50'
(ast. Emerson Palmieri)
Amine Harit
(pen.)
90'+8
Himad Abdelli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estac Troyes a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Marseille 34%). The final result was Estac Troyes 0–2 Marseille.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
2
1.21
Actual xG
1.32
0
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
6
Corners
3
17
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Lucas Maronnier
22'
45'
Angel Gomes
50'
ast. Emerson Palmieri ·
Amine Harit⚽
Dermane Karim
58'
Iron Gomis
/ Renaud Ripart
61'
63'
Keyliane Abdallah
/
Amine Harit
63'
Neal Maupay
/
Amine Gouiri
Kandet Diawara
/ Hugo Picard
69'
73'
Tochukwu Nnadi
/
Nouhoum Kamissoko
Jérémy Le Douaron
/ Alexandre Philiponeau
77'
Dermane Karim
/ Christ Batola
78'
Mouhamed Diop
/ Timothee Nkada
78'
87'
Geoffrey Kondogbia
/
Angel Gomes
87'
Faris Moumbagna
/
Igor Paixão
Antoine Mille
88'
Patrick Beach
90'+6
90'+8
(pen.)
Himad Abdelli⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.71%
Estac
30.81%
X
34.49%
Marseille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Marseille)
34.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.21
-0.26
1.31
1.32
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.21 – 1.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
33
P. Beach
G
P. Beach
G
5
P. Gozzi
D
P. Gozzi
D
4
M. Diaz
D
M. Diaz
D
6
A. Monfray
D
A. Monfray
D
2
L. Maronnier
D
L. Maronnier
D
29
D. Karim
78'
M
D. Karim
78'
M
8
M. Diop
78'
M
M. Diop
78'
M
7
K. Diawara
69'
M
K. Diawara
69'
M
11
I. Gomis
61'
M
I. Gomis
61'
M
17
A. Mille
M
A. Mille
M
9
J. Le Douaron
77'
F
J. Le Douaron
77'
F
Bench
26
A. Phliponeau
13'
M
A. Phliponeau
13'
M
37
C. Batola
12'
F
C. Batola
12'
F
40
H. Konaté
G
H. Konaté
G
22
H. Picard
21'
M
H. Picard
21'
M
10
M. Ifnaoui
M
M. Ifnaoui
M
31
Noah Donkor
D
Noah Donkor
D
20
R. Ripart
29'
F
R. Ripart
29'
F
23
T. Nkada
12'
F
T. Nkada
12'
F
12
J. de Lange
G
J. de Lange
G
33
Emerson
1 👟
D
Emerson
1 👟
D
21
N. Aguerd
D
N. Aguerd
D
4
C. Egan-Riley
D
C. Egan-Riley
D
74
K. Bezahaf
D
K. Bezahaf
D
42
73'
M
8
H. Abdelli
1 ⚽
M
H. Abdelli
1 ⚽
M
14
Igor Paixão
87'
M
Igor Paixão
87'
M
7
A. Gomes
87'
M
A. Gomes
87'
M
77
A. Harit
1 ⚽
63'
M
A. Harit
1 ⚽
63'
M
9
A. Gouiri
63'
F
A. Gouiri
63'
F
Bench
18
B. Meité
D
B. Meité
D
46
E. Mbondo
D
E. Mbondo
D
29
F. Moumbagna
3'
F
F. Moumbagna
3'
F
19
G. Kondogbia
3'
M
G. Kondogbia
3'
M
48
K. Abdallah
27'
F
K. Abdallah
27'
F
11
N. Maupay
27'
F
N. Maupay
27'
F
6
T. Nnadi
17'
M
T. Nnadi
17'
M
92
T. Vermot
G
T. Vermot
G
25
U. Garcia
D
U. Garcia
D
Best on the pitch
A. Harit
M · Marseille
7.96
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Emerson
D · Marseille
7.76
1 👟
· 54 pass
H. Abdelli
M · Marseille
7.73
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 62 pass
N. Aguerd
D · Marseille
7.54
· 99 pass
K. Bezahaf
D · Marseille
7.48
· 66 pass
C. Egan-Riley
D · Marseille
7.42
· 122 pass
Estac Troyes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beach | G | 90 | 5.61 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Gozzi | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Diaz | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Monfray | D | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 3 | 61 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Maronnier | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Karim | M | 78 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Diop | M | 78 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Diawara | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Gomis | M | 61 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Mille | M | 90 | 5.81 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 7 | 1 | — |
| J. Le Douaron | F | 77 | 6.73 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Phliponeau | M | 13 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Batola | F | 12 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 21 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ripart | F | 29 | 6.61 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Nkada | F | 12 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange | G | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| Emerson | D | 90 | 7.76 | — | 1 | 0 | 54 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Aguerd | D | 90 | 7.54 | — | — | 0 | 99 | 93% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Egan-Riley | D | 90 | 7.42 | — | — | 0 | 122 | 117% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Bezahaf | D | 90 | 7.48 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 73 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 47% | 3 | — | — | |
| H. Abdelli | M | 90 | 7.73 | 1 | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Paixão | M | 87 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 87 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 36% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Harit | M | 63 | 7.96 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 63 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Moumbagna | F | 3 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Kondogbia | M | 3 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Abdallah | F | 27 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Maupay | F | 27 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Nnadi | M | 17 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
The final score was Estac Troyes 0–2 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Estac Troyes win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Marseille win.