaron 11' F 6.69
7 K. Diawara K. Diawara 30' F 6.48
31 Noah Donkor Noah Donkor 26' D 5.82
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40 R. Risser R. Risser G 7.15
20 J. Todibo J. Todibo 60' D 6.81
25 I. Ganiou I. Ganiou D 6.78
32 K. Antonio K. Antonio D 7.10
22 M. Skóraś M. Skóraś M 6.47
5 A. Bulatović A. Bulatović M 6.72
8 Y. Titraoui Y. Titraoui 67' M 6.45
2 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar 1 ⚽ 72' M 8.17
7 F. Sotoca F. Sotoca M 6.38
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 2 👟 67' M 8.60
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.88
Bench
21 A. Haidara A. Haidara 23' M 6.60
29 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 23' F 6.43
28 J. Kadile J. Kadile F 0.00
27 M. Cuisance M. Cuisance M 0.00
16 M. Gorgelin M. Gorgelin G 0.00
38 M. Soares M. Soares 23' M 6.23
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 18' D 6.33
6 S. Baidoo S. Baidoo 30' D 6.00
9 T. Hazard T. Hazard M 0.00
Best on the pitch
F. Thauvin
F. Thauvin
M · Lens
8.60
2 👟
· 25 pass
R. Aguilar
R. Aguilar
M · Lens
8.17
1 ⚽
4 shots · 32 pass
T. Nkada
T. Nkada
M · Estac
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
O. Édouard
O. Édouard
F · Lens
7.88
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
R. Risser
R. Risser
G · Lens
7.15
· 55 pass
K. Antonio
K. Antonio
D · Lens
7.10
· 34 pass
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Beach G 90 5.62 — — 0 15 10% 0 — —
P. Gozzi D 64 6.28 — — 1 21 18% 2 — —
M. Diaz D 90 6.13 — — 0 40 37% 2 1 —
A. Monfray D 90 5.72 1 — 0 51 47% 3 — —
L. Maronnier D 79 6.16 — — 1 22 16% 0 — —
D. Karim M 90 6.78 — — 2 49 41% 5 — —
M. Diop M 79 5.90 — — 0 20 15% 0 — —
T. Nkada M 60 8.00 1 — 4 16 9% 1 — —
A. Mille M 90 6.31 — — 1 37 31% 0 — —
M. Ifnaoui M 90 6.50 — — 0 35 30% 0 — —
R. Ripart F 90 5.88 — — 3 21 15% 0 1 —
I. Gomis M 11 5.78 — — 0 13 13% 0 — —
J. Le Douaron F 11 6.69 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
K. Diawara F 30 6.48 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
Noah Donkor D 26 5.82 — — 0 19 16% 0 — —
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Risser G 90 7.15 — — 0 55 41% 0 — —
J. Todibo D 60 6.81 — — 1 67 61% 2 — —
I. Ganiou D 90 6.78 — — 0 75 66% 1 — —
K. Antonio D 90 7.10 — — 0 34 32% 4 — —
M. Skóraś M 90 6.47 — — 1 42 30% 1 — —
A. Bulatović M 90 6.72 — — 3 38 35% 3 — —
Y. Titraoui M 67 6.45 — — 0 52 44% 3 — —
R. Aguilar M 72 8.17 1 — 4 32 30% 1 — —
F. Sotoca M 90 6.38 — — 0 41 36% 0 — —
F. Thauvin M 67 8.60 — 2 0 25 17% 0 — —
O. Édouard F 67 7.88 1 — 3 10 4% 0 — —
A. Haidara M 23 6.60 — — 0 20 19% 1 1 —
F. Ivanović F 23 6.43 — — 0 13 7% 0 — —
M. Soares M 23 6.23 — — 1 16 11% 0 — —
Saud Abdulhamid D 18 6.33 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
S. Baidoo D 30 6.00 — — 0 14 12% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estac Troyes vs Lens?
The final score was Estac Troyes 1–3 Lens.
What did the model predict before Estac Troyes vs Lens?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Estac Troyes win, 28% to a draw, and 41% to an Lens win.