Esteghlal FC - Al Sadd
AFC Champions League
September 14, 2026 20:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Esteghlal FC
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Al Sadd
1.84
2.14
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.86%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Esteghlal FC a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Al Sadd. Expected goals are 1.8 for Esteghlal FC and 2.1 for Al Sadd (total 4.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.86% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Esteghlal FC
Al Sadd →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Esteghlal FC
Attack
33
Defence
65
Form
46
Al Sadd
Attack
60
Defence
50
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
West Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Al-Nassr
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Al Ain
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Al-Wasl FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Al Sadd
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Al-Gharafa
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Al Shamal
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Esteghlal FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Tractor Sazi
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Neftchi
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Pakhtakor
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · West Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #11 | #8 |
| → Esteghlal FC | #1 | #9 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Al Sadd | #11 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd?
The model gives Esteghlal FC a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Al Sadd win.
How many goals are expected in Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd?
Expected goals: Esteghlal FC 1.8, Al Sadd 2.1 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.86%.