Estac Troyes 0–0 Paris FC — pre-match prediction — Ligue 1 — August 22, 2026

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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1 August 22, 2026 20:45 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes

Estac Troyes

#17 · 5 pts

0 – 0

Final score

Paris FC

#6 · 14 pts

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris FC a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Estac Troyes 32%). The final result was Estac Troyes 0–0 Paris FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.38

Actual xG

0.80

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

46'

M. Simon / L. Koleosho ↕

↕ Y. Titi / N. Donkor

55'

J. M. Diaz

56'

62'

Otavio

63'

M. Lopez / R. Matondo ↕

M. Diop

69'

↕ K. Diawara / A. Mille

75'

↕ I. Gomis / A. Phliponeau

76'

79'

O. Sissoko / L. Sinayoko ↕

81'

P. Zabi / P. Pagis ↕

↕ R. Ripart / Y. Kone

86'

Pre-match prediction

32.76%

Estac

32.49%

X ←

34.75%

Paris

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.49% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Estac

1.84

0.38

-1.46

Paris

0.46

0.80

+0.34

Paris FC dominated by xG (0.80 vs 0.38). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	8	17
2	Rennes	8	16
3	Lille	8	15
4	Monaco	8	15
5	Lyon	8	14
6	Paris FC	8	14
7	Lens	8	13
8	Marseille	8	12
9	Lorient	8	12
10	Nice	8	11
11	Toulouse	8	10
12	Auxerre	8	10
13	Stade Brestois 29	8	9
14	Angers	8	8
15	Le Mans	8	7
16	Strasbourg	8	7
17	Estac Troyes	8	5
18	Le Havre	8	2

Lineups

Estac Troyes 4-3-3

P. Beach 69' G 6.70

A. Ouzenadji 69' D 6.90

M. Diaz 69' D 6.70

A. Monfray 69' D 7.30

Yvann Titi 55' D 6.30

H. Picard 69' M 7.00

M. Diop 69' M 6.60

I. Gomis 69' M 6.90

K. Diawara 69' F 6.30

R. Ripart 69' F 6.70

M. Ifnaoui 69' F 7.20

Bench

A. Mille M

A. Phliponeau M

C. Batola F

D. Karim M

H. Konaté G

I. Soukouna M

Noah Donkor 14' D 6.50

P. Gozzi D

Y. Kone F

Paris FC 4-2-3-1

K. Trapp 69' G 7.20

Otávio 69' D 7.30

M. Mbow 69' D 6.90

D. Coppola 69' D 7.00

A. Camara 69' D 6.60

P. Lees-Melou 69' M 6.60

R. Matondo 63' M 6.20

L. Koleosho 45' M 6.70

P. Pagis 69' M 6.70

I. Kebbal 69' M 6.30

L. Sinayoko 69' F 7.20

Bench

E. Zabi M

H. Traoré D

M. Lopez 6' M

M. Simon 24' F 6.70

O. Nkambadio G

O. Sissoko F

S. Chergui D

T. De Smet D

V. Marchetti M

Best on the pitch

A. Monfray

D · Estac

7.30

· 65 pass

Otávio

D · Paris

7.30

· 71 pass

L. Sinayoko

F · Paris

7.20

1 shots · 16 pass

M. Ifnaoui

F · Estac

7.20

· 29 pass

K. Trapp

G · Paris

7.20

· 32 pass

H. Picard

M · Estac

7.00

· 26 pass

Estac Troyes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Beach	G	69	6.70	—	—	—	15	10%	—	—	—
A. Ouzenadji	D	69	6.90	—	—	—	47	38%	1	—	—
M. Diaz	D	69	6.70	—	—	—	49	46%	1	1	—
A. Monfray	D	69	7.30	—	—	—	65	59%	1	—	—
Yvann Titi	D	55	6.30	—	—	1	33	30%	—	—	—
H. Picard	M	69	7.00	—	—	—	26	23%	1	—	—
M. Diop	M	69	6.60	—	—	—	43	40%	1	—	—
I. Gomis	M	69	6.90	—	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
K. Diawara	F	69	6.30	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
R. Ripart	F	69	6.70	—	—	3	12	4%	—	—	—
M. Ifnaoui	F	69	7.20	—	—	—	29	25%	—	—	—
Noah Donkor	D	14	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—

Paris FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Trapp	G	69	7.20	—	—	—	32	27%	—	—	—
Otávio	D	69	7.30	—	—	—	71	69%	3	1	—
M. Mbow	D	69	6.90	—	—	—	95	95%	1	—	—
D. Coppola	D	69	7.00	—	—	—	72	62%	3	—	—
A. Camara	D	69	6.60	—	—	—	38	32%	2	—	—
P. Lees-Melou	M	69	6.60	—	—	—	47	42%	1	—	—
R. Matondo	M	63	6.20	—	—	—	22	17%	—	—	—
L. Koleosho	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	21	17%	—	—	—
P. Pagis	M	69	6.70	—	—	3	24	22%	—	—	—
I. Kebbal	M	69	6.30	—	—	1	42	34%	1	—	—
L. Sinayoko	F	69	7.20	—	—	1	16	13%	4	—	—
M. Lopez	M	6	—	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
M. Simon	F	24	6.70	—	—	—	11	11%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?

The final score was Estac Troyes 0–0 Paris FC.

What did the model predict before Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Estac Troyes win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Paris FC win.